NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	115		Excitement	5.1 [773]		MVP	Pascal Siakam (IND): +22.1%
Indiana Pacers	123		Comeback	1.0 [917]		LVP	Kevin Porter Jr. (MIL): -6.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Portis	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.22	-0.00	0.04	19	72%	0.18	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kyle Kuzma	0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	10	55%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05	0.14	-0.03	0.06	20	68%	0.13	4	-0.08	10	60%	-0.01
Damian Lillard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	13	45%	0.09	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
AJ Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	4	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jericho Sims	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	9	50%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.08	0.13	-0.01	16	63%	0.26	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	10	77%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.01	0.04	9	80%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.02	10	68%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	10	56%	0.07	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	-0.04	19	52%	0.09	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.02	4	87%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	8	37%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarace Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	33.9	3.4	29.6	15.5	30.7	2.8	37.5	153.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +25.7%

IND +7.1%

MIL -1.5%

IND +18.9%

MIL -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	IND	NBA	MIL	IND	NBA
this game	13.8	15.6	14.4	118.6	124.2	113.1
season	14.4	13.9		114.3	115.2
opponent	14.7	14.3		112.9	112.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.1	12.6	14.5	15.3	13.8
IND	13.5	14.5	14.9	20.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jericho Sims	19	19	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.11	5	-13	18	12.3	14.1	-1.83	14.3	15.9	-1.64
AJ Green	26	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.13	3	-11	14	12.0	14.4	-2.38	15.4	15.7	-0.27
Kevin Porter Jr.	35	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.10	-1	-7	6	12.1	14.7	-2.57	14.3	16.3	-1.92
Brook Lopez	33	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.06	-9	1	-10	14.8	13.3	1.52	14.1	16.3	-2.20
Gary Trent Jr.	59	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-7	6	13.2	14.7	-1.57	16.6	13.9	2.70
Bobby Portis	64	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.32	1	-9	10	13.3	14.8	-1.52	16.3	14.1	2.20
Taurean Prince	40	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	5	-18	14.8	13.1	1.69	13.6	17.0	-3.33
Kyle Kuzma	58	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.18	-7	-1	-6	14.8	12.3	2.47	16.5	14.1	2.41
Damian Lillard	73	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.20	-7	-1	-6	14.4	12.0	2.31	15.8	15.1	0.68
Giannis Antetokounmpo	78	79	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	3	-14	14.1	12.3	1.83	15.8	14.5	1.30

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Nembhard	67	66	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.11	10	-2	12	15.9	14.9	1.05	14.8	11.7	3.05
Aaron Nesmith	61	59	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.11	10	-2	12	16.2	14.6	1.55	14.7	12.4	2.24
Pascal Siakam	72	73	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.14	8	0	8	15.0	17.2	-2.25	13.6	14.3	-0.73
Myles Turner	64	62	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.16	7	1	6	16.3	14.3	1.92	14.7	12.1	2.57
Tyrese Haliburton	69	68	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.22	2	6	-4	16.1	14.5	1.56	14.1	13.0	1.07
T.J. McConnell	36	36	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.11	2	6	-4	14.5	16.2	-1.66	12.4	14.6	-2.13
Jarace Walker	26	24	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.09	2	6	-4	14.9	15.8	-0.90	12.2	14.3	-2.09
Obi Toppin	44	41	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.26	-4	12	-16	16.7	14.7	2.01	13.0	14.4	-1.36
Thomas Bryant	18	18	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.02	5	3	2	12.9	16.2	-3.30	13.1	13.9	-0.83
Bennedict Mathurin	38	38	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.16	-2	10	-12	14.6	16.2	-1.55	12.4	14.7	-2.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.73,0.84,0.82,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.95,0.89,0.9,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 101, MIL 122	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
SAS 86, DEN 90	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.81,0.88,0.95,0.96,1	94.6%
POR 98, GSW 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.99,1	94.5%