NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	79		Excitement	8.5 [145]		MVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): +37.8%
Phoenix Suns	84		Comeback	12.0 [78]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (POR): -22.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Davis	0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.06	0.14	0.00	9	71%	0.22	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.04
Rasheed Wallace	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.05	-0.00	14	50%	0.06	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Stacey Augmon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	64%	-0.00	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Damon Stoudamire	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	13	36%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Anthony	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.01,-0.06,-0.13	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	13	54%	0.09	5	-0.22	2	50%	-0.01
Bonzi Wells	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	9	33%	-0.08	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Steven Smith	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	7	33%	-0.13	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.10	-0.12	0.00	5	33%	-0.09	3	-0.13	2	0%	-0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.02,-0.07,0.38	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.01	17	72%	0.62	3	-0.24	6	83%	0.07
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.04	0.01	15	52%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul McPherson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	12	36%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.01	-0.01	21	45%	0.08	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Santiago	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.3	28.7	15.6	23.1	2.4	36.5	134.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +51.2%

POR -6.2%

POR -7.2%

PHX +10.3%

PHX +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHX	NBA	POR	PHX	NBA
this game	15.6	15.7	15.5	85.9	91.3	100.9
season	15.8	14.9		103.9	97.7
opponent	15.4	15.8		96.2	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.4	13.7	18.9	15.1	15.6
PHX	15.3	15.6	17.1	14.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Kemp	33	33	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.07	3	-8	11	16.2	15.3	0.97	16.9	15.0	1.86
Greg Anthony	19	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-3	1	15.4	15.7	-0.32	15.3	15.8	-0.51
Stacey Augmon	34	33	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-7	9	13.9	16.6	-2.66	16.3	15.3	1.01
Damon Stoudamire	60	61	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.11	-2	-3	1	15.9	15.2	0.71	15.7	15.6	0.16
Bonzi Wells	49	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-5	5	14.2	17.3	-3.12	15.6	15.8	-0.26
Dale Davis	71	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	0	-5	15.4	16.5	-1.11	15.3	17.0	-1.67
Steven Smith	51	51	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.29	-6	1	-7	16.8	14.2	2.57	15.4	16.0	-0.57
Scottie Pippen	64	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.28	-7	2	-9	16.4	13.8	2.64	15.5	16.2	-0.71
Rasheed Wallace	79	80	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.33	-8	3	-11	15.7	15.2	0.54	15.7	15.4	0.31

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corie Blount	37	38	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.34	12	-7	19	16.2	15.3	0.89	16.5	15.0	1.50
Shawn Marion	88	87	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.31	8	-3	11	15.7	16.2	-0.59	15.8	11.8	4.04
Clifford Robinson	87	87	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.34	7	-2	9	15.4	21.4	-6.04	15.3	21.8	-6.54
Mario Elie	38	38	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.29	8	-3	11	14.9	16.2	-1.26	17.0	14.6	2.35
Jason Kidd	80	80	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	0	5	15.8	15.2	0.60	16.0	12.9	3.11
Tony Delk	55	55	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	8	-11	15.9	15.3	0.60	14.5	17.3	-2.76
Paul McPherson	12	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	5	-5	15.2	15.8	-0.60	12.9	16.0	-3.11
Tom Gugliotta	9	10	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	10	-15	19.1	15.3	3.80	16.8	15.5	1.32
Rodney Rogers	9	10	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	10	-15	19.1	15.3	3.80	16.8	15.5	1.32
Daniel Santiago	45	43	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.05	-2	7	-9	14.9	16.4	-1.56	14.8	16.4	-1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.43,0.56,0.58,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.73,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.22,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 82, TOR 87	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.4,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.31,0.42,1	90.2%
SEA 85, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.89,0.81,0.64,0.6,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.57,0.42,1	90.2%
UTA 102, ORL 104	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.18,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.59,0.78,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.16,1	89.6%