NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
misc

Denver Nuggets	97		Excitement	7.1 [368]		MVP	Jerami Grant (DEN): +17.8%
Dallas Mavericks	113		Comeback	2.8 [271]		LVP	Mason Plumlee (DEN): -10.4%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerami Grant	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.07	0.00	4	100%	0.18	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Will Barton	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.02	-0.01	17	64%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jamal Murray	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.03	-0.03	22	54%	0.21	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Torrey Craig	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.01	5	67%	0.02	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Nikola Jokic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	10	70%	0.12	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Michael Porter Jr.	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monte Morris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.07	0.01	11	52%	-0.02	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Mason Plumlee	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.09	0.05	20	65%	0.22	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	13	58%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	6	58%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.02	22	51%	0.09	2	-0.06	11	55%	-0.06
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.04	15	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
J.J. Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	8	56%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.8	29.2	15.6	25.8	2.8	33.2	131.6
league avg	25.5	2.2	27.9	14.7	27.8	2.2	32.3	133.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +1.0%

DAL +5.8%

DAL +20.5%

DAL +22.9%

DEN -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	DAL	NBA	DEN	DAL	NBA
this game	14.2	14.8	14.2	98.0	113.0	109.4
season	14.9	14.6		111.4	115.3
opponent	14.1	14.4		109.3	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.0	14.9	14.9	13.0	14.2
DAL	15.4	13.9	15.8	14.1	14.8

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.32,0.38,0.26,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.57,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.95,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 97, CHI 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.29,0.42,0.52,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.84,1	92.9%
CHI 81, POR 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.33,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.76,0.58,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.93,1,1,0.98,1	92.4%
CLE 81, MIA 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.88,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.81,0.98,0.97,0.99,1	92.2%