NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	114		Excitement	7.4 [397]		MVP	Tyrese Haliburton (IND): +31.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	105		Comeback	7.0 [59]		LVP	Darius Garland (CLE): -25.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Haliburton	0.31	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31	0.22	0.11	0.01	15	86%	0.41	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Andrew Nembhard	0.25	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25	0.11	0.15	0.01	11	78%	0.32	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	-0.00	6	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.00	20	47%	0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Ben Sheppard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarace Walker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	56%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Bennedict Mathurin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.02	0.04	7	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Aaron Nesmith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	14	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
T.J. McConnell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.12	0.01	25	49%	0.23	2	-0.04	21	71%	-0.04
Evan Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.18	0.03	0.05	12	73%	0.15	0	0.00	9	78%	0.00
Ty Jerome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	12	48%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	64%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Max Strus	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.05	-0.02	9	0%	-0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.19	-0.08	-0.02	16	31%	-0.07	5	-0.18	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.2	3.6	33.5	16.7	32.0	2.6	34.2	154.8
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.2	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +83.1%

CLE -11.6%

CLE -16.1%

CLE -5.8%

IND +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	14.7	13.9	14.4	112.9	104.0	113.0
season	13.9	13.7		115.2	120.5
opponent	14.9	14.6		110.8	112.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.8	15.4	12.8	16.9	14.7
CLE	12.4	13.4	15.4	14.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrese Haliburton	77	77	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.12	27	-18	45	13.9	17.2	-3.28	14.4	12.2	2.16
Aaron Nesmith	80	80	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.12	17	-8	25	14.2	16.5	-2.29	13.9	13.8	0.11
Andrew Nembhard	76	77	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	-2	13	14.4	15.3	-0.87	14.2	12.6	1.66
Myles Turner	67	70	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	-3	15	15.0	14.1	0.91	14.4	12.5	1.93
Pascal Siakam	83	82	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.08	10	-1	11	15.0	12.9	2.16	13.9	13.6	0.27
Thomas Bryant	23	23	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	5	-1	12.7	15.3	-2.60	14.1	13.8	0.36
Ben Sheppard	28	25	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	8	-7	15.6	14.3	1.26	13.0	14.1	-1.13
Jarace Walker	1	1	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	9	-9	0.0	14.8	-14.81	6.0	13.9	-7.93
Obi Toppin	28	26	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.17	-8	17	-25	15.0	14.5	0.42	12.2	14.4	-2.29
Bennedict Mathurin	22	23	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.10	-13	22	-35	16.0	14.3	1.77	13.0	14.1	-1.10
T.J. McConnell	20	21	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	0.07	-16	25	-41	17.6	13.9	3.66	12.4	14.2	-1.86

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaac Okoro	37	36	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-11	13	12.1	14.9	-2.75	14.6	14.7	-0.04
De'Andre Hunter	62	63	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-13	17	13.3	14.8	-1.54	15.3	13.6	1.74
Ty Jerome	20	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-10	11	14.8	13.6	1.18	15.6	14.4	1.24
Jarrett Allen	65	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-6	3	14.4	12.9	1.45	14.3	15.2	-0.84
Max Strus	54	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-6	3	14.3	13.3	1.00	14.4	14.9	-0.50
Donovan Mitchell	78	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-6	3	13.5	15.1	-1.60	14.9	14.0	0.86
Dean Wade	39	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.04	-11	2	-13	13.5	14.1	-0.64	14.1	15.0	-0.97
Darius Garland	71	70	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.09	-18	9	-27	14.6	12.2	2.40	14.3	15.4	-1.09
Evan Mobley	79	78	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.21	-14	5	-19	14.1	13.1	0.97	14.7	14.6	0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.34,0.39,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 100, LAC 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.19,0.04,0.02,0,0	91.8%
CHA 100, LAC 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.76,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.07,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.22,0.15,0	91.1%
MIA 108, NYK 101	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.63,0.61,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.1,0.03,0,0,0	90.7%