NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	115		Excitement	5.3 [746]		MVP	Duncan Robinson (DET): +14.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Comeback	1.8 [427]		LVP	Dennis Schröder (CLE): -16.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Duncan Robinson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.03	0.02	7	82%	0.15	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Paul Reed	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	9	81%	0.12	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Daniss Jenkins	0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.04	0.06	11	62%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Sasser	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	5	90%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Duren	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	10	62%	0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Cade Cunningham	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.07	0.05	-0.06	19	52%	0.18	7	-0.14	2	100%	0.00
Ausar Thompson	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.06	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Ronald Holland II	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chaz Lanier	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tolu Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	7	37%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Merrill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.01	-0.03	6	71%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	6	81%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02
Max Strus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.07	9	33%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylon Tyson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Craig Porter Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	13	64%	0.08	8	-0.16	10	80%	-0.00
Evan Mobley	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.05	0.03	14	50%	-0.02	3	-0.09	8	50%	-0.04
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	20	41%	-0.08	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Dennis Schröder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	0.1	35.4	0.1	45.8	0.3	36.4	146.4
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.8	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +51.8%

DET +1.9%

CLE -10.2%

DET +7.2%

CLE -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CLE	NBA	DET	CLE	NBA
this game	15.4	14.6	14.2	119.8	97.9	113.5
season	14.3	13.9		115.2	116.3
opponent	14.6	14.4		112.8	107.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.0	12.5	16.7	18.2	15.4
CLE	13.6	14.3	15.3	15.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Sasser	76	76	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.04	24	-3	27	15.6	14.1	1.53	14.9	14.3	0.54
Paul Reed	56	56	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.07	23	-2	25	16.1	14.0	2.12	15.4	13.8	1.57
Caris LeVert	95	95	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.12	21	0	21	15.3	0.0	15.27	14.7	0.0	14.75
Ausar Thompson	76	76	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.19	10	11	-1	15.1	16.1	-1.04	14.6	15.3	-0.64
Cade Cunningham	94	92	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.03	17	4	13	15.2	22.0	-6.80	14.9	11.0	3.87
Daniss Jenkins	84	83	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.13	20	1	19	15.6	13.8	1.75	14.5	14.9	-0.38
Duncan Robinson	81	79	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.12	10	11	-1	14.8	17.9	-3.11	14.4	16.3	-1.88
Jalen Duren	81	81	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.16	18	3	15	14.7	18.4	-3.62	14.8	14.6	0.21
Tobias Harris	77	75	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	7	7	14.7	17.8	-3.16	14.9	14.3	0.57
Ronald Holland II	19	19	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.10	5	16	-11	17.7	14.7	3.08	16.0	14.4	1.57
Chaz Lanier	20	20	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.19	8	13	-5	17.9	14.6	3.39	16.0	14.4	1.59
Tolu Smith	20	21	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.16	7	14	-7	17.9	14.6	3.39	16.0	14.4	1.67
Isaiah Stewart	25	24	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	21	-21	15.0	15.4	-0.32	14.2	14.9	-0.78

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thomas Bryant	18	17	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.16	-7	-14	7	16.7	14.4	2.34	17.6	14.6	3.03
Jaylon Tyson	18	17	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.16	-7	-14	7	16.7	14.4	2.34	17.6	14.6	3.03
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	18	17	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.16	-7	-14	7	16.7	14.4	2.34	17.6	14.6	3.03
Craig Porter Jr.	18	17	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.16	-7	-14	7	16.7	14.4	2.34	17.6	14.6	3.03
Keon Ellis	18	17	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.16	-7	-14	7	16.7	14.4	2.34	17.6	14.6	3.03
James Harden	76	78	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	-10	-1	15.2	13.3	1.85	15.3	14.2	1.07
Jarrett Allen	85	87	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.12	-12	-9	-3	14.7	16.0	-1.26	15.1	14.6	0.55
Donovan Mitchell	91	92	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.10	-19	-2	-17	15.0	0.0	15.00	15.1	0.0	15.12
Evan Mobley	92	92	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.12	-21	0	-21	14.8	0.0	14.84	15.1	0.0	15.12
Max Strus	92	92	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.12	-21	0	-21	14.8	0.0	14.84	15.1	0.0	15.12
Dean Wade	57	58	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.01	-18	-3	-15	15.0	14.6	0.38	14.6	16.0	-1.35
Dennis Schröder	61	63	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.05	-18	-3	-15	14.7	15.0	-0.29	15.0	15.4	-0.48
Sam Merrill	66	67	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.12	-16	-5	-11	14.3	16.3	-2.05	15.4	14.5	0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.41,0.46,0.31,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.17,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 113, PHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.15,0.12,0.24,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.2,0.13,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
GSW 112, SAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.04,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
DAL 98, CLE 90	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.39,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.1,0.09,0.17,0.12,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.17,0.09,0.13,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	93.6%