NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	95		Excitement	4.8 [827]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (ORL): +11.0%
New Jersey Nets	74		Comeback	1.1 [534]		LVP	Johnny Newman (NJN): -17.3%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	32	59%	0.17	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Pat Garrity	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.03	8	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	10	35%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	7	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Monty Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	6	21%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
John Amaechi	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.17	-0.01	-0.03	14	35%	-0.07	4	-0.08	6	33%	-0.05

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	78%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	10	64%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Soumaila Samake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Evan Eschmeyer	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	27%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.12	0.00	-0.06	9	32%	-0.00	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.03
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.16	-0.03	-0.06	12	17%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.07	0.01	11	44%	-0.09	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.04	0.01	6	50%	-0.04	5	-0.13	8	87%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	28.7	14.6	24.6	1.8	22.4	119.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +34.1%

NJN -15.3%

ORL +12.1%

ORL +18.0%

ORL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NJN	NBA	ORL	NJN	NBA
this game	14.8	16.5	15.5	104.4	79.6	100.9
season	14.6	15.5		101.6	97.8
opponent	15.1	15.8		103.0	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.1	13.5	14.7	18.6	14.8
NJN	14.5	17.0	16.7	18.3	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	80	82	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.21	27	-6	33	14.9	14.4	0.52	16.7	14.5	2.28
Bo Outlaw	80	81	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.25	27	-6	33	14.9	14.5	0.32	16.9	13.4	3.50
John Amaechi	63	65	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.06	11	10	1	13.9	17.0	-3.14	15.7	18.1	-2.40
Darrell Armstrong	58	60	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	12	-3	14.0	16.2	-2.23	16.1	17.1	-0.97
Mike Miller	27	29	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.12	5	16	-11	13.5	15.4	-1.86	15.7	16.8	-1.17
Monty Williams	43	43	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.11	12	9	3	15.7	14.0	1.70	17.0	16.0	1.09
Pat Garrity	37	38	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.31	17	4	13	15.9	14.1	1.75	16.4	16.5	-0.16
Troy Hudson	33	33	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.20	12	9	3	16.2	14.0	2.23	17.1	16.1	0.97
Andrew DeClercq	10	9	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.14	-8	29	-37	15.5	14.7	0.76	15.4	16.6	-1.13
Michael Doleac	24	25	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.10	-7	28	-35	15.0	14.8	0.24	16.4	16.5	-0.03

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Soumaila Samake	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-18	15	13.7	16.7	-2.97	16.7	14.6	2.11
Kevin Ollie	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-23	25	11.0	16.6	-5.58	12.5	14.9	-2.38
Kenyon Martin	58	56	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.16	-6	-15	9	15.4	18.2	-2.79	15.5	13.7	1.80
Kendall Gill	55	52	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-20	19	15.6	17.8	-2.20	15.0	14.6	0.37
Evan Eschmeyer	25	23	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-16	11	17.6	16.0	1.61	13.6	15.2	-1.68
Stephen Jackson	53	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.24	-13	-8	-5	17.2	15.4	1.78	15.6	13.8	1.85
Sherman Douglas	43	43	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.13	-17	-4	-13	17.2	15.8	1.35	16.0	13.7	2.27
Johnny Newman	52	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	-10	-1	16.2	16.7	-0.48	13.6	16.4	-2.81
Stephon Marbury	66	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.09	-17	-4	-13	16.8	15.6	1.17	14.5	15.7	-1.27
Aaron Williams	65	64	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.01	-17	-4	-13	16.6	16.2	0.41	14.6	15.3	-0.62
Lucious Harris	38	39	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.02	-17	-4	-13	17.1	16.1	1.00	14.2	15.3	-1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 106, DEN 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.36,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.2%
MIL 105, DET 97	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.09,0.26,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.0%
CHI 95, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.28,0.21,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.01,0	94.4%