NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	107		Excitement	7.8 [303]		MVP	John Poulakidas (DAL): +26.4%
Phoenix Suns	112		Comeback	1.6 [833]		LVP	Cooper Flagg (DAL): -26.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Poulakidas	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26	0.22	0.05	0.00	12	88%	0.26	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Marvin Bagley III	0.23	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.15	0.11	0.03	11	83%	0.28	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03
Max Christie	0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.04	0.01	11	69%	0.15	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ryan Nembhard	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.02	-0.04	9	47%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Moussa Cisse	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.00	5	79%	0.09	1	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Tyler Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	5	29%	-0.03	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
AJ Johnson	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.09	0.00	11	17%	-0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cooper Flagg	-0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.14	-0.12	0.00	18	28%	-0.21	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.11	0.01	27	59%	0.33	4	-0.10	9	100%	0.08
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.08	-0.01	22	58%	0.21	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.00	0.00	7	100%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oso Ighodaro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.02	-0.02	3	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Goodwin	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	7	64%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Collin Gillespie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	12	50%	0.10	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Rasheer Fleming	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jamaree Bouyea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khaman Maluach	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	0.2	27.0	16.3	26.4	1.3	30.7	124.5
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +37.4%

PHX +5.4%

PHX +2.6%

PHX +2.7%

PHX +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHX	NBA	DAL	PHX	NBA
this game	16.1	14.3	14.2	113.8	117.9	113.7
season	13.9	14.4		109.7	113.0
opponent	14.6	14.0		111.6	115.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.3	18.2	15.4	14.8	16.1
PHX	13.0	13.7	14.6	15.8	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Bagley III	78	79	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-7	9	16.3	15.2	1.08	14.4	13.7	0.67
Cooper Flagg	67	67	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.11	3	-8	11	16.4	15.4	0.99	15.1	12.3	2.86
Ryan Nembhard	67	67	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.11	3	-8	11	16.4	15.4	0.99	15.1	12.3	2.86
Moussa Cisse	73	74	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.33	10	-15	25	15.3	19.1	-3.79	15.2	11.2	4.00
Max Christie	71	72	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-6	7	16.4	15.5	0.83	14.9	12.3	2.64
Tyler Smith	79	82	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.31	7	-12	19	15.8	18.2	-2.44	14.9	10.8	4.10
Khris Middleton	46	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	2	-9	16.7	15.6	1.11	14.6	14.1	0.48
John Poulakidas	83	84	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.33	1	-6	7	15.5	20.7	-5.19	14.3	14.0	0.35
Dwight Powell	88	90	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-3	1	16.2	16.0	0.16	14.4	13.2	1.17
AJ Johnson	88	90	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-3	1	16.2	16.0	0.16	14.4	13.2	1.17

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Booker	89	88	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.33	3	2	1	14.5	10.8	3.71	16.0	18.8	-2.87
Collin Gillespie	89	88	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.24	5	0	5	14.1	17.7	-3.59	16.3	13.5	2.83
Khaman Maluach	81	82	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	4	-3	14.8	11.6	3.12	16.0	16.8	-0.78
Royce O'Neale	84	83	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.33	-1	6	-7	14.3	14.0	0.35	15.5	20.7	-5.19
Amir Coffey	48	47	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.36	-3	8	-11	15.2	13.4	1.87	15.1	17.2	-2.13
Dillon Brooks	82	80	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.32	-3	8	-11	15.0	10.1	4.90	15.9	17.5	-1.59
Ryan Dunn	58	59	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.32	-4	9	-13	15.1	13.0	2.09	16.1	16.3	-0.17
Oso Ighodaro	72	72	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.28	-6	11	-17	14.6	13.5	1.09	15.4	18.5	-3.01
Jamaree Bouyea	18	18	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.06	-2	7	-9	15.9	13.9	1.95	14.2	16.6	-2.38
Jalen Green	8	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	6	-7	16.5	14.1	2.40	11.9	16.5	-4.67
Rasheer Fleming	71	70	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	6	-7	14.2	14.7	-0.48	16.5	15.2	1.21
Jordan Goodwin	27	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	4	-3	14.4	14.3	0.14	15.5	16.4	-0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.79,0.68,0.59,0.62,0.76,0.67,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.62,0.42,0.55,0.65,0.83,0.9,0.95,0.85,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 91, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.75,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.69,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.92,1	91.4%
MIN 102, DAL 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.88,0.82,0.66,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.71,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.83,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.99,1	91.2%
ATL 95, PHX 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.85,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.82,0.92,1	91.1%