NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	103		Excitement	7.3 [360]		MVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): +29.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	100		Comeback	1.5 [370]		LVP	Mateen Cleaves (CLE): -19.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.29	0.10	0.20	0.01	18	71%	0.39	3	-0.10	13	85%	0.12
Mike Dunleavy	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.04	-0.01	13	77%	0.19	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Brian Cardinal	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	80%	0.05	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Mickael Pietrus	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.03	0.00	12	38%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Adonal Foyle	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	12	56%	0.02	3	-0.09	8	50%	-0.05
Calbert Cheaney	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,0,0.08	0.08	-0.04	0.11	-0.01	28	51%	0.17	3	-0.09	11	64%	-0.02
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	8	53%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
Kedrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	4	37%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	15	63%	0.08	2	-0.05	11	91%	0.04
Kevin Ollie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	13	50%	-0.09	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.05	0.00	8	17%	-0.13	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.5	1.8	28.1	15.7	24.2	2.4	32.3	133.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +62.2%

GSW +12.5%

CLE -22.3%

CLE -4.3%

GSW +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CLE	NBA	GSW	CLE	NBA
this game	15.3	16.2	15.7	113.2	108.7	100.5
season	16.1	15.7		100.8	99.8
opponent	15.5	15.3		102.3	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.2	14.3	15.8	15.9	15.3
CLE	17.5	17.8	11.9	18.2	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calbert Cheaney	52	51	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.27	18	-15	33	13.1	18.2	-5.04	16.4	15.9	0.58
Brian Cardinal	44	44	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.48	6	-3	9	15.5	15.1	0.35	15.7	16.6	-0.94
Troy Murphy	71	71	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.13	13	-10	23	14.8	16.9	-2.05	16.7	14.2	2.51
Jason Richardson	80	80	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.34	0	3	-3	15.4	14.8	0.54	16.3	15.3	0.97
Clifford Robinson	80	81	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.37	-2	5	-7	15.7	12.5	3.23	15.7	19.7	-4.04
Mike Dunleavy	83	85	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.34	-2	5	-7	15.2	16.0	-0.77	16.7	10.1	6.53
Mickael Pietrus	27	29	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	9	-15	17.6	14.3	3.21	15.9	16.3	-0.41
Adonal Foyle	18	19	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.11	-12	15	-27	17.8	14.7	3.09	14.2	16.7	-2.47

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mateen Cleaves	43	44	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.14	7	-10	17	15.7	16.6	-0.94	15.0	15.5	-0.49
Kevin Ollie	2	2	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-1	-1	24.5	16.0	8.51	18.5	15.2	3.28
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	47	47	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.16	5	-8	13	17.0	15.3	1.65	14.3	16.4	-2.11
DeSagana Diop	7	7	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	1	-5	21.7	15.7	6.00	14.3	15.4	-1.10
Ira Newble	69	69	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.37	6	-9	15	15.7	17.7	-1.97	15.5	14.7	0.81
Jason Kapono	24	26	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	5	-13	16.5	16.1	0.38	14.0	15.8	-1.87
Carlos Boozer	76	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.46	5	-8	13	14.9	22.3	-7.43	15.9	12.7	3.28
Kedrick Brown	26	24	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	0	-3	17.8	15.5	2.33	15.4	15.3	0.11
Tony Battie	37	36	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.23	-5	2	-7	15.4	16.7	-1.38	15.9	14.9	0.93
Lee Nailon	40	39	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.04	-13	10	-23	17.7	15.0	2.74	15.3	15.3	0.02
LeBron James	89	88	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	0	-3	15.9	23.3	-7.40	15.4	11.7	3.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.2,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.05,0.03,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 111, UTA 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.3,0.19,0.25,0.24,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.01,0.01,0	93.0%
DET 95, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.04,0	92.8%
LAC 100, SAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.28,0.15,0.21,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.15,0	92.7%