NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	98		Excitement	6.3 [525]		MVP	Ray Allen (MIL): +73.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	91		Comeback	1.7 [337]		LVP	Eric Snow (PHI): -17.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.74	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.41,0.41,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.74	0.30	0.44	0.00	23	86%	0.79	3	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.05	-0.02	6	67%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	14	59%	0.10	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	53%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jason Caffey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.01	-0.02	24	40%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.13	-0.05	0.17	-0.01	27	43%	0.14	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.03
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	70%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	8	84%	0.20	4	-0.14	9	100%	0.06
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.00	0.05	13	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	11	46%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	5	23%	-0.07	4	-0.11	3	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.3	27.4	15.0	25.0	1.7	31.2	126.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +74.7%

PHI -24.6%

PHI -2.1%

MIL +4.0%

PHI -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHI	NBA	MIL	PHI	NBA
this game	16.0	16.2	15.5	110.1	101.1	100.9
season	14.9	15.7		105.9	101.4
opponent	15.5	15.8		97.1	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	12.3	17.8	15.3	19.5	16.0
PHI	16.5	18.2	16.0	14.1	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Thomas	39	38	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.11	19	-12	31	18.2	14.3	3.85	15.3	16.8	-1.47
Lindsey Hunter	47	49	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.10	17	-10	27	16.0	16.0	-0.07	15.6	16.9	-1.36
Ervin Johnson	62	63	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.26	11	-4	15	16.5	14.8	1.74	15.9	16.9	-0.95
Ray Allen	70	71	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.45	1	6	-5	16.9	12.7	4.13	16.1	16.4	-0.29
Sam Cassell	75	75	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.28	5	2	3	15.2	20.4	-5.18	16.4	15.1	1.35
Glenn Robinson	73	75	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.20	-5	12	-17	15.6	17.7	-2.15	16.4	14.9	1.51
Scott Williams	37	37	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.07	-5	12	-17	15.5	16.3	-0.86	17.1	15.5	1.61
Jason Caffey	42	42	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.00	-8	15	-23	14.3	17.5	-3.13	16.5	15.9	0.63

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	70	68	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.24	7	-14	21	16.4	15.3	1.14	16.2	15.4	0.73
Rodney Buford	12	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-3	-1	16.9	16.1	0.84	15.6	16.1	-0.44
Kevin Ollie	4	4	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-4	1	16.0	16.2	-0.20	19.5	15.8	3.68
Aaron McKie	50	50	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.21	3	-10	13	16.3	16.0	0.34	18.4	12.9	5.41
Eric Snow	72	70	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.41	8	-15	23	15.8	17.7	-1.92	16.0	16.0	-0.01
Jumaine Jones	8	9	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	1	-9	16.7	16.1	0.62	14.1	16.2	-2.09
Tyrone Hill	77	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.25	-3	-4	1	16.1	16.8	-0.68	16.3	14.5	1.77
Allen Iverson	82	81	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-6	5	16.0	18.6	-2.67	16.0	16.2	-0.29
George Lynch	54	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	9	-25	16.3	16.0	0.31	13.7	19.5	-5.72
Matt Geiger	21	21	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.01	-18	11	-29	16.7	16.0	0.62	15.0	16.3	-1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.35,0.44,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.36,0.22,0.3,0.25,0.38,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.46,0.25,0.05,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 120, BOS 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.25,0.16,0.01,0,0	94.1%
PHI 87, NYK 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.41,0.36,0.24,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.16,0.15,0	91.7%
ATL 105, ORL 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.39,0.15,0.1,0,0	91.4%