NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	95		Excitement	7.3 [351]		MVP	Antonio Davis (TOR): +10.3%
Atlanta Hawks	88		Comeback	1.0 [1092]		LVP	Toni Kukoc (ATL): -30.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Davis	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.01	0.10	-0.01	15	53%	0.15	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Keon Clark	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	8	65%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.19,0.14,0.14,0,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	20	62%	0.12	4	-0.13	12	58%	-0.11
Tracy Murray	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Alvin Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.03	-0.00	12	40%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Chris Childs	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	10	32%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	9	44%	-0.02	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hanno Mottola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	1	100%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	15	62%	0.13	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.03
DerMarr Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	20	52%	0.08	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	9	45%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	9	40%	0.00	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Alan Henderson	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	7	32%	-0.10	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.16	-0.15	0.00	16	32%	-0.22	2	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	25.2	15.4	22.2	1.8	34.2	125.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +56.2%

ATL -22.9%

TOR +33.3%

ATL -19.5%

TOR +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	ATL	NBA	TOR	ATL	NBA
this game	15.6	14.7	15.5	99.0	93.6	100.9
season	15.8	15.4		103.7	96.0
opponent	15.1	15.4		101.6	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.6	15.3	17.0	15.6	15.6
ATL	16.0	14.7	13.0	15.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alvin Williams	76	74	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.32	11	-4	15	15.9	14.7	1.18	14.2	16.3	-2.13
Morris Peterson	50	50	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.20	12	-5	17	15.7	15.5	0.18	14.6	14.7	-0.15
Antonio Davis	79	75	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.30	4	3	1	16.2	13.2	2.92	14.3	16.3	-2.00
Vince Carter	88	86	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.22	6	1	5	15.5	16.6	-1.08	14.8	12.7	2.10
Charles Oakley	73	72	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.19	6	1	5	15.7	15.5	0.15	15.0	13.6	1.41
Jerome Williams	18	18	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	6	-5	14.8	15.8	-0.99	14.6	14.7	-0.14
Tracy Murray	16	16	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	6	-5	14.4	15.9	-1.51	15.3	14.5	0.77
Dell Curry	8	8	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	7	-7	15.7	15.6	0.12	13.4	14.8	-1.42
Keon Clark	44	43	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.07	-3	10	-13	15.3	15.9	-0.59	15.0	14.4	0.52
Chris Childs	28	28	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	10	-13	15.2	15.8	-0.54	15.3	14.4	0.93

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DerMarr Johnson	11	12	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.03	4	-11	15	13.5	14.8	-1.38	12.7	16.1	-3.39
Nazr Mohammed	47	48	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.35	11	-18	29	14.7	14.6	0.06	17.3	14.0	3.27
Alan Henderson	55	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	0	-7	14.2	15.3	-1.05	15.9	15.3	0.64
Dion Glover	20	19	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-1	-5	15.6	14.4	1.18	14.8	15.8	-0.99
Chris Crawford	46	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.05	-9	2	-11	14.4	15.0	-0.59	15.4	15.8	-0.41
Toni Kukoc	59	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.37	3	-10	13	15.0	14.1	0.93	16.1	14.9	1.19
Brevin Knight	79	82	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-6	5	14.2	17.2	-3.01	16.0	13.7	2.25
Hanno Mottola	24	26	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.26	-2	-5	3	15.0	14.6	0.44	15.2	15.8	-0.55
Lorenzen Wright	46	46	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.03	-17	10	-27	14.8	14.6	0.22	14.5	16.7	-2.26
Jason Terry	83	85	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.31	-11	4	-15	15.1	11.5	3.64	15.4	17.6	-2.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.19,0.29,0.22,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 94, BOS 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.11,0.19,0.21,0.12,0.16,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.2,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.18,0.19,0.28,0.32,0.17,0	93.6%
TOR 106, MIL 102	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.39,0.3,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.27,0.16,0.28,0.38,0.27,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.37,0.1,0.04,0	93.4%
WAS 109, CHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.07,0.02,0	93.2%