NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace

Toronto Raptors	114		Excitement	8.9 [187]		MVP	Fred VanVleet (TOR): +37.5%
Golden State Warriors	110		Comeback	2.3 [411]		LVP	Draymond Green (GSW): -26.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred VanVleet	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.14	0.24	0.00	14	67%	0.40	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.06
Pascal Siakam	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.23	0.13	0.12	0.01	17	68%	0.35	2	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	12	58%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Kyle Lowry	0.02	0,0,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.11	-0.06	0.03	16	68%	0.15	3	-0.12	6	67%	-0.02
Kawhi Leonard	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.06	0.01	16	55%	0.04	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
Marc Gasol	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	5	21%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
Norman Powell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.15	-0.02	-0.13	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.26	0.08	0.02	12	88%	0.35	2	-0.04	10	100%	0.06
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.09	0.00	15	63%	0.22	1	-0.03	5	20%	-0.07
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	5	60%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	48%	0.03	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.09
Jonas Jerebko	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinn Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11	-0.11	0.00	-0.16	-0.05	17	52%	-0.04	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.06
Draymond Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.29,-0.34,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.15	-0.13	-0.02	10	50%	0.05	8	-0.32	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	2.8	30.1	13.7	35.6	2.0	40.3	153.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +20.1%

TOR +14.4%

TOR +2.8%

TOR +11.5%

TOR +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	GSW	NBA	TOR	GSW	NBA
this game	15.7	14.0	14.3	118.8	112.2	109.3
season	14.3	13.4		111.5	114.5
opponent	15.0	14.5		108.9	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.3	14.6	16.7	17.5	15.7
GSW	12.4	16.0	14.0	13.8	14.0