NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	95		Excitement	5.8 [666]		MVP	Luol Deng (CHI): +13.0%
Atlanta Hawks	90		Comeback	1.1 [595]		LVP	Royal Ivey (ATL): -11.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.02	-0.00	16	58%	0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	7	69%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	8	78%	0.18	5	-0.11	7	86%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.07	2	-0.06	8	50%	-0.05
Eric Piatkowski	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	10	37%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Michael Sweetney	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	10	35%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	7	55%	-0.01	3	-0.08	8	50%	-0.05

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.07	0.12	-0.00	0.05	22	59%	0.15	2	-0.09	10	70%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	4	79%	0.09	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.02
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	9	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.01	19	51%	0.01	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Donta Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	11	42%	-0.02	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	6	22%	-0.10	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Esteban Batista	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	2	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	5	20%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.8	34.4	16.5	30.1	0.2	38.8	148.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +35.2%

CHI +9.8%

CHI +11.0%

ATL -8.3%

CHI +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ATL	NBA	CHI	ATL	NBA
this game	15.6	15.8	15.6	104.4	97.8	104.4
season	14.4	15.6		102.6	103.9
opponent	15.5	16.1		109.3	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.5	16.3	16.6	14.2	15.6
ATL	18.0	14.3	15.4	15.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	80	79	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.32	7	-2	9	15.2	19.2	-4.02	16.1	14.5	1.59
Kirk Hinrich	58	59	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.27	6	-1	7	15.7	15.6	0.07	16.6	14.4	2.19
Tyson Chandler	56	61	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.20	7	-2	9	17.2	13.2	3.98	16.8	13.9	2.95
Andres Nocioni	64	64	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.34	0	5	-5	14.5	18.3	-3.77	15.1	17.4	-2.25
Chris Duhon	67	68	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.34	0	5	-5	15.1	17.1	-1.95	14.8	18.7	-3.96
Ben Gordon	46	45	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.09	3	2	1	16.5	14.7	1.81	16.3	15.4	0.86
Malik Allen	43	43	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.08	2	3	-1	16.9	14.5	2.39	15.8	15.9	-0.07
Michael Sweetney	25	24	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	5	-5	15.8	15.6	0.15	16.4	15.6	0.80
Jannero Pargo	16	16	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	5	-5	13.1	16.2	-3.06	13.6	16.3	-2.74
Eric Piatkowski	0	1	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	5	-5	0.0	15.6	-15.65	9.0	15.9	-6.90

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donta Smith	3	1	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-4	3	10.7	16.0	-5.33	13.0	15.7	-2.68
Esteban Batista	16	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.12	0	-5	5	14.2	16.2	-1.98	13.7	16.1	-2.38
Zaza Pachulia	55	55	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.18	0	-5	5	16.7	14.6	2.06	16.9	13.7	3.14
Royal Ivey	51	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.13	-2	-3	1	16.3	15.2	1.14	16.2	15.0	1.29
Marvin Williams	47	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-1	-3	14.5	17.2	-2.65	13.9	17.4	-3.55
Josh Smith	74	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	0	-5	16.1	14.7	1.37	16.0	14.1	1.89
Salim Stoudamire	51	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	1	-7	15.1	16.7	-1.55	14.7	16.9	-2.19
Al Harrington	73	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.30	-4	-1	-3	16.4	13.6	2.77	16.4	12.8	3.61
Joe Johnson	90	89	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	-2	-1	15.9	13.5	2.38	15.5	21.5	-5.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.28,0.21,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 96, LAL 88	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.27,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.5%
SAS 106, DEN 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.36,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.4%
ORL 95, NJN 74	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%