NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	112		Excitement	12.6 [11]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): +63.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	113		Comeback	18.8 [55]		LVP	Mike Bibby (VAN): -33.4%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ike Austin	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.29	0.01	0.28	-0.00	4	50%	0.29	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	9	65%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.06	0.00	6	56%	0.08	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Michael Dickerson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.02	17	68%	0.21	5	-0.21	4	75%	-0.01
Kevin Edwards	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	12	48%	-0.02	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Stromile Swift	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.1,-0.16,-0.11	-0.01	-0.10	0.01	27	50%	-0.01	1	-0.11	10	90%	0.06
Mike Bibby	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.24,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.15	-0.18	0.00	19	36%	-0.24	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,0.64	0.64	-0.02	0.67	0.01	22	54%	0.67	2	-0.03	13	38%	-0.29
Rick Fox	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.00	5	91%	0.13	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	12	67%	0.19	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.06	0.00	4	87%	0.16	1	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,0,-0.05,0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,0,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.04	-0.01	24	46%	0.07	3	-0.10	8	75%	0.06
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	8	12%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.24	-0.24	-0.00	-0.24	0.00	2	50%	-0.24	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.4	2.6	28.2	16.7	26.3	2.5	34.9	1.6	18.8	155.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	1.7	17.2	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +81.9%

VAN -15.2%

VAN -26.8%

LAL +10.4%

VAN -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	LAL	NBA	VAN	LAL	NBA
this game	15.1	14.7	15.5	105.7	105.6	100.9
season	15.6	15.6		97.4	106.8
opponent	15.2	15.1		101.8	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
VAN	14.3	16.9	11.2	17.7	19.0	15.1
LAL	14.0	15.9	15.0	13.6	16.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stromile Swift	23	24	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.03	9	-10	19	12.3	15.9	-3.60	15.8	14.4	1.41
Othella Harrington	54	52	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.20	-9	8	-17	14.9	15.3	-0.40	14.1	15.3	-1.21
Ike Austin	19	18	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.18	2	-3	5	15.9	15.0	0.94	12.8	15.1	-2.29
Kevin Edwards	10	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	4	-9	14.5	15.2	-0.69	11.2	15.2	-4.02
Michael Dickerson	94	95	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.48	7	-8	15	14.5	20.1	-5.59	15.3	10.2	5.06
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	101	101	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.48	3	-4	7	15.2	13.0	2.23	14.8	14.2	0.61
Damon Jones	54	56	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.59	4	-5	9	17.7	12.4	5.26	14.9	14.6	0.32
Mike Bibby	97	99	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.39	-6	5	-11	14.9	17.0	-2.05	14.6	16.9	-2.31
Bryant Reeves	78	78	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.43	-10	9	-19	15.0	15.4	-0.32	15.2	13.6	1.63

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ron Harper	47	48	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.52	6	-5	11	14.8	14.7	0.05	12.6	17.2	-4.60
Brian Shaw	53	52	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.61	-1	2	-3	16.1	13.4	2.65	15.9	14.4	1.57
Kobe Bryant	94	93	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.44	4	-3	7	14.1	19.2	-5.03	15.4	12.8	2.59
Robert Horry	48	47	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.46	1	0	1	14.0	15.3	-1.26	17.7	13.1	4.60
Shaquille O'Neal	93	92	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.48	-6	7	-13	15.6	9.0	6.60	14.7	17.9	-3.23
Greg Foster	11	12	0.07	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	-2	5	10.7	15.2	-4.47	15.2	15.1	0.14
Horace Grant	61	61	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	0	1	14.8	14.7	0.15	13.6	17.1	-3.49
Rick Fox	44	43	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.09	5	-4	9	14.5	14.9	-0.40	13.1	16.5	-3.45
Mark Madsen	9	10	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	2	-3	15.4	14.7	0.77	16.5	15.0	1.52
Isaiah Rider	37	36	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.01	-4	5	-9	15.0	14.6	0.36	16.5	14.4	2.09
Tyronn Lue	38	36	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	-0.14	-3	4	-7	14.1	15.1	-1.06	17.4	13.9	3.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.6,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.54,0.47,0.54,0.85,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 94, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.74,1	89.3%
DEN 105, IND 109	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.78,0.53,0.64,0.45,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.79,0.77,0.74,1	88.2%
DEN 96, TOR 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.72,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.68,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.47,0.46,0.23,0.38,0.55,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.37,0.43,0.77,1	87.8%