NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	128		Excitement	12.5 [6]		MVP	Nikola Jokic (DEN): +118.6%
Denver Nuggets	130		Comeback	29.6 [57]		LVP	Jeff Green (DEN): -13.8%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ivica Zubac	0.86	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.86	0.19	0.69	0.02	19	80%	0.95	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.07
Terance Mann	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.00	6	58%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Boston Jr.	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.1	0.09	0.01	-0.00	13	62%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	-0.00	10	65%	0.19	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.1	0.10	-0.02	-0.01	22	61%	0.26	2	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01
Justise Winslow	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	75%	0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Amir Coffey	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.08	0.05	0.00	9	35%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Isaiah Hartenstein	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.81,1.19	1.19	0.26	0.90	-0.02	25	74%	1.32	5	-0.14	16	87%	0.17
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.64	0.64	0.18	0.48	0.02	16	74%	0.71	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.00
Zeke Nnaji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davon Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bones Hyland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	7	43%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Monte Morris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.04	-0.04	20	46%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Facundo Campazzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	8	44%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	0.02	-0.15	0.01	9	60%	-0.06	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.3	3.5	26.5	15.3	32.7	0.1	35.2	1.8	15.0	152.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	27.8	14.7	27.8	2.3	32.2	2.3	15.5	133.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -28.6%

DEN +50.0%

LAC -5.1%

DEN +25.9%

DEN +7.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DEN	NBA	LAC	DEN	NBA
this game	15.6	14.7	14.5	121.9	123.8	108.9
season	14.6	15.0		105.6	109.8
opponent	14.5	14.4		108.8	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAC	15.8	15.0	15.4	17.0	14.0	15.6
DEN	14.8	16.3	13.4	13.8	16.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Hartenstein	26	25	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.04	12	-14	26	13.5	16.3	-2.79	15.4	14.4	0.99
Eric Bledsoe	48	48	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.13	10	-12	22	15.3	15.9	-0.57	16.0	13.6	2.42
Justise Winslow	27	28	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.09	6	-8	14	14.5	16.0	-1.51	15.1	14.5	0.53
Brandon Boston Jr.	53	51	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.43	16	-18	34	15.3	15.9	-0.68	15.7	13.7	1.95
Serge Ibaka	29	28	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.14	-8	6	-14	16.6	15.2	1.36	14.3	14.8	-0.55
Luke Kennard	52	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.37	3	-5	8	14.7	16.5	-1.72	14.7	14.7	-0.03
Terance Mann	78	77	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.06	-10	8	-18	16.0	14.5	1.46	14.3	15.8	-1.50
Reggie Jackson	75	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	0	-2	16.4	13.6	2.80	14.3	15.5	-1.19
Ivica Zubac	74	75	-0.88	0.38	-1.25	-0.38	-17	15	-32	16.2	14.2	2.04	14.2	16.0	-1.79
Amir Coffey	63	63	-1.04	0.54	-1.59	-0.46	-20	18	-38	15.6	15.6	0.01	14.1	15.6	-1.48

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gordon	86	88	1.04	-0.54	1.58	0.43	21	-19	40	14.3	16.5	-2.25	15.8	14.5	1.28
Nikola Jokic	82	83	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.38	15	-13	28	14.3	16.2	-1.96	15.6	15.7	-0.16
Monte Morris	88	89	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.36	14	-12	26	14.3	16.9	-2.62	15.8	14.5	1.30
Jeff Green	68	67	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.40	8	-6	14	14.2	15.6	-1.49	15.9	15.1	0.86
Will Barton	82	82	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.37	6	-4	10	14.5	15.5	-1.07	15.8	14.9	0.94
Bones Hyland	27	28	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.07	-6	8	-14	17.2	13.8	3.41	14.5	16.0	-1.55
Facundo Campazzo	19	17	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.12	-12	14	-26	16.0	14.4	1.60	15.0	15.7	-0.72
Davon Reed	35	33	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.11	-6	8	-14	14.5	14.8	-0.34	16.0	15.4	0.58
Austin Rivers	13	13	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.10	-14	16	-30	17.6	14.3	3.34	13.7	15.9	-2.18
Zeke Nnaji	25	25	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	0.09	-16	18	-34	16.2	14.2	2.04	14.9	15.8	-0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.29,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.63,0.52,0.5,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.3,0.22,0.07,0.11,0.43,0.26,0.46,0.54,0.28,0.32,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 121, CHH 122	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.28,0.31,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.17,0.07,0.22,0.43,0.27,0.5,0.61,0.46,0.33,0.58,1	88.7%
CLE 87, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.45,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.58,1	87.2%
OKC 115, IND 111	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.04,0	86.6%