NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	87		Excitement	6.8 [439]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +12.0%
New York Knicks	80		Comeback	1.1 [554]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -21.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Todd MacCulloch	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.03	9	44%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	9	60%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	12	62%	0.09	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.11,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.17,-0.23,-0.2,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06	-0.15	0.06	-0.03	30	46%	0.17	7	-0.23	7	86%	0.04
Theo Ratliff	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	8	43%	-0.02	2	-0.11	5	100%	0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.04	-0.02	23	56%	0.18	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.09	0.00	7	71%	0.15	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	6	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	11	33%	-0.09	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.1,-0.21	-0.21	-0.10	-0.13	-0.02	19	44%	-0.18	2	-0.03	10	70%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	3.3	26.1	19.6	28.2	3.4	33.5	137.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +36.9%

PHI +8.7%

PHI +28.1%

NYK -29.8%

PHI +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	16.9	15.8	15.5	98.9	90.9	100.9
season	15.7	16.4		101.4	99.2
opponent	16.1	15.5		96.6	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.4	16.1	16.0	19.0	16.9
NYK	15.5	16.6	16.0	15.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	78	80	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.25	17	-10	27	16.8	17.7	-0.92	15.9	15.2	0.65
Aaron McKie	72	74	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.17	14	-7	21	17.0	16.6	0.40	16.4	12.8	3.63
Allen Iverson	88	88	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	0	7	16.9	0.0	16.89	15.8	0.0	15.84
Rodney Buford	32	31	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	-5	17	16.2	17.3	-1.10	16.7	15.4	1.34
Tyrone Hill	67	67	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.28	-5	12	-17	17.6	14.7	2.92	16.2	14.8	1.42
George Lynch	71	70	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.28	-6	13	-19	17.0	16.4	0.59	15.7	16.2	-0.48
Todd MacCulloch	15	13	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.08	0	7	-7	16.3	17.0	-0.67	14.5	16.1	-1.53
Jumaine Jones	0	1	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	6	-5	0.0	16.9	-16.89	6.0	16.0	-9.95
Kevin Ollie	17	16	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	12	-17	15.6	17.2	-1.54	11.9	16.7	-4.85

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	23	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.12	4	-11	15	16.9	15.5	1.39	16.9	16.9	-0.02
Glen Rice	28	29	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.11	-5	-2	-3	15.2	16.1	-0.87	16.8	16.9	-0.09
Chris Childs	33	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.12	-2	-5	3	16.2	15.6	0.59	17.3	16.6	0.71
Marcus Camby	63	62	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.27	2	-9	11	15.3	17.3	-2.01	17.6	15.2	2.35
Luc Longley	13	14	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	6	-19	19.6	15.2	4.43	14.9	17.3	-2.33
Charlie Ward	55	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-2	-3	15.6	16.2	-0.59	16.6	17.3	-0.71
Larry Johnson	75	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	-3	-1	15.6	17.2	-1.54	16.9	16.8	0.05
Allan Houston	76	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.43	-2	-5	3	15.6	17.4	-1.82	16.8	17.4	-0.58
Latrell Sprewell	74	73	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.21	-10	3	-13	16.1	14.7	1.34	16.8	17.4	-0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.41,0.36,0.24,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.16,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 106, MIA 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.24,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.24,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.27,0.41,0.29,0.46,0.38,0.21,0.22,0.05,0	92.0%
WAS 120, BOS 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.25,0.16,0.01,0,0	92.0%
MIL 98, PHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.35,0.44,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.36,0.22,0.3,0.25,0.38,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.46,0.25,0.05,0.06,0.01,0	91.7%