inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 109 Excitement6.0 [631] MVPJalen Williams (OKC): +33.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder 120 Comeback1.1 [1151] LVPAndrew Nembhard (IND): -14.5%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pascal Siakam0.220,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.080.14-0.001574%0.316-0.09887%0.03
Myles Turner0.120,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.110.030.02576%0.1200.00786%0.03
T.J. McConnell0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.02-0.031462%0.163-0.071100%0.01
Tony Bradley0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.01-0.00267%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Obi Toppin0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.020.001150%0.041-0.02250%-0.00
Aaron Nesmith0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.080.000.06978%0.062-0.0400%0.00
Thomas Bryant0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Johnny Furphy-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02167%-0.0000.0010%-0.00
Ben Sheppard-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Tyrese Haliburton-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.120.01-0.03625%-0.043-0.044100%0.03
Bennedict Mathurin-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.03-0.031127%-0.1010.00450%-0.02
Andrew Nembhard-0.140,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.08-0.07-0.01841%-0.024-0.131100%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jalen Williams0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.330.330.220.09-0.012565%0.351-0.021275%-0.01
Cason Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.120.030.015110%0.1500.0000%0.00
Aaron Wiggins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.03-0.011064%0.121-0.022100%0.02
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.02-0.032155%0.183-0.081493%0.03
Luguentz Dort0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.050.00764%0.091-0.0100%0.00
Kenrich Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.020.00250%-0.011-0.02450%-0.02
Alex Caruso0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.11-0.01-0.01812%-0.081-0.0200%0.00
Chet Holmgren0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.14-0.02-0.021530%-0.063-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.72.832.816.733.32.840.0157.0
league avg25.92.328.214.928.62.332.2135.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +20.0%
IND -3.6%
OKC +10.3%
OKC +21.8%
OKC +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDOKCNBAINDOKCNBA
this game14.214.914.4110.1121.2113.1
season13.913.7115.1117.8
opponent14.714.7105.7113.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND15.115.713.212.814.2
OKC13.714.314.517.214.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Johnny Furphy33-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-13157.314.4-7.0521.714.76.96
Tony Bradley2626-0.01-0.490.48-0.072-151715.114.10.9514.214.9-0.76
Bennedict Mathurin4240-0.04-0.460.42-0.164-172114.614.20.3715.014.50.54
T.J. McConnell4240-0.07-0.430.35-0.132-151714.014.6-0.6014.814.60.24
Ben Sheppard77-0.17-0.330.160.06-8-5-319.014.04.9813.014.8-1.84
Pascal Siakam7269-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.11-5-8314.115.3-1.2114.714.8-0.15
Myles Turner4949-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.10-7-6-115.013.71.3415.014.40.60
Aaron Nesmith5253-0.32-0.18-0.130.03-12-1-1113.815.1-1.3014.515.0-0.49
Tyrese Haliburton7173-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.02-130-1314.314.5-0.1814.714.7-0.04
Obi Toppin4447-0.46-0.04-0.430.01-163-1914.014.7-0.7114.714.8-0.10
Andrew Nembhard7576-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.12-12-1-1114.314.6-0.2414.914.10.71

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jalen Williams59610.270.010.260.048-31114.115.6-1.5114.315.5-1.18
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander63640.240.040.200.1532114.614.30.3314.814.30.48
Chet Holmgren55550.240.040.200.076-1714.115.4-1.2714.515.0-0.46
Alex Caruso42450.180.100.090.1323-115.413.71.7214.015.4-1.44
Luguentz Dort51530.170.110.05-0.078-31114.115.2-1.1314.514.9-0.32
Cason Wallace35320.160.120.040.1605-514.814.40.4215.414.21.25
Kenrich Williams21200.120.16-0.040.0141314.814.50.2815.614.41.29
Isaiah Hartenstein43460.080.20-0.120.11-16-714.115.1-1.0114.914.30.59
Aaron Wiggins4644-0.060.34-0.390.09-510-1515.413.51.8814.714.60.03


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 87, LAL 1040.5,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.76,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.9,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.92,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,195.4%
ATL 85, CHA 960.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.77,0.79,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,195.3%
NYK 94, IND 1070.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,195.1%