NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	94		Excitement	7.1 [377]		MVP	Darrell Armstrong (ORL): +24.5%
Orlando Magic	99		Comeback	88.3 [15]		LVP	Jamal Mashburn (NOH): -23.6%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Moiso	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	58%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
P.J. Brown	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	9	58%	0.06	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.04
Elden Campbell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	3	75%	0.04	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
George Lynch	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	-0.01	8	56%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.10
Robert Traylor	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.10	0.00	12	42%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.15	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.01,-0.15,-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	15	47%	0.01	2	-0.16	6	100%	0.07
Jamal Mashburn	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.24	-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	20	45%	-0.12	6	-0.11	4	100%	0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.24,0.24,0.25	0.25	0.09	0.16	-0.00	10	68%	0.25	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.10	0.02	23	46%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.01	7	82%	0.10	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	2	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Pat Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	9	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.06,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	3	58%	-0.02	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.05
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21	-0.21	-0.15	-0.09	-0.03	26	40%	-0.11	3	-0.10	8	62%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.7	31.9	16.0	24.3	2.4	35.5	134.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +34.1%

ORL +8.7%

NOH -26.9%

ORL +34.2%

NOH -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	ORL	NBA	NOH	ORL	NBA
this game	17.0	14.3	15.5	102.2	107.6	101.6
season	15.9	14.6		101.6	102.7
opponent	15.8	15.6		103.1	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.7	16.5	17.8	18.1	17.0
ORL	15.6	14.8	14.3	12.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	40	41	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.02	7	-12	19	17.2	16.9	0.27	14.7	14.0	0.68
Robert Pack	5	4	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-4	3	15.8	17.1	-1.29	13.0	14.3	-1.34
Stacey Augmon	22	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.24	-9	4	-13	18.6	16.5	2.12	15.4	13.9	1.54
Jerome Moiso	10	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	0	-5	18.8	16.8	2.00	15.1	14.2	0.92
Elden Campbell	15	15	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.05	-8	3	-11	14.0	17.6	-3.61	13.5	14.4	-0.97
P.J. Brown	82	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.43	0	-5	5	16.8	18.8	-2.00	14.2	15.1	-0.92
George Lynch	74	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.56	3	-8	11	16.9	17.5	-0.59	14.2	14.7	-0.48
David Wesley	87	88	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	-1	-3	17.1	15.8	1.29	14.3	13.0	1.34
Jamal Mashburn	88	87	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	-1	-3	16.7	23.7	-7.03	14.1	18.2	-4.14
Robert Traylor	37	36	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	-1	-3	18.1	16.3	1.77	14.2	14.3	-0.14

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	62	63	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.27	16	-11	27	14.0	14.9	-0.97	16.9	17.2	-0.32
Pat Garrity	70	70	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.51	3	2	1	13.9	15.5	-1.60	16.4	18.9	-2.42
Mike Miller	92	92	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	0	5	14.3	0.0	14.28	17.0	0.0	17.02
Tracy McGrady	86	87	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.42	1	4	-3	14.1	16.5	-2.37	17.1	16.2	0.87
Shawn Kemp	34	35	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.52	-7	12	-19	14.9	13.9	1.00	15.3	18.1	-2.80
Pat Burke	16	16	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.15	7	-2	9	14.7	14.2	0.57	18.0	16.8	1.18
Andrew DeClercq	45	46	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	4	-3	13.6	14.9	-1.34	17.6	16.5	1.13
Steven Hunter	19	17	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.20	6	-1	7	15.8	13.9	1.90	20.5	16.2	4.30
Jacque Vaughn	36	34	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.01	-7	12	-19	15.2	13.7	1.50	17.1	17.0	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.22,0.32,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 92, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.15,0.72,1	91.9%
MIL 95, DEN 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.03,0.12,0.19,0.36,0.32,0.73,1	90.5%
CHI 103, ORL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.19,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.29,0.24,0.73,1	89.9%