NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	111		Excitement	6.4 [567]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (SAS): +24.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	103		Comeback	1.0 [1218]		LVP	Sergio Rodriguez (PHI): -12.7%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.16	0.08	-0.01	18	68%	0.31	2	-0.06	11	100%	0.09
Tony Parker	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.06	0.02	12	67%	0.16	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Davis Bertans	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.09	0.00	5	75%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Dewayne Dedmon	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.02	0.03	5	77%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Danny Green	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	8	69%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	58%	0.04	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Patty Mills	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.05	0.02	10	65%	0.16	0	0.00	11	91%	0.05
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.01	0.06	10	73%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	11	44%	0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.03	0.01	14	56%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.15	-0.06	0.06	11	91%	0.11	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	5	43%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
TJ McConnell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	10	30%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	31%	-0.02	2	-0.07	5	40%	-0.04
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	7	14%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	27.8	15.0	29.3	2.6	35.2	136.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +58.2%

SAS +1.2%

SAS +0.1%

PHI -12.8%

SAS +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHI	NBA	SAS	PHI	NBA
this game	14.8	15.4	14.8	116.8	107.3	107.7
season	15.4	14.5		110.1	101.9
opponent	14.4	14.8		107.6	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.8	15.0	15.2	14.2	14.8
PHI	16.5	16.3	13.0	15.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dewayne Dedmon	49	49	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.19	13	-5	18	15.1	14.5	0.56	16.5	14.1	2.38
Kawhi Leonard	69	69	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.15	14	-6	20	15.6	12.8	2.78	16.1	13.4	2.77
Danny Green	45	45	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.05	16	-8	24	16.2	13.6	2.60	16.5	14.4	2.07
LaMarcus Aldridge	71	70	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.18	10	-2	12	15.3	13.2	2.06	15.3	15.4	-0.08
Tony Parker	58	58	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.19	7	1	6	15.4	13.9	1.47	15.7	14.8	0.91
Joel Anthony	9	10	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.11	0	8	-8	11.7	15.1	-3.45	9.8	16.0	-6.21
Patty Mills	37	38	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.08	1	7	-6	13.9	15.4	-1.47	14.8	15.7	-0.91
Manu Ginobili	39	39	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	12	-16	14.1	15.2	-1.12	13.5	16.6	-3.12
David Lee	30	30	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	9	-10	15.0	14.7	0.26	15.1	15.5	-0.34
Kyle Anderson	13	14	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.08	-4	12	-16	11.8	15.3	-3.50	16.0	15.3	0.74
Jonathon Simmons	26	27	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.10	-7	15	-22	13.2	15.4	-2.25	14.0	15.9	-1.90
Davis Bertans	29	31	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.02	-5	13	-18	13.6	15.3	-1.68	15.5	15.3	0.18

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dario Saric	43	45	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.31	10	-18	28	14.1	16.4	-2.26	14.3	15.3	-0.99
Sergio Rodriguez	35	35	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-11	14	14.5	15.9	-1.34	14.6	14.9	-0.30
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	9	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-5	2	16.9	15.2	1.68	12.1	15.0	-2.86
Nerlens Noel	47	48	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-8	8	13.9	16.8	-2.88	14.4	15.2	-0.80
Gerald Henderson	47	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	-1	-6	15.4	15.3	0.08	15.2	14.4	0.87
Nik Stauskas	65	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-6	4	14.6	17.0	-2.46	14.3	15.8	-1.46
Ersan Ilyasova	54	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	3	-14	16.5	14.0	2.51	14.8	14.8	0.01
Robert Covington	72	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.23	-7	-1	-6	15.7	14.5	1.15	15.2	13.5	1.68
Jahlil Okafor	58	55	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	5	-18	17.0	12.8	4.18	15.3	14.0	1.32
TJ McConnell	61	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	3	-14	15.9	14.5	1.34	14.9	14.6	0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.32,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.32,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.07,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 99, PHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.3,0.25,0.15,0.11,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.04,0.01,0.02,0	95.0%
SEA 95, LAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.24,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	94.3%
WAS 109, CHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.07,0.02,0	93.9%