NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	80		Excitement	7.4 [337]		MVP	Michael Doleac (ORL): +7.7%
Orlando Magic	83		Comeback	2.5 [657]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NJN): -31.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johnny Newman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sherman Douglas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	67%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Lucious Harris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Kenyon Martin	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	9	37%	-0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	14	47%	-0.02	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.26	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.28,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.19	-0.07	-0.01	12	27%	-0.18	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.31	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.14,-0.23,-0.31	-0.13	-0.20	-0.01	19	51%	-0.00	6	-0.31	11	73%	0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08	0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.01	11	67%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	5	83%	0.10	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.03
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.05	0.00	24	50%	0.06	3	-0.10	14	64%	-0.02
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	11	48%	0.02	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
John Amaechi	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.18	-0.07	-0.01	14	14%	-0.21	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	32.4	15.5	24.5	2.5	37.2	138.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +38.2%

ORL +0.8%

NJN -13.5%

ORL +20.1%

ORL +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	ORL	NBA	NJN	ORL	NBA
this game	14.9	13.8	15.5	79.2	83.8	100.9
season	15.5	14.6		97.8	101.6
opponent	15.8	15.1		100.8	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.3	14.5	16.0	15.1	14.9
ORL	12.0	13.7	14.0	16.2	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Newman	22	22	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.06	10	-13	23	14.7	15.0	-0.27	14.2	13.7	0.49
Sherman Douglas	21	20	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.14	8	-11	19	15.0	14.9	0.07	13.6	13.9	-0.25
Lucious Harris	48	45	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.45	14	-17	31	14.9	15.0	-0.16	14.5	13.3	1.26
Aaron Williams	62	61	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.46	14	-17	31	14.8	15.1	-0.31	14.5	12.8	1.72
Stephen Jackson	76	76	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.25	0	-3	3	14.6	16.0	-1.41	13.9	13.7	0.26
Kendall Gill	71	69	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.12	-16	13	-29	15.2	14.3	0.86	13.3	15.1	-1.75
Stephon Marbury	80	79	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.27	-11	8	-19	14.9	15.0	-0.07	13.9	13.6	0.25
Evan Eschmeyer	47	44	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.02	-21	18	-39	15.5	14.4	1.11	13.2	14.3	-1.08
Kenyon Martin	78	79	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.29	-13	10	-23	14.9	15.1	-0.19	13.6	14.9	-1.32

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Doleac	63	64	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.21	23	-20	43	13.1	15.2	-2.12	15.3	14.3	1.06
Tracy McGrady	83	83	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.43	5	-2	7	13.9	13.7	0.19	14.9	15.3	-0.41
Darrell Armstrong	79	80	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.25	10	-7	17	13.8	14.0	-0.25	15.0	14.7	0.29
Bo Outlaw	65	66	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	-2	7	13.7	14.1	-0.37	15.1	14.7	0.43
John Amaechi	78	79	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.26	5	-2	7	14.0	13.2	0.77	14.8	15.5	-0.72
Troy Hudson	18	20	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.09	2	1	1	12.9	14.0	-1.10	15.4	14.8	0.64
Andrew DeClercq	18	20	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	8	-13	14.3	13.7	0.59	15.2	14.9	0.39
Monty Williams	33	33	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	9	-15	13.5	14.0	-0.45	13.7	15.5	-1.85
Pat Garrity	32	32	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.13	-11	14	-25	15.0	13.3	1.75	15.2	14.8	0.32
Mike Miller	26	28	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.14	-13	16	-29	14.8	13.5	1.30	14.8	15.0	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.65,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.9,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 70, PHI 74	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.95,1	93.3%
HOU 84, SAS 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.67,0.82,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.84,0.83,1	92.9%
HOU 104, POR 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.73,0.73,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.66,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.69,0.93,1,1,1	92.5%