inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 109 Excitement8.4 [214] MVPLuka Doncic (DAL): +53.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves 108 Comeback15.0 [72] LVPDerrick Jones Jr. (DAL): -17.1%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luka Doncic0.540,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.540.110.460.042360%0.634-0.097100%0.05
Dereck Lively II0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.230.140.100.016100%0.2300.002100%0.01
Daniel Gafford0.220,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.110.120.011073%0.2200.0020%-0.03
Kyrie Irving0.100,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.1,0.10.020.07-0.011654%0.142-0.04540%-0.15
Jaden Hardy0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.03-0.01757%0.071-0.0100%0.00
Josh Green0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.01462%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Dante Exum-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0010%-0.0300.0020%-0.03
P.J. Washington-0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.03-0.07-0.001142%-0.051-0.052100%0.01
Derrick Jones Jr.-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.04-0.120.01533%-0.091-0.082100%0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Naz Reid0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.180.180.20-0.03-0.011388%0.201-0.0200%0.00
Rudy Gobert0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.070.090.011062%0.1600.00667%0.01
Anthony Edwards0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.17,0.090.09-0.010.09-0.011748%0.222-0.121090%0.08
Mike Conley0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.02-0.021458%0.142-0.06367%-0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.02-0.02460%0.052-0.032100%0.02
Kyle Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01550%0.0200.00475%0.01
Monte Morris00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.011638%-0.0300.00786%0.01
Jaden McDaniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14-0.14-0.10-0.06-0.02617%-0.032-0.1100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.72.727.516.530.22.640.2149.3
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +75.7%
MIN -32.2%
MIN -1.3%
DAL +3.3%
DAL +4.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALMINNBADALMINNBA
this game14.616.014.5116.0114.9113.9
season14.314.8116.0114.4
opponent14.714.5108.1113.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL14.113.814.516.114.6
MIN13.016.818.216.616.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dereck Lively II51510.54-0.040.580.482-1315.213.91.3315.716.4-0.67
Josh Green43410.41-0.450.86-0.0315-163113.215.6-2.3316.515.80.71
Luka Doncic75750.17-0.210.380.054-5914.812.32.5516.613.82.80
Kyrie Irving7269-0.01-0.030.02-0.134-5914.414.8-0.4016.415.21.21
Jaden Hardy2424-0.02-0.02-0.010.01-10-113.914.6-0.7714.616.7-2.11
P.J. Washington7069-0.050.01-0.060.16-76-1314.414.5-0.0516.116.3-0.20
Daniel Gafford4343-0.080.04-0.130.00-32-513.915.0-1.0716.415.90.46
Dante Exum67-0.120.08-0.210.05-65-1114.714.40.2415.316.2-0.95
Tim Hardaway Jr.910-0.190.15-0.340.07-98-1716.414.22.2316.816.10.72
Derrick Jones Jr.5858-0.210.17-0.38-0.15-21-314.813.71.0715.916.7-0.87

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nickeil Alexander-Walker30290.24-0.500.740.037-81514.516.8-2.3014.014.9-0.83
Monte Morris100.02-0.280.310.020-1116.016.0-0.030.014.6-14.61
Mike Conley62640.01-0.270.280.04-10-117.114.03.0815.013.71.28
Rudy Gobert7473-0.02-0.240.21-0.051-2315.916.5-0.5914.315.7-1.37
Karl-Anthony Towns5150-0.06-0.200.14-0.060-1116.915.01.8214.614.6-0.06
Naz Reid6263-0.26-0.00-0.25-0.260-1115.517.1-1.6614.814.20.57
Jaden McDaniels7070-0.340.08-0.42-0.13-76-1316.315.30.9915.212.92.27
Anthony Edwards7980-0.410.15-0.56-0.14-98-1715.916.8-0.9114.216.9-2.64
Kyle Anderson4141-0.490.23-0.72-0.614-5915.516.5-0.9714.414.7-0.30


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.66,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.53,0.68,0.54,0.68,0.85,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 98, IND 970.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.84,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.57,0.77,091.1%
DAL 97, TOR 960.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.85,0.66,0.76,0.54,0.77,0.92,090.5%
HOU 104, ATL 980.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.49,0.37,0.26,0.41,0.33,0.39,0.63,0.78,0.83,090.4%