NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	98		Excitement	7.0 [405]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +42.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	105		Comeback	2.1 [663]		LVP	Devin Booker (PHX): -21.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.07	0.00	19	62%	0.24	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Frank Kaminsky	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.01	4	75%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	6	83%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	11	56%	0.09	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Torrey Craig	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	7	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cameron Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	5	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	12	41%	-0.01	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Devin Booker	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,-0.13,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.21	-0.15	-0.08	-0.01	22	40%	0.02	6	-0.23	3	100%	0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.29,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.22	0.21	0.01	25	72%	0.60	6	-0.18	19	89%	0.15
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.07	-0.01	10	73%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.01	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.00	13	57%	0.09	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
P.J. Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.16	0.02	-0.02	19	30%	-0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.04	4	0%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.8	30.5	15.4	33.6	3.3	41.3	152.1
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +22.2%

MIL +13.8%

MIL +24.4%

PHX -4.7%

PHX -5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIL	NBA	PHX	MIL	NBA
this game	14.5	13.6	14.4	96.1	101.9	111.3
season	14.7	13.5		115.3	114.8
opponent	14.7	14.7		109.3	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.9	13.4	13.5	16.4	14.5
MIL	11.8	15.4	13.6	13.6	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cameron Payne	22	22	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.07	9	-16	25	12.5	15.1	-2.58	15.0	13.2	1.80
Torrey Craig	1	2	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.04	0	-7	7	9.0	14.6	-5.57	12.0	13.6	-1.61
Cameron Johnson	34	35	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.03	0	-7	7	14.0	14.8	-0.78	13.6	13.6	-0.02
Frank Kaminsky	26	21	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-7	7	14.7	14.4	0.28	15.3	13.1	2.14
Jae Crowder	86	87	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.38	4	-11	15	14.4	15.4	-1.01	13.9	11.7	2.17
Deandre Ayton	75	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.25	-7	0	-7	14.5	14.5	0.00	13.2	15.0	-1.82
Chris Paul	84	84	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.33	-8	1	-9	14.8	13.1	1.71	13.4	14.5	-1.16
Devin Booker	98	99	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.21	-15	8	-23	14.7	9.7	4.96	13.5	14.7	-1.21
Mikal Bridges	84	85	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.21	-18	11	-29	14.9	12.8	2.12	13.1	15.7	-2.53

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	99	98	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.24	12	-5	17	13.5	14.7	-1.21	14.6	13.2	1.32
Khris Middleton	87	87	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.26	11	-4	15	13.2	15.6	-2.42	14.5	14.8	-0.33
Giannis Antetokounmpo	93	90	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.27	10	-3	13	13.7	12.9	0.76	14.2	16.8	-2.62
P.J. Tucker	77	78	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-6	19	13.1	15.0	-1.84	15.1	12.8	2.26
Bobby Portis	45	45	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	1	5	14.5	12.8	1.69	15.9	13.4	2.45
Brook Lopez	61	60	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.01	9	-2	11	12.8	14.8	-2.03	14.1	15.2	-1.10
Jeff Teague	4	4	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	12	-17	14.7	13.5	1.21	13.2	14.6	-1.32
Pat Connaughton	49	48	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.25	-21	28	-49	15.0	12.3	2.70	13.6	15.3	-1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.99,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 92, DEN 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.29,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	93.3%
DET 81, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.82,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.9,0.91,1	92.9%
CHI 102, UTA 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.72,0.69,0.56,0.63,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.7,0.85,0.94,0.9,0.96,1,1,1	92.7%