NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	109		Excitement	6.8 [459]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (WAS): +40.0%
Chicago Bulls	103		Comeback	1.0 [937]		LVP	Juwan Howard (WAS): -19.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.29,0.37,0.4,0.4	0.17	0.21	-0.03	16	76%	0.40	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.02
Chris Whitney	0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.04,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	14	61%	0.20	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	4	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Tracy Murray	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	8	53%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Gerard King	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Mitch Richmond	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.03	14	53%	0.07	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Calvin Booth	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.18	-0.04	-0.02	10	33%	-0.10	4	-0.10	7	71%	-0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.22	0.08	-0.01	21	77%	0.35	1	-0.03	15	80%	0.03
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	7	67%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	8	61%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	1	25%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.03
Chris Carr	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	14	47%	-0.02	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	6	38%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	13	31%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.4	25.5	15.7	27.0	2.6	24.6	120.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +27.9%

CHI -0.0%

WAS +19.9%

CHI -3.9%

WAS +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	17.0	16.0	15.2	123.9	118.4	101.7
season	15.5	16.5		101.1	91.8
opponent	14.9	14.8		102.3	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.8	16.0	14.8	20.6	17.0
CHI	18.4	16.0	15.2	14.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitch Richmond	56	53	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.24	12	-6	18	17.2	16.5	0.76	15.4	16.8	-1.38
Gerard King	68	66	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.27	8	-2	10	17.3	15.7	1.56	16.4	14.6	1.82
Chris Whitney	77	77	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.27	5	1	4	17.2	15.5	1.71	16.6	10.8	5.82
Richard Hamilton	53	53	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.32	-2	8	-10	17.2	16.5	0.73	14.7	17.9	-3.26
Jahidi White	43	42	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.02	9	-3	12	16.0	17.8	-1.82	18.6	13.5	5.06
Don Reid	37	37	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	8	-10	17.5	16.5	1.01	13.4	17.8	-4.43
Juwan Howard	57	57	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.13	3	3	0	15.2	20.1	-4.85	16.2	15.4	0.85
Aaron Williams	8	8	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	4	-2	19.2	16.7	2.52	14.0	16.2	-2.15
Calvin Booth	8	8	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	7	-8	19.2	16.7	2.52	14.0	16.2	-2.15
Tracy Murray	33	34	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	10	-14	17.2	16.8	0.36	16.4	15.7	0.70

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Perdue	35	36	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.16	8	-14	22	16.7	15.4	1.27	16.3	17.4	-1.10
Chris Anstey	17	17	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-9	12	16.0	15.9	0.06	19.6	16.3	3.34
Matt Maloney	34	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-7	8	17.2	15.1	2.10	15.2	18.0	-2.88
Fred Hoiberg	55	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.38	4	-10	14	15.5	16.8	-1.36	17.5	16.1	1.43
Chris Carr	54	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	2	-10	17.1	14.1	3.05	15.5	19.3	-3.86
B.J. Armstrong	53	55	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.25	-7	1	-8	15.1	17.2	-2.10	18.0	15.2	2.88
Hersey Hawkins	65	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.24	-8	2	-10	15.4	17.5	-2.13	17.7	14.5	3.19
Michael Ruffin	44	45	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.16	-12	6	-18	15.6	16.3	-0.78	16.5	17.4	-0.86
Elton Brand	78	78	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.27	-11	5	-16	15.8	17.1	-1.29	16.9	17.3	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.07,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 95, ORL 90	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.29,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.01,0,0	94.4%
SAS 111, PHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.32,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.32,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.07,0.01,0,0	93.9%
CHA 102, NYK 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.21,0.1,0.04,0	93.8%