NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Bullets	120		Excitement	7.3 [354]		MVP	Juwan Howard (WAS): +28.4%
Boston Celtics	114		Comeback	1.4 [1098]		LVP	Rick Fox (BOS): -29.1%

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0.28	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28	0.18	0.12	0.02	17	77%	0.31	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.03
Chris Webber	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19	0.12	0.08	0.01	20	70%	0.28	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.01
Tracy Murray	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Legler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0.00	13	55%	0.01	2	-0.06	5	60%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	13	36%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Rod Strickland	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.29,-0.29,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.11	-0.12	0.01	14	50%	0.00	6	-0.24	2	50%	-0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Todd Day	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.05	0.02	18	62%	0.16	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.15	-0.00	0.10	21	76%	0.17	4	-0.12	3	33%	-0.05
Nate Driggers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.02
Alton Lister	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Steve Hamer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marty Conlon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.06	0.01	9	82%	0.15	3	-0.16	4	100%	0.02
Brett Szabo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.12	0.00	19	48%	-0.12	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.04
Rick Fox	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.12	-0.16	0.01	13	36%	-0.20	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.6	2.5	25.3	15.8	27.4	2.4	28.4	121.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +34.0%

WAS +1.4%

WAS +23.2%

BOS -6.3%

BOS -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BOS	NBA	WAS	BOS	NBA
this game	14.2	14.4	15.6	118.8	114.0	104.4
season	14.8	14.8		104.3	101.8
opponent	14.7	15.8		109.5	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.4	14.8	15.5	14.3	14.2
BOS	15.3	13.4	13.3	15.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Howard	87	86	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.30	13	-7	20	14.0	15.6	-1.64	14.4	14.4	0.00
Rod Strickland	91	91	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	-1	8	14.4	12.4	2.03	14.6	12.9	1.69
Chris Webber	88	86	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.39	1	5	-4	14.5	12.2	2.29	14.1	16.6	-2.49
Calbert Cheaney	61	60	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.19	5	1	4	15.2	12.7	2.57	13.7	15.4	-1.70
Gheorghe Muresan	60	61	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.14	6	0	6	14.7	13.5	1.16	15.4	12.9	2.43
Harvey Grant	18	17	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.14	6	0	6	13.0	14.5	-1.49	13.7	14.6	-0.87
Tim Legler	41	42	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	9	-12	14.3	14.2	0.15	15.0	14.0	1.02
Jaren Jackson	9	7	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	6	-6	8.9	14.7	-5.86	10.4	14.7	-4.30
Chris Whitney	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	7	-8	12.4	14.4	-2.03	12.9	14.6	-1.69
Tracy Murray	40	41	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.05	-4	10	-14	13.5	14.7	-1.25	15.1	13.9	1.17

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Driggers	11	11	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.04	3	-9	12	11.0	14.9	-3.85	11.6	14.5	-2.91
Brett Szabo	12	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-6	6	14.4	14.4	-0.02	13.8	14.3	-0.53
Steve Hamer	11	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-7	8	10.8	14.9	-4.06	13.5	14.3	-0.77
Michael Hawkins	9	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	0	-6	14.7	14.4	0.26	9.2	14.7	-5.50
Alton Lister	13	13	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-2	-2	17.7	13.9	3.75	17.0	13.8	3.18
Todd Day	79	79	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	0	-6	14.1	15.5	-1.38	14.0	15.0	-0.99
Rick Fox	94	93	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-5	4	14.5	13.2	1.34	14.8	8.0	6.76
Marty Conlon	85	86	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-3	0	14.7	13.1	1.60	14.2	14.6	-0.44
David Wesley	96	98	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	-2	-2	14.4	14.7	-0.33	14.2	16.0	-1.83
Antoine Walker	90	92	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.30	-10	4	-14	14.8	11.5	3.26	14.5	11.0	3.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.25,0.16,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 98, PHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.35,0.44,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.36,0.22,0.3,0.25,0.38,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.46,0.25,0.05,0.06,0.01,0	94.1%
GSW 105, VAN 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.21,0.24,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.25,0.41,0.25,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.25,0.16,0.04,0.01,0	93.7%
DEN 116, MIA 113	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.47,0.47,0.25,0.21,0.06,0.16,0	92.2%