NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	95		Excitement	8.2 [121]		MVP	Danny Fortson (DEN): +49.3%
Denver Nuggets	96		Comeback	35.8 [7]		LVP	Antonio McDyess (DEN): -57.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Traylor	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.06	0.04	-0.03	-0.06	18	53%	0.12	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	6	75%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Vinny Del Negro	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Dell Curry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	6	43%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Tyrone Hill	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	40%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06	-0.04	-0.06	-0.05	16	49%	0.01	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.07
Michael Curry	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	4	50%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15	0.03	-0.14	0.03	16	53%	-0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.49	0.49	0.06	0.43	0.00	8	80%	0.59	2	-0.10	4	100%	0.04
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.01	0.23	0.01	11	62%	0.30	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.04	-0.01	9	90%	0.17	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	70%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	8	47%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Eric Washington	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	10	57%	-0.00	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.57	-0.57	-0.11	-0.47	-0.01	15	47%	-0.20	5	-0.37	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	0.8	24.0	15.8	24.0	1.8	32.1	120.2
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +70.7%

DEN +8.2%

DEN +30.0%

MIL -60.0%

DEN +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	DEN	NBA	MIL	DEN	NBA
this game	15.9	16.4	15.8	106.7	107.9	99.6
season	15.8	15.5		102.4	100.7
opponent	15.6	16.4		107.6	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.4	18.3	14.1	17.2	15.9
DEN	21.6	15.1	13.6	16.3	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Traylor	28	28	0.40	-0.90	1.29	-0.07	16	-17	33	15.4	16.2	-0.75	17.5	15.9	1.53
Terrell Brandon	65	65	0.33	-0.83	1.15	-0.14	16	-17	33	15.0	18.4	-3.39	17.6	13.3	4.22
Armen Gilliam	33	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.32	-15	14	-29	17.1	15.3	1.77	16.9	16.1	0.74
Tyrone Hill	57	57	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.44	10	-11	21	15.6	16.5	-0.92	17.1	15.2	1.92
Dell Curry	32	32	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	12	-25	17.6	15.0	2.62	15.0	17.2	-2.21
Ray Allen	69	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.64	8	-9	17	15.4	17.9	-2.52	16.2	17.1	-0.89
Michael Curry	45	43	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.18	-9	8	-17	16.6	15.3	1.33	17.6	15.3	2.21
Ervin Johnson	29	30	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.42	-3	2	-5	14.3	16.7	-2.42	15.9	16.7	-0.83
Vinny Del Negro	31	33	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.03	-19	18	-37	17.7	15.0	2.76	14.4	17.6	-3.21
Glenn Robinson	56	56	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.74	4	-5	9	16.0	15.8	0.15	15.3	18.4	-3.10

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Fortson	63	61	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.59	4	-3	7	15.9	17.7	-1.80	16.6	14.4	2.21
Chauncey Billups	78	76	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.54	4	-3	7	15.7	21.2	-5.44	16.2	14.2	2.10
Cory Alexander	52	54	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.08	17	-16	33	14.9	18.6	-3.68	16.2	15.5	0.66
Nick Van Exel	56	55	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.79	-8	9	-17	17.5	14.6	2.83	15.7	16.3	-0.61
Antonio McDyess	78	79	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.59	-7	8	-15	17.3	10.0	7.32	15.5	19.3	-3.78
Johnny Taylor	6	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.03	0	1	-1	24.7	15.8	8.85	14.4	16.1	-1.64
Bryant Stith	57	57	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.01	-2	3	-5	17.5	14.5	2.94	15.0	17.6	-2.62
Keon Clark	37	38	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.23	5	-4	9	15.4	17.1	-1.73	15.7	16.1	-0.41
Eric Washington	18	18	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.05	-8	9	-17	14.4	16.9	-2.54	18.2	15.4	2.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.03,0.12,0.19,0.36,0.32,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 92, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.15,0.72,1	91.0%
NOH 94, ORL 99	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.22,0.32,0.73,1	90.5%
NYK 89, DAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.47,0.46,0.57,0.42,1	89.9%