inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 82 Excitement9.0 [139] MVPJames Johnson (TOR): +41.3%
Toronto Raptors 87 Comeback4.0 [289] LVPKawhi Leonard (SAS): -23.9%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marco Belinelli0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.32,0.32,0.220.090.130.00875%0.2200.0000%0.00
Tiago Splitter0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.020.01856%0.061-0.042100%0.01
Matt Bonner0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.000.002100%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Aron Baynes-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Boris Diaw-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.030.00550%-0.002-0.06250%-0.02
Patty Mills-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.030.0010%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Tony Parker-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.07,-0.07-0.080.01-0.011336%0.022-0.09250%-0.02
Danny Green-0.130,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.05-0.080.01930%-0.1300.00250%-0.01
Tim Duncan-0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16-0.09-0.050.011435%-0.082-0.086100%0.05
Manu Ginobili-0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21-0.08-0.14-0.001332%-0.111-0.102100%0.01
Kawhi Leonard-0.240,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24-0.13-0.12-0.011732%-0.193-0.0500%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.410.410.140.310.041083%0.491-0.07475%-0.01
Amir Johnson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.190.190.090.110.00875%0.211-0.02475%-0.01
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.040.00487%0.1000.0000%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.02-0.00750%0.051-0.032100%0.02
Greivis Vasquez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.00642%0.0100.0000%0.00
Tyler Hansbrough0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.03-0.01425%-0.051-0.0100%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.03-0.021445%-0.023-0.051283%0.01
Lou Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.12-0.04-0.0050%-0.092-0.0700%0.00
Kyle Lowry0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21-0.21-0.12-0.10-0.011537%-0.094-0.12250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.81.826.215.623.12.536.5132.6
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +81.8%
SAS -1.9%
SAS -35.4%
TOR +6.6%
SAS -1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASTORNBASASTORNBA
this game15.115.115.186.390.6104.2
season15.415.6106.9109.1
opponent15.014.9106.8101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS13.716.114.516.015.1
TOR14.014.516.116.015.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Danny Green45470.51-1.011.530.0715-203515.514.70.8316.014.21.80
Cory Joseph24240.41-0.911.32-0.1519-244313.115.7-2.5815.215.10.08
Tiago Splitter39400.21-0.710.92-0.2014-193314.715.3-0.6515.215.00.21
Aron Baynes25250.05-0.550.610.08-1-4315.015.1-0.1315.115.1-0.03
Matt Bonner01-0.04-0.460.42-0.040-550.015.1-15.054.015.2-11.22
Marco Belinelli3131-0.05-0.450.40-0.329-142316.214.51.6516.714.42.32
Patty Mills1616-0.08-0.420.34-0.02-2-3113.315.4-2.0911.915.7-3.88
Boris Diaw5353-0.16-0.340.19-0.191-6713.916.5-2.5913.617.0-3.35
Tim Duncan5859-0.740.24-0.98-0.10-2217-3915.913.72.2115.913.91.97
Tony Parker5555-0.790.29-1.09-0.15-2217-3916.413.23.2016.213.62.61
Kawhi Leonard7271-0.900.40-1.30-0.23-2318-4115.413.91.5615.513.81.71
Manu Ginobili5758-0.930.43-1.36-0.55-138-2114.116.4-2.3213.517.6-4.05

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeMar DeRozan71710.87-0.371.230.2820-153515.214.80.3614.815.7-0.82
James Johnson57570.86-0.361.220.3019-143315.914.01.9015.214.80.39
Patrick Patterson57550.77-0.271.050.4511-61713.817.1-3.3214.615.6-0.99
Kyle Lowry70690.71-0.210.920.1818-133115.613.71.9415.513.81.66
Amir Johnson51510.290.210.080.44-510-1516.114.02.1215.314.80.44
Jonas Valanciunas66660.270.230.05-0.1414-92315.514.31.2215.314.40.92
Tyler Hansbrough1210-0.150.65-0.800.06-712-1912.615.5-2.8812.715.3-2.63
Lou Williams3333-0.240.74-0.970.20-1520-3513.516.0-2.5114.215.5-1.29
Terrence Ross2929-0.400.90-1.310.04-1520-3515.115.1-0.0515.914.71.21
Greivis Vasquez3434-0.480.98-1.47-0.04-1520-3515.115.1-0.0214.915.1-0.22


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.4,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.31,0.42,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 79, PHX 840.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.43,0.56,0.58,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.73,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.22,0.27,190.2%
CLE 97, CHA 980.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.27,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.38,0.54,0.32,0.42,189.1%
UTA 78, MEM 790.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.68,0.72,0.56,0.58,189.0%