NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	92		Excitement	6.8 [436]		MVP	John Starks (UTA): +22.0%
Utah Jazz	98		Comeback	17.6 [86]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -20.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.01	11	73%	0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.02	-0.06	5	20%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.09	-0.02	-0.08	-0.01	20	56%	0.00	4	-0.09	5	100%	0.04
Chauncey Billups	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14	-0.01	-0.12	0.02	17	51%	-0.07	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.02
Kevin Garnett	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.04,-0.07,-0.2	-0.07	-0.14	-0.01	18	48%	-0.14	2	-0.06	10	80%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Starks	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.07,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.06	0.15	-0.01	10	67%	0.25	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
David Benoit	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	11	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	71%	0.07	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.10	-0.02	10	59%	0.07	3	-0.17	2	100%	0.01
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	17	52%	-0.01	4	-0.10	8	75%	0.06
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	5	68%	-0.05	4	-0.08	9	78%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	1.6	32.2	15.8	26.1	2.4	36.3	135.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +41.1%

UTA +19.4%

UTA +27.5%

MIN -28.6%

MIN -9.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	UTA	NBA	MIN	UTA	NBA
this game	16.3	14.5	15.5	97.9	105.4	100.9
season	15.0	16.0		102.9	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.9		100.5	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.5	14.7	16.3	20.4	16.3
UTA	14.3	13.5	16.4	13.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dean Garrett	30	32	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.13	-4	-2	-2	18.6	15.2	3.35	14.7	14.4	0.28
LaPhonso Ellis	13	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-4	2	16.1	16.3	-0.24	12.9	14.8	-1.86
Sam Mitchell	20	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-4	2	20.8	15.1	5.73	14.8	14.4	0.36
Anthony Peeler	34	35	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.26	-11	5	-16	18.9	14.8	4.07	13.5	15.1	-1.54
Chauncey Billups	73	73	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.48	7	-13	20	15.5	19.0	-3.55	14.5	14.3	0.20
Wally Szczerbiak	74	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	-2	-2	15.1	20.8	-5.73	14.5	14.4	0.07
Kevin Garnett	81	79	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	-2	-2	16.3	16.1	0.24	14.8	12.9	1.86
Rasho Nesterovic	64	61	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.46	-2	-4	2	15.2	18.6	-3.35	14.4	14.7	-0.28
Terrell Brandon	81	79	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.43	-8	2	-10	15.9	18.6	-2.70	14.8	12.8	2.02

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Manning	45	47	1.02	-0.52	1.54	0.37	22	-16	38	13.8	15.1	-1.32	17.2	15.3	1.89
John Stockton	55	57	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.42	14	-8	22	14.5	14.5	0.05	16.7	15.6	1.10
John Starks	63	65	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.43	12	-6	18	14.7	14.1	0.65	16.5	15.7	0.81
Karl Malone	73	76	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.31	9	-3	12	14.9	13.1	1.79	16.6	14.8	1.80
Bryon Russell	66	68	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	5	-4	14.1	15.4	-1.27	15.8	17.5	-1.73
Donyell Marshall	29	26	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.13	5	1	4	14.7	14.4	0.32	17.5	15.8	1.73
David Benoit	1	0	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	8	-10	8.0	14.6	-6.58	0.0	16.3	-16.29
Quincy Lewis	15	16	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.06	2	4	-2	13.7	14.7	-0.92	15.1	16.5	-1.48
Greg Ostertag	33	31	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.11	-4	10	-14	13.4	15.1	-1.68	15.9	16.5	-0.57
DeShawn Stevenson	15	13	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.04	-8	14	-22	14.4	14.5	-0.13	16.5	16.2	0.29
Jacque Vaughn	38	37	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	-0.10	-8	14	-22	14.5	14.5	-0.05	15.6	16.7	-1.10
Olden Polynice	32	34	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.01	-13	19	-32	16.5	13.5	2.99	14.6	17.3	-2.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.15,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 94, ORL 99	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.22,0.32,0.73,1	91.9%
MIL 95, DEN 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.03,0.12,0.19,0.36,0.32,0.73,1	91.0%
BOS 117, CHA 124	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.44,0.33,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.04,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.22,0.69,1	90.8%