NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	101		Excitement	4.5 [892]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): +8.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	114		Comeback	1.6 [1058]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): -9.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bullard	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	-0.00	0.05	11	73%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	4	90%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Francis	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.02	24	55%	0.06	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	58%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Dan Langhi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	6	59%	0.00	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Shandon Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	9	45%	-0.04	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Cuttino Mobley	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	14	44%	-0.06	1	-0.03	13	92%	0.05

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	23	64%	0.09	0	0.00	18	39%	-0.15
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	8	72%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	22	59%	0.08	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	3	71%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	32.5	16.4	26.8	2.0	29.3	131.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +32.4%

HOU -9.6%

LAL +7.4%

LAL +16.6%

LAL +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAL	NBA	HOU	LAL	NBA
this game	15.8	15.8	15.5	112.2	123.9	100.9
season	16.3	15.6		104.6	106.8
opponent	15.2	14.9		101.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.8	16.0	17.4	14.9	15.8
LAL	15.8	14.0	14.5	19.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Langhi	24	24	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-14	15	15.8	15.8	-0.03	15.9	15.8	0.05
Moochie Norris	26	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-12	11	15.3	16.0	-0.65	17.6	15.2	2.43
Walt Williams	52	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-8	3	15.7	16.0	-0.33	15.9	15.7	0.16
Jason Collier	26	28	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-8	3	15.7	15.8	-0.11	18.5	14.7	3.88
Kenny Thomas	43	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	-6	-1	15.5	16.1	-0.62	15.3	16.3	-0.96
Matt Bullard	47	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-9	5	16.1	15.5	0.53	14.5	17.4	-2.88
Cuttino Mobley	74	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.04	-15	2	-17	15.9	15.2	0.76	15.2	18.5	-3.23
Shandon Anderson	83	85	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.12	-12	-1	-11	16.0	13.6	2.43	15.8	16.6	-0.79
Steve Francis	75	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.01	-17	4	-21	15.8	15.9	-0.15	16.0	15.1	0.94

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	61	61	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.00	16	-3	19	15.5	16.5	-0.98	15.9	15.6	0.38
Kobe Bryant	76	75	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.04	16	-3	19	15.1	19.5	-4.43	16.1	14.5	1.61
Isaiah Rider	46	44	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.07	8	5	3	16.5	15.2	1.28	15.5	16.1	-0.61
Robert Horry	48	47	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.03	10	3	7	15.6	16.1	-0.49	15.8	15.8	0.04
Ron Harper	35	35	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.01	8	5	3	16.1	15.7	0.36	15.8	15.8	0.03
Rick Fox	46	46	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	8	-3	15.2	16.5	-1.28	16.1	15.5	0.61
Tyronn Lue	25	24	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	12	-11	18.1	15.0	3.13	15.5	15.9	-0.37
Mark Madsen	19	18	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.09	3	10	-7	14.0	16.3	-2.32	16.4	15.7	0.72
Brian Shaw	43	43	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.09	8	5	3	15.9	15.8	0.09	15.7	15.9	-0.13
Horace Grant	39	38	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	12	-11	16.4	15.5	0.91	15.7	15.9	-0.17
Greg Foster	17	16	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	17	-21	18.5	15.2	3.30	14.9	16.0	-1.14
Devean George	5	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	20	-27	14.2	15.9	-1.73	12.0	15.9	-3.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 84, PHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.98,1	95.3%
SAS 89, SEA 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
DAL 99, OKC 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.71,0.67,0.57,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.8,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%