NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	137		Excitement	10.0 [59]		MVP	Eric Bledsoe (MIL): +29.5%
Washington Wizards	134		Comeback	6.1 [319]		LVP	Troy Brown Jr. (WAS): -12.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0.29	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.12	0.18	-0.00	11	82%	0.46	4	-0.16	6	83%	0.07
Robin Lopez	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.06	-0.00	5	110%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.23,0.12,-0.04,-0.11,-0.25,-0.32,-0.13,0.15	0.17	0.01	0.03	28	62%	0.25	2	-0.10	8	100%	0.09
Wesley Matthews	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
Donte DiVincenzo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	5	100%	0.10	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Pat Connaughton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sterling Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.08	0.01	12	58%	0.04	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	12	69%	0.18	8	-0.24	8	75%	-0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.18,0.56,0.43,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.4,0.27	0.27	0.23	0.11	0.07	33	72%	0.80	9	-0.53	10	90%	0.07
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	0.00	3	57%	0.10	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.03
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	6	59%	0.05	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.15	-0.04	0.07	17	69%	0.07	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Jerome Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.05	11	57%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.2,-0.2,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.09	-0.01	12	43%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	9	22%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.4	1.6	30.3	14.5	28.5	2.5	33.3	2.4	17.2	157.6
league avg	25.5	2.2	28.0	14.7	27.8	2.2	32.2	2.3	15.4	133.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +35.6%

MIL +11.7%

MIL +7.7%

WAS -4.0%

WAS -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	WAS	NBA	MIL	WAS	NBA
this game	13.4	13.5	14.2	116.1	112.6	109.2
season	13.1	13.7		112.9	110.5
opponent	14.0	14.1		114.7	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIL	13.1	14.7	12.0	14.2	12.5	13.4
WAS	13.1	13.5	14.7	12.5	13.5	13.5

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.37,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.36,0.22,0.21,0.12,0.1,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.74,0.54,0.39,0.69,0.78,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 100, NJN 98	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.14,0.21,0.14,0.42,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.57,0.28,0	89.8%
MIA 94, CLE 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.15,0.46,0.36,0.45,0.78,0.31,0	87.9%
DAL 115, MIL 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.43,0.42,0	87.3%