inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 89 Excitement4.5 [935] MVPRay Allen (SEA): +19.4%
Seattle SuperSonics 101 Comeback1.1 [1166] LVPTony Parker (SAS): -17.0%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.010.04-0.011964%0.145-0.101782%0.01
Beno Udrih0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.05-0.00-0.05460%0.053-0.05250%0.00
Devin Brown-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03462%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Robert Horry-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.0220%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Nazr Mohammed-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01250%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.02-0.031054%0.023-0.06875%0.01
Glenn Robinson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.00-0.010.04654%-0.031-0.021100%0.01
Bruce Bowen-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.020.02530%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Brent Barry-0.100,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.020.00425%-0.042-0.0600%0.00
Tony Parker-0.170,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.10-0.050.011343%-0.064-0.112100%0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ray Allen0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.120.04-0.032070%0.253-0.06683%0.01
Luke Ridnour0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.020.03-0.071565%0.174-0.041100%0.00
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.040.02-0.041363%0.122-0.02450%0.01
Damien Wilkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.07-0.000.031168%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Ronald Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.010100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Vitaly Potapenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Danny Fortson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.070.00-0.0330%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Reggie Evans0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.00150%-0.0500.00633%-0.07
Jerome James0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.10-0.00-0.04625%-0.061-0.004100%0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.10-0.01-0.04619%-0.0700.00425%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game33.42.731.119.734.12.732.4156.1
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SEA +50.9%
SAS -17.7%
SAS -13.8%
SEA +32.4%
SAS -1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASSEANBASASSEANBA
this game15.416.415.598.9111.0104.0
season16.316.5105.8109.5
opponent15.615.6107.998.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.117.415.912.515.4
SEA14.616.916.817.516.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manu Ginobili43450.03-0.530.57-0.032-141615.815.00.7716.616.30.25
Beno Udrih2930-0.07-0.430.36-0.246-182412.416.8-4.3918.015.72.34
Rasho Nesterovic3435-0.12-0.380.26-0.368-202813.816.4-2.6117.615.71.86
Glenn Robinson2424-0.13-0.370.24-0.130-121213.616.0-2.4618.415.72.70
Nazr Mohammed2626-0.18-0.320.140.08-9-3-618.514.14.3214.817.1-2.27
Devin Brown2523-0.19-0.310.12-0.04-5-7211.916.7-4.8017.016.20.71
Tim Duncan6162-0.23-0.270.04-0.05-6-6015.215.8-0.6516.715.80.98
Bruce Bowen3737-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.16-4-8416.214.81.3116.716.30.42
Brent Barry4242-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.07-11-1-1016.114.71.4116.116.7-0.66
Robert Horry4243-0.44-0.06-0.380.12-197-2616.014.81.1915.916.9-1.03
Tony Parker6464-0.47-0.03-0.440.12-208-2816.712.24.5515.518.5-2.97

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luke Ridnour74740.460.040.430.2966016.715.31.4015.216.4-1.20
Antonio Daniels74730.410.090.320.091111016.018.2-2.2215.614.60.99
Reggie Evans34340.380.120.260.031201215.117.2-2.0518.313.64.67
Nick Collison54530.370.130.25-0.0414-21616.316.6-0.3315.515.20.29
Ray Allen76760.320.180.140.03102816.317.0-0.6816.111.84.27
Damien Wilkins62600.230.27-0.040.1439-616.715.80.9313.918.3-4.42
Danny Fortson27260.210.29-0.08-0.0384417.116.10.9713.116.3-3.20
Jerome James42430.110.39-0.280.0239-616.816.10.7115.815.00.77
Vitaly Potapenko660.000.50-0.490.03-113-1418.016.31.6813.815.5-1.67
Ronald Murray650.000.50-0.500.18-618-2417.816.31.5012.615.6-2.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 94, UTA 1080.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.64,0.48,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%
GSW 95, BOS 1090.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.88,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.1%
PHX 88, SAS 1000.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.0%