NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	84		Excitement	5.2 [772]		MVP	Lavoy Allen (PHI): +11.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	92		Comeback	1.4 [849]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -12.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	7	75%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Jan Vesely	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Garrett Temple	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	13	50%	0.07	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Nene	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.03	10	62%	0.05	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.02
Kevin Seraphin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	15	47%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
John Wall	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.17	-0.01	-0.05	12	31%	-0.06	5	-0.06	5	60%	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.01	10	70%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.03	-0.04	17	50%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	58%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	15	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Arnett Moultrie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	13	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	11	27%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.00	-0.02	22	46%	0.02	6	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.7	29.2	15.8	25.1	1.8	27.7	125.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +26.1%

WAS -10.4%

PHI +16.1%

PHI +18.4%

WAS -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHI	NBA	WAS	PHI	NBA
this game	14.5	16.1	15.4	89.4	97.9	104.1
season	15.1	15.5		98.8	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.7		104.2	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.5	15.8	14.2	14.7	14.5
PHI	14.7	16.2	17.1	16.6	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jan Vesely	12	13	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-3	-2	15.3	14.4	0.91	15.1	16.3	-1.18
Emeka Okafor	68	68	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.31	5	-13	18	14.1	15.6	-1.43	17.0	13.8	3.22
Jordan Crawford	35	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	-1	-6	14.6	14.5	0.14	15.0	16.7	-1.70
A.J. Price	31	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-1	-6	15.9	13.9	2.03	15.4	16.5	-1.11
Martell Webster	60	61	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.38	5	-13	18	13.4	16.5	-3.07	17.0	14.5	2.44
Kevin Seraphin	35	35	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	0	-8	15.4	14.1	1.32	15.3	16.6	-1.25
Garrett Temple	40	40	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	1	-10	15.0	14.2	0.80	15.2	16.7	-1.47
John Wall	63	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-7	6	13.9	15.9	-2.03	16.5	15.4	1.11
Trevor Ariza	54	52	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	-1	-6	15.1	13.7	1.38	16.5	15.6	0.82
Nene	72	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.23	-6	-2	-4	14.6	14.5	0.11	15.8	17.0	-1.18

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	82	82	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.26	6	2	4	15.5	20.4	-4.95	14.9	12.2	2.63
Lavoy Allen	44	44	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.02	14	-6	20	15.5	16.6	-1.03	15.3	13.9	1.37
Thaddeus Young	70	68	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	6	-4	15.3	18.3	-2.95	14.5	14.7	-0.21
Dorell Wright	30	33	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	-2	12	14.9	16.6	-1.71	14.4	14.6	-0.28
Royal Ivey	33	32	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.02	10	-2	12	15.8	16.2	-0.43	14.5	14.6	-0.11
Evan Turner	71	70	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.27	0	8	-8	17.0	13.3	3.70	13.9	16.5	-2.57
Spencer Hawes	72	72	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	10	-12	16.9	13.4	3.57	14.6	14.2	0.41
Nick Young	67	68	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.19	0	8	-8	16.9	14.2	2.68	14.4	15.0	-0.63
Arnett Moultrie	1	1	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	8	-8	13.0	16.1	-3.13	18.0	14.5	3.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 101, LAL 114	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
SAC 106, GSW 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.83,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.95,1	95.1%
MIN 106, POR 119	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.77,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%