NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	102		Excitement	10.2 [50]		MVP	Pat Garrity (ORL): +29.8%
Orlando Magic	104		Comeback	5.2 [120]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -37.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek	0.28	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.28,0.28	0.04	0.24	0.00	9	59%	0.28	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
John Stockton	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.09	0.00	9	68%	0.21	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.04
Greg Ostertag	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Jacque Vaughn	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Olden Polynice	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	7	50%	-0.00	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.03
Quincy Lewis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	6	33%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.14	0.02	-0.16	0.00	11	59%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.28	-0.14	-0.15	-0.00	6	45%	-0.12	4	-0.17	10	50%	-0.08
Karl Malone	-0.37	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.17,-0.37	0.01	-0.36	0.02	22	58%	-0.22	4	-0.15	6	83%	0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.3	0.30	0.05	0.24	0.00	3	89%	0.30	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.20
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	2	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	3	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	8	55%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	64%	0.02	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	7	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	9	30%	-0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.12	-0.14	0.00	22	44%	-0.05	4	-0.22	6	67%	-0.02
Monty Williams	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.16,-0.25,-0.29	-0.29	-0.08	-0.21	-0.00	13	44%	-0.24	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.8	35.2	16.5	32.3	2.3	31.6	144.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +40.6%

UTA -31.4%

ORL +8.4%

ORL +30.0%

ORL +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	ORL	NBA	UTA	ORL	NBA
this game	17.2	12.7	15.2	105.2	109.5	101.7
season	16.3	13.6		104.5	100.4
opponent	15.4	15.2		99.3	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.2	17.6	17.9	19.9	17.2
ORL	12.3	12.4	11.6	15.2	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Ostertag	30	30	0.30	-0.80	1.10	-0.02	11	-13	24	19.8	16.0	3.80	14.1	12.1	2.03
Jacque Vaughn	11	11	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.02	6	-8	14	18.3	17.1	1.20	15.1	12.4	2.65
Quincy Lewis	33	32	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.10	1	-3	4	15.8	18.0	-2.20	14.2	12.0	2.22
Pete Chilcutt	6	6	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	3	-8	19.8	17.0	2.80	11.0	12.9	-1.87
Olden Polynice	53	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.01	-7	5	-12	15.8	18.9	-3.08	11.9	13.8	-1.95
John Stockton	59	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	0	-2	17.4	17.0	0.38	12.9	12.5	0.40
Bryon Russell	80	79	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.47	1	-3	4	17.7	14.9	2.82	12.2	15.3	-3.08
Howard Eisley	61	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.44	0	-2	2	18.2	15.4	2.80	13.4	11.7	1.61
Karl Malone	81	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.33	-5	3	-8	17.0	18.4	-1.40	12.6	13.4	-0.81
Jeff Hornacek	71	69	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.42	-10	8	-18	16.1	20.2	-4.08	12.0	14.7	-2.68

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	78	80	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.30	6	-4	10	12.4	14.4	-1.96	16.8	19.1	-2.25
Chucky Atkins	36	36	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.52	-2	4	-6	14.2	11.9	2.33	18.6	16.4	2.15
Monty Williams	54	58	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.35	1	1	0	13.0	12.4	0.54	16.8	17.7	-0.90
Chris Gatling	26	26	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.33	1	1	0	12.8	12.7	0.03	19.3	16.4	2.92
Pat Garrity	12	11	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	-1	4	14.2	12.5	1.62	18.1	17.1	1.00
Corey Maggette	33	34	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.13	5	-3	8	12.1	13.1	-1.05	17.4	17.1	0.27
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	68	69	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.16	3	-1	4	11.9	15.0	-3.10	16.9	18.0	-1.07
Ben Wallace	66	69	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	1	0	12.7	12.8	-0.12	16.7	18.5	-1.87
Anthony Parker	1	1	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	0	2	6.0	12.8	-6.82	0.0	17.4	-17.39
John Amaechi	28	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	2	-2	13.9	12.3	1.67	15.5	17.9	-2.34
Michael Doleac	44	45	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.03	-2	4	-6	11.5	13.8	-2.32	17.4	17.0	0.44
Bo Outlaw	29	29	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.07	-8	10	-18	14.8	11.9	2.89	18.7	16.6	2.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.18,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.59,0.78,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 89, CHH 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.46,0.54,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.15,1	91.0%
TOR 84, ATL 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.83,0.6,0.73,0.39,0.45,0.22,0.42,1	90.1%
POR 79, PHX 84	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.43,0.56,0.58,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.73,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.22,0.27,1	89.6%