NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	94		Excitement	2.9 [215]		MVP	Jalen Brunson (NYK): +39.5%
San Antonio Spurs	90		Comeback	16.4 [42]		LVP	De'Aaron Fox (SAS): -29.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0.40	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.39	0.24	0.19	0.03	27	65%	0.53	3	-0.13	15	87%	0.08
Mikal Bridges	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	10	64%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Mitchell Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Ariel Hukporti	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Sochan	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.06	0.03	11	39%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Landry Shamet	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.04	0.03	-0.06	0.01	11	52%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Jordan Clarkson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Alvarado	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.18	-0.09	-0.01	7	14%	-0.15	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.10	-0.00	8	75%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	5	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Julian Champagnie	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	9	78%	0.16	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Carter Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Victor Wembanyama	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	0.02	19	44%	0.00	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.04
Dylan Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,-0.06,0.07,-0.06	-0.06	0.10	-0.15	0.02	19	57%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.08
Stephon Castle	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.22	-0.22	-0.17	-0.07	-0.02	10	23%	-0.14	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.29	-0.29	-0.13	-0.19	-0.03	15	23%	-0.27	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.4	31.1	15.4	38.0	0.0	47.2	0.0
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +10.4%

NYK +30.3%

NYK +29.7%

SAS -16.1%

SAS -4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAS	NBA	NYK	SAS	NBA
this game	16.4	14.4	14.2	98.9	98.9	113.4
season	15.0	13.8		118.0	116.7
opponent	14.6	14.2		108.5	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	18.3	14.9	17.7	14.8	16.4
SAS	14.0	15.7	12.0	15.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Sochan	22	21	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.42	10	-6	16	16.0	16.6	-0.62	17.2	13.6	3.58
Josh Hart	86	84	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.35	7	-3	10	16.5	15.4	1.09	14.5	13.3	1.25
Ariel Hukporti	45	41	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.34	7	-3	10	16.7	16.2	0.45	14.6	14.3	0.22
Mikal Bridges	79	76	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	1	2	16.5	16.1	0.44	14.6	13.7	0.93
Jalen Brunson	93	89	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.35	3	1	2	16.8	1.5	15.25	14.7	2.5	12.21
Mitchell Robinson	93	89	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.35	3	1	2	16.8	1.5	15.25	14.7	2.5	12.21
Karl-Anthony Towns	48	50	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.28	4	0	4	17.8	15.1	2.71	16.6	11.8	4.84
OG Anunoby	89	85	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.45	-3	7	-10	16.5	15.5	0.99	14.6	11.5	3.15
Landry Shamet	64	60	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.51	-9	13	-22	17.3	14.7	2.56	15.0	13.4	1.55
Miles McBride	41	39	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.17	-1	5	-6	17.5	15.6	1.86	13.5	15.1	-1.58
Jordan Clarkson	28	26	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.14	-4	8	-12	18.5	15.6	2.93	13.0	15.0	-1.96
Jose Alvarado	34	33	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	0.06	-16	20	-36	18.4	15.3	3.04	14.8	14.2	0.64

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keldon Johnson	57	60	0.64	-1.14	1.78	0.05	20	-24	44	14.0	15.2	-1.22	18.5	12.9	5.61
Carter Bryant	12	12	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-6	8	15.4	14.3	1.13	17.2	16.3	0.94
Luke Kornet	70	74	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.48	9	-13	22	14.4	14.5	-0.11	17.4	13.0	4.47
Stephon Castle	84	89	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-5	6	14.5	13.6	0.94	16.8	10.8	5.98
Devin Vassell	84	88	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.39	-1	-3	2	14.6	12.3	2.33	16.6	13.9	2.78
Julian Champagnie	90	94	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.37	-4	0	-4	14.5	5.0	9.54	16.6	2.0	14.59
De'Aaron Fox	90	94	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.37	-4	0	-4	14.5	5.0	9.54	16.6	2.0	14.59
Victor Wembanyama	91	95	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	14.4	0.0	14.44	16.4	0.0	16.43
Dylan Harper	88	91	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.35	-6	2	-8	14.4	15.0	-0.58	16.6	13.0	3.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.79,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.83,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.46,0.23,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 116, PHX 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.73,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.81,0.76,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.78,0.61,0.46,0.33,0.28,0	92.2%
PHX 79, SAS 76	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.73,0.83,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.76,0.66,0.55,0.45,0.23,0.09,0	91.8%
PHX 91, LAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.7,0.76,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.43,0.16,0	91.1%