NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
misc

Dallas Mavericks	109		Excitement	9.5 [23]		MVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): +37.5%
Milwaukee Bucks	112		Comeback	2.3 [96]		LVP	Kristaps Porzingis (DAL): -17.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Johnson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.10	0.01	9	65%	0.21	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.02	0.01	17	65%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	7	69%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.05
Luka Doncic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.11,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	24	51%	0.08	3	-0.04	7	43%	-0.06
Wes Iwundu	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrell Terry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.08,-0.02	0.05	-0.08	-0.00	12	54%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Green	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.17,0.35,0.37	0.37	0.09	0.30	0.01	20	56%	0.40	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.14	0.02	21	60%	0.28	5	-0.10	10	10%	-0.18
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	5	30%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	71%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.00	8	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	15	52%	0.02	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.07	0.01	12	42%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	3	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	3.4	29.4	14.7	28.5	2.7	34.8	139.9
league avg	25.7	2.3	28.3	14.8	28.1	2.3	32.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +29.7%

MIL +6.2%

MIL +19.1%

DAL -3.8%

DAL -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIL	NBA	DAL	MIL	NBA
this game	14.4	14.6	14.2	109.0	113.1	109.4
season	14.5	13.3		108.9	117.3
opponent	14.8	14.5		106.8	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.6	15.5	15.2	13.2	14.4
MIL	11.7	15.1	15.4	16.8	14.6

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.73,0.69,0.55,0.64,0.75,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.73,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.69,0.71,0.53,0.75,0.46,0.69,0.81,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 102, POR 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.53,0.53,0.7,0.8,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.84,1	91.8%
CHA 85, NOH 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.65,0.61,0.81,0.72,0.78,0.95,1	91.7%
SAS 84, MIA 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.84,1	91.7%