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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Pelicans 107 Excitement4.0 [915] MVPBrandon Ingram (NOP): +17.8%
Denver Nuggets 88 Comeback1.1 [433] LVPMichael Porter Jr. (DEN): -6.4%


New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Ingram0.180,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.160.040.022262%0.191-0.01683%0.01
CJ McCollum0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.130.010.041572%0.132-0.03250%-0.01
Jonas Valanciunas0.070,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.01-0.021156%0.081-0.015100%0.02
Trey Murphy III0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.01-0.031354%0.0710.002100%0.01
Naji Marshall0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.01547%0.031-0.02560%0.01
Dyson Daniels0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Larry Nance Jr.-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.000.021100%0.021-0.032100%0.00
Josh Richardson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.02437%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Herbert Jones-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.03650%0.033-0.0500%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Murray0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.08-0.000.001560%0.102-0.035100%0.01
Christian Braun0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00950%0.0300.00425%-0.02
Aaron Gordon0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.00-0.00-0.02850%0.041-0.03650%-0.02
Bruce Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.021356%0.032-0.03862%-0.02
Vlatko Cancar00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ish Smith00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Peyton Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.06-0.00-0.05631%-0.011-0.00475%-0.00
Zeke Nnaji0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.000.00250%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Thomas Bryant0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00540%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01728%-0.0500.00475%-0.00
Michael Porter Jr.0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.010.001532%-0.0600.0010%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.23.532.416.433.43.336.5149.8
league avg25.72.328.214.928.12.332.4135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOP +40.9%
NOP +9.1%
NOP +4.7%
DEN -7.6%
NOP +2.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOPDENNBANOPDENNBA
this game15.016.114.4116.394.6113.5
season14.214.6113.4117.1
opponent14.514.6113.3111.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOP14.416.813.615.515.0
DEN16.318.315.814.516.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
CJ McCollum72740.60-0.100.71-0.1927-83514.815.6-0.7716.514.61.95
Trey Murphy III75760.57-0.070.65-0.1926-73315.214.01.2316.315.21.09
Herbert Jones62660.440.060.37-0.121901915.314.40.8416.615.01.54
Brandon Ingram68690.430.070.35-0.101811715.713.12.5916.614.71.91
Jonas Valanciunas50490.380.120.26-0.03145915.015.00.0416.315.90.37
Larry Nance Jr.42440.120.38-0.26-0.03514-915.015.0-0.0415.916.3-0.37
Naji Marshall31290.050.45-0.410.11-221-2314.115.5-1.3614.816.7-1.99
Josh Richardson40390.020.48-0.470.13-423-2713.716.0-2.3015.116.9-1.72
Dyson Daniels2019-0.100.60-0.710.13-827-3515.614.80.7714.616.5-1.95

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vlatko Cancar340.00-0.500.500.000-19199.316.4-7.0213.215.1-1.83
Ish Smith340.00-0.500.500.000-19199.316.4-7.0213.215.1-1.83
Peyton Watson340.00-0.500.500.000-19199.316.4-7.0213.215.1-1.83
Christian Braun4744-0.04-0.460.42-0.01-1-181715.416.9-1.5514.515.5-0.96
Zeke Nnaji3434-0.04-0.460.41-0.133-222515.816.3-0.5314.215.4-1.21
Bruce Brown5554-0.15-0.350.210.00-5-14916.016.3-0.3615.015.00.00
Jeff Green5757-0.20-0.300.10-0.14-2-171516.615.41.2115.214.70.51
Thomas Bryant2728-0.28-0.22-0.070.07-12-7-515.616.3-0.7614.215.3-1.13
Jamal Murray6966-0.40-0.10-0.300.07-16-3-1316.614.91.6915.513.61.93
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope5656-0.45-0.05-0.410.05-17-2-1516.515.60.8414.615.6-1.00
Michael Porter Jr.5151-0.46-0.04-0.420.21-234-2716.515.70.7115.514.41.01
Aaron Gordon6058-0.47-0.03-0.440.18-223-2516.814.91.8415.713.72.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.22,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 111, IND 1000.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.39,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%
UTA 112, ATL 910.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%
WAS 101, ATL 900.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.2,0.24,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,095.7%