NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	111		Excitement	6.2 [544]		MVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): +16.8%
Utah Jazz	102		Comeback	1.5 [164]		LVP	Bryon Russell (UTA): -10.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17	0.03	0.13	-0.01	23	58%	0.25	3	-0.08	9	100%	0.05
Ray Allen	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.07	0.04	15	69%	0.17	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Lindsey Hunter	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	10	62%	0.11	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Jerome Kersey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	59%	0.04	1	-0.04	8	100%	0.04
Jason Caffey	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	64%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Ervin Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joel Przybilla	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.03	-0.01	18	69%	0.18	2	-0.04	15	100%	0.09
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	9	70%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.03	0.02	12	62%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	7	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	0.04	12	55%	-0.02	3	-0.08	7	57%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.0	2.0	28.2	15.8	27.2	1.6	34.3	139.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +30.1%

MIL +10.1%

MIL +4.1%

UTA -2.3%

MIL +8.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	UTA	NBA	MIL	UTA	NBA
this game	15.7	15.6	15.5	122.0	109.7	100.9
season	14.9	16.0		105.9	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.8		100.5	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.0	16.9	17.0	14.3	15.7
UTA	16.2	17.4	16.5	12.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Thomas	53	52	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.15	21	-12	33	15.2	16.4	-1.18	14.3	17.3	-3.03
Lindsey Hunter	55	55	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.18	14	-5	19	15.8	15.5	0.25	15.6	15.6	0.03
Scott Williams	44	44	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.07	17	-8	25	15.9	15.5	0.35	15.2	16.0	-0.80
Ervin Johnson	49	48	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.08	15	-6	21	15.4	16.0	-0.50	15.7	15.6	0.09
Glenn Robinson	72	74	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.27	-2	11	-13	15.7	15.5	0.20	16.0	14.2	1.78
Sam Cassell	49	51	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.09	0	9	-9	15.3	16.2	-0.90	16.3	14.8	1.57
Jerome Kersey	1	2	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	7	-5	0.0	15.9	-15.86	14.5	15.6	-1.15
Ray Allen	70	73	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.17	-4	13	-17	15.3	17.0	-1.78	15.1	17.6	-2.52
Joel Przybilla	23	26	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	14	-19	16.9	15.3	1.59	15.9	15.5	0.42
Jason Caffey	39	40	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.11	-13	22	-35	17.2	14.6	2.62	17.0	14.6	2.46

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Starks	48	46	0.29	-0.79	1.09	-0.03	11	-20	31	16.1	15.1	1.08	16.3	15.1	1.17
Olden Polynice	27	26	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.04	11	-20	31	17.6	14.8	2.83	17.1	15.1	1.95
Bryon Russell	65	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-7	5	15.6	15.7	-0.13	15.2	16.9	-1.68
John Stockton	67	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.29	1	-10	11	15.4	16.3	-0.95	15.9	15.1	0.77
Karl Malone	74	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-7	5	15.4	16.7	-1.33	15.4	16.9	-1.53
Danny Manning	29	29	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	3	-15	15.8	15.6	0.20	14.3	16.3	-2.01
Jacque Vaughn	34	33	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	6	-21	17.0	14.8	2.17	15.1	16.0	-0.88
Donyell Marshall	47	47	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-4	-1	14.6	16.7	-2.04	15.5	15.9	-0.44
Quincy Lewis	24	22	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.13	-12	3	-15	14.9	15.9	-0.95	17.0	15.3	1.74
Greg Ostertag	50	49	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.14	-20	11	-31	15.1	16.2	-1.09	16.0	15.3	0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.3,0.19,0.25,0.24,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 110, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.02,0,0,0	93.0%
GSW 103, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.2,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.05,0.03,0.16,0	93.0%
DET 91, MIA 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.34,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	92.9%