inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 93 Excitement3.5 [1161] MVPJamal Murray (DEN): +18.5%
Denver Nuggets 104 Comeback1.0 [1251] LVPMax Strus (MIA): -14.4%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Haywood Highsmith0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.060.130.000.081082%0.061-0.012100%0.01
Gabe Vincent0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.110.000.061468%0.071-0.0100%0.00
Bam Adebayo0.040,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.010.012552%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Kyle Lowry0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.01869%0.042-0.0100%0.00
Jimmy Butler0.000,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.010.001446%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Omer Yurtseven0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nikola Jovic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Duncan Robinson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.03625%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Cody Zeller-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.0110%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Caleb Martin-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.000.01721%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Max Strus-0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.16-0.01-0.02100%-0.1400.0000%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Murray0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.060.03-0.092257%0.213-0.032100%0.01
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.150.030.041275%0.162-0.021283%0.01
Aaron Gordon0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.110.010.031073%0.0800.002100%0.00
Michael Porter Jr.0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.010.00-0.061641%0.0500.002100%0.01
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.01-0.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Bruce Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00771%0.043-0.0200%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.01839%-0.011-0.0220%-0.00
Christian Braun0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.53.324.415.428.32.827.2123.9
league avg25.82.328.215.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +46.6%
DEN +7.6%
MIA -4.3%
MIA -1.4%
DEN +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIADENNBAMIADENNBA
this game15.315.514.498.9111.8113.4
season15.114.7112.2116.8
opponent14.514.6112.6112.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.717.016.111.515.3
DEN13.316.413.918.515.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Omer Yurtseven110.00-0.500.500.000-11117.015.4-8.3921.015.45.55
Nikola Jovic110.00-0.500.500.000-11117.015.4-8.3921.015.45.55
Cody Zeller1614-0.09-0.410.330.06-5-6116.015.20.8513.115.9-2.78
Kyle Lowry4949-0.17-0.330.15-0.232-131514.416.3-1.9416.814.12.64
Duncan Robinson4241-0.19-0.310.12-0.07-4-7315.315.3-0.0715.515.50.01
Haywood Highsmith4744-0.19-0.310.11-0.11-3-8513.517.1-3.6617.014.22.84
Max Strus4141-0.31-0.19-0.110.05-121-1316.414.51.9414.016.7-2.61
Gabe Vincent7474-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.310-111115.414.80.5715.913.91.96
Caleb Martin4848-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.04-10-1-916.913.73.1814.416.7-2.29
Bam Adebayo7778-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.24-6-5-115.315.5-0.2115.913.72.19
Jimmy Butler7474-0.49-0.01-0.480.01-176-2315.514.60.8214.818.1-3.27

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Porter Jr.83840.53-0.030.57-0.0520-92915.218.0-2.8015.514.01.45
Nikola Jokic80830.480.020.460.0714-31714.919.3-4.4215.116.7-1.62
Aaron Gordon70700.470.030.450.0315-41915.116.6-1.4715.315.4-0.16
Jamal Murray84850.470.030.430.2092716.19.96.2215.612.63.03
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope72740.390.110.280.2456-115.515.6-0.0914.717.4-2.73
Bruce Brown39390.140.36-0.210.11110-916.314.91.4314.715.7-0.95
Christian Braun16150.020.48-0.460.05-112-1315.115.6-0.4617.214.92.26
Jeff Green2120-0.000.50-0.510.23-819-2716.715.21.5016.115.11.08


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.86,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 90, PHX 1190.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
SAS 92, GSW 1130.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.81,0.77,0.84,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%
CHI 86, PHI 1020.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%