NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	118		Excitement	9.7 [6]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (LAL): +53.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	121		Comeback	2.1 [24]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (LAL): -35.5%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ja Morant	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.19	0.19	-0.01	-0.01	21	75%	0.42	6	-0.23	11	82%	-0.12
Desmond Bane	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	0.01	15	55%	0.12	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	7	44%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jaren Jackson Jr.	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	12	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.06
Brandon Clarke	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	12	54%	0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Ziaire Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	6	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	11	64%	0.09	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	8	12%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.58,0.54	0.54	0.26	0.29	0.02	15	87%	0.54	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.11	0.01	3	110%	0.23	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.09	0.00	7	75%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.10	-0.01	15	59%	0.22	3	-0.06	7	71%	0.02
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.03	0.09	-0.02	19	47%	0.14	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Reaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	80%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.02	5	80%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.3,-0.36	-0.36	-0.23	-0.16	-0.03	15	38%	-0.09	9	-0.26	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	26.9	15.3	25.1	1.6	46.2	142.9
league avg	25.5	2.4	27.8	14.8	27.7	2.3	32.4	134.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +63.2%

LAL +3.0%

MEM -30.2%

LAL +12.0%

LAL +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAL	NBA	MEM	LAL	NBA
this game	14.2	13.8	14.1	113.5	118.6	106.3
season	14.0	13.3		120.1	107.9
opponent	14.0	14.3		111.0	117.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	12.8	16.0	14.5	13.8	14.2
LAL	11.6	13.4	14.9	15.6	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Bane	67	67	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.46	21	52	-31	13.5	15.5	-2.04	13.7	13.9	-0.29
Ja Morant	84	82	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.30	9	30	-21	13.5	17.1	-3.65	13.5	14.8	-1.36
Brandon Clarke	30	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.12	-6	87	-93	13.8	14.4	-0.61	12.5	14.2	-1.73
Jaren Jackson Jr.	60	61	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.34	9	54	-45	13.7	14.9	-1.19	13.8	13.7	0.08
Steven Adams	71	71	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.60	15	46	-31	14.0	14.6	-0.64	14.4	12.2	2.20
De'Anthony Melton	61	61	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.40	8	53	-45	14.5	13.8	0.62	13.9	13.5	0.37
Tyus Jones	20	20	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.12	-12	91	-103	17.1	13.5	3.65	14.8	13.5	1.36
Kyle Anderson	42	41	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.05	-15	64	-79	13.8	14.5	-0.70	13.2	14.1	-0.98
Ziaire Williams	39	36	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	0.05	-22	69	-91	15.2	13.6	1.52	14.0	13.6	0.38
Xavier Tillman	46	44	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	0.03	-22	59	-81	15.7	13.0	2.76	13.7	13.8	-0.09

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Reaves	34	33	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.23	18	86	-68	15.1	13.1	2.09	17.2	12.8	4.36
Carmelo Anthony	58	61	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.18	19	60	-41	13.9	13.6	0.29	14.4	14.0	0.38
Malik Monk	43	43	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.11	19	72	-53	13.2	14.1	-0.90	15.2	13.5	1.68
LeBron James	86	87	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.46	-1	19	-20	13.9	13.0	0.90	14.5	12.6	1.86
Dwight Howard	34	34	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	75	-69	14.3	13.5	0.85	17.3	12.7	4.64
Anthony Davis	75	76	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.24	-5	29	-34	13.4	14.8	-1.39	12.8	17.9	-5.05
Russell Westbrook	80	84	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.28	-8	23	-31	13.8	13.7	0.09	13.4	17.5	-4.15
Avery Bradley	4	6	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.00	-2	113	-115	12.0	13.8	-1.83	14.7	14.2	0.49
Kent Bazemore	63	63	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.26	-16	37	-53	13.6	14.0	-0.36	12.7	16.5	-3.73
DeAndre Jordan	33	33	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	0.10	-15	76	-91	13.1	14.1	-0.98	13.5	14.5	-1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.75,0.69,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.62,0.77,0.9,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.9,0.94,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 100, HOU 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.19,0.26,0.34,0.42,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.84,1	91.2%
LAL 78, SAS 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.22,0.38,0.3,0.48,0.53,0.63,0.74,0.59,0.78,0.9,0.98,1,1,1	91.1%
NOK 100, CHA 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.63,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.73,0.64,0.6,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.98,1	91.1%