NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	118		Excitement	12.0 [19]		MVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): +69.6%
Indiana Pacers	121		Comeback	4.0 [387]		LVP	Tyrese Haliburton (IND): -20.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0.70	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.02,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.54,0.7	0.19	0.54	0.04	29	66%	0.92	3	-0.23	6	100%	0.07
Bobby Portis	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	-0.01	0.13	-0.01	15	53%	0.19	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
AJ Green	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.13,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	-0.08	0.01	20	54%	0.04	2	-0.04	12	100%	0.10
Andre Jackson Jr.	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.06	0.02	5	73%	0.04	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	0.04	-0.14	0.01	12	58%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,0.18	0.18	-0.05	0.19	-0.05	13	39%	0.22	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.04
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	10	73%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.08
Myles Turner	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	-0.01	0.01	21	60%	0.12	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.02	11	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	0.01	-0.15	0.01	17	44%	-0.15	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.35,-0.57,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	22	40%	-0.05	4	-0.15	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.0	3.0	29.2	15.4	33.2	2.8	38.4	2.6	14.7	168.4
league avg	25.7	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.4	15.0	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -56.1%

MIL -11.9%

IND +101.8%

IND +20.3%

MIL -4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	IND	NBA	MIL	IND	NBA
this game	15.8	16.5	14.5	119.2	123.5	113.9
season	14.3	13.7		116.9	120.0
opponent	14.5	14.3		117.2	114.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIL	16.0	15.7	16.5	15.4	14.1	15.8
IND	13.4	17.0	13.0	18.9	33.5	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
AJ Green	28	28	0.36	-0.86	1.23	0.07	10	-13	23	14.8	16.2	-1.40	15.7	16.8	-1.05
Bobby Portis	74	73	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-5	7	15.5	16.5	-0.98	16.0	17.9	-1.91
Jae Crowder	4	5	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-3	3	18.0	15.7	2.31	15.2	16.6	-1.37
Pat Connaughton	25	26	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.11	-5	2	-7	16.0	15.7	0.23	13.5	17.6	-4.14
Damian Lillard	81	81	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-4	5	15.7	16.2	-0.46	17.1	13.5	3.67
Andre Jackson Jr.	34	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.41	7	-10	17	15.2	16.1	-0.84	15.0	17.3	-2.34
Malik Beasley	14	14	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	8	-19	15.4	15.8	-0.42	13.1	17.1	-4.00
Brook Lopez	73	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.20	-10	7	-17	16.0	15.1	0.91	16.6	16.3	0.26
Khris Middleton	78	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.59	2	-5	7	16.0	15.1	0.88	17.0	14.7	2.29
Patrick Beverley	77	75	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.53	-8	5	-13	16.4	13.8	2.53	17.1	14.6	2.53

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrese Haliburton	85	86	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.29	16	-13	29	16.3	17.6	-1.29	15.8	15.8	0.02
Myles Turner	76	76	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.34	10	-7	17	16.6	16.3	0.29	16.1	14.8	1.25
Andrew Nembhard	72	73	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.45	4	-1	5	16.5	16.6	-0.16	15.6	16.3	-0.76
Pascal Siakam	74	77	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.46	1	2	-1	17.3	14.0	3.31	15.8	15.8	0.02
Aaron Nesmith	77	79	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.47	-7	10	-17	17.4	13.3	4.03	15.7	16.3	-0.64
Ben Sheppard	34	33	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	0	3	15.8	16.9	-1.04	15.5	15.9	-0.45
T.J. McConnell	30	31	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	6	-9	15.6	16.9	-1.25	16.1	15.7	0.40
Jalen Smith	6	6	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.10	-6	9	-15	18.8	16.3	2.49	13.5	15.9	-2.44
Obi Toppin	36	34	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.05	-3	6	-9	14.3	17.8	-3.47	16.3	15.5	0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.81,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.66,0.73,0.82,0.82,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.62,0.42,0.32,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.57,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 91, BOS 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.87,0.82,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.84,0.74,0.46,0.55,0.36,0.68,0.74,1	88.9%
MEM 80, BOS 85	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.88,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.41,0.59,0.47,0.62,0.57,0.31,0.42,1	88.5%
NYK 90, BOS 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.83,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.53,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.47,0.74,1	87.8%