NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	124		Excitement	9.0 [116]		MVP	Cam Thomas (BKN): +41.4%
Brooklyn Nets	116		Comeback	7.5 [250]		LVP	Patty Mills (BKN): -11.6%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.12	0.20	0.02	17	60%	0.33	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.05
Ivica Zubac	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22	0.11	0.10	-0.01	9	68%	0.22	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.04
Paul George	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17	0.11	0.07	0.01	20	62%	0.21	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.04
Nicolas Batum	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16	0.02	0.13	-0.02	8	47%	0.16	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Reggie Jackson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.05	0.02	10	60%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	10	61%	0.16	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Terance Mann	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	9	63%	0.09	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Luke Kennard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris Sr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cam Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.54,0.54,0.43,0.41	0.41	0.25	0.17	0.01	29	68%	0.56	4	-0.15	11	91%	0.06
Edmond Sumner	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.13	0.16	-0.00	17	62%	0.29	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	2	150%	0.14	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	6	67%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.08	-0.06	0.02	9	83%	0.10	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.03	8	62%	0.21	4	-0.22	8	62%	-0.04
Dru Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Day'Ron Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kessler Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yuta Watanabe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.2	24.4	14.8	32.8	0.7	35.4	133.7
league avg	25.7	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.3	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN -6.5%

LAC +13.7%

LAC +8.6%

LAC +37.9%

BKN -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	BKN	NBA	LAC	BKN	NBA
this game	14.3	13.9	14.4	120.4	114.9	113.0
season	14.8	14.2		112.0	115.0
opponent	14.7	14.4		112.6	112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.3	15.5	12.4	13.7	14.3
BKN	16.5	14.4	12.9	12.5	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ivica Zubac	61	62	1.38	-0.88	2.27	0.59	27	-19	46	14.4	14.2	0.22	15.4	11.5	3.95
Reggie Jackson	60	60	1.18	-0.68	1.87	0.39	27	-19	46	13.0	16.2	-3.16	13.3	14.9	-1.59
Norman Powell	67	67	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.15	13	-5	18	13.2	16.4	-3.18	13.8	14.1	-0.27
Luke Kennard	30	29	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	-4	16	13.6	14.6	-0.97	16.2	13.0	3.17
Paul George	74	74	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.28	-2	10	-12	14.6	13.7	0.88	13.1	16.0	-2.85
Kawhi Leonard	75	71	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	18	-28	14.7	13.4	1.32	13.2	15.5	-2.26
Marcus Morris Sr.	33	32	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	11	-14	16.6	13.3	3.32	15.9	13.0	2.97
Nicolas Batum	63	60	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	-0.31	-4	12	-16	13.4	15.7	-2.30	13.1	15.1	-2.08
Terance Mann	52	50	-0.65	1.15	-1.79	-0.06	-20	28	-48	16.3	12.3	4.09	13.4	14.4	-1.01

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Edmond Sumner	67	70	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.25	10	-18	28	13.0	15.7	-2.66	15.3	12.2	3.19
Yuta Watanabe	44	46	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-3	-2	14.5	13.5	1.04	13.2	15.2	-1.95
Nic Claxton	75	76	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.31	7	-15	22	13.4	15.5	-2.14	15.1	12.0	3.14
Cam Thomas	82	84	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-11	14	13.4	15.9	-2.51	14.5	13.7	0.78
Joe Harris	58	59	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.24	4	-12	16	13.4	14.7	-1.29	14.9	13.5	1.43
Kessler Edwards	12	11	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-3	-2	15.3	13.7	1.61	15.2	14.2	0.96
Day'Ron Sharpe	12	13	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	2	-12	15.9	13.6	2.28	17.5	13.9	3.59
T.J. Warren	27	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	1	-10	13.6	14.0	-0.43	11.6	15.4	-3.76
Dru Smith	30	29	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.06	-13	5	-18	15.5	13.2	2.31	12.0	15.2	-3.23
Patty Mills	23	23	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.02	-16	8	-24	16.1	13.3	2.82	13.6	14.5	-0.92
Royce O'Neale	75	75	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.46	-6	-2	-4	14.1	13.3	0.76	14.0	15.1	-1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.25,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.63,0.41,0.38,0.52,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.59,0.88,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.23,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 100, PHX 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.54,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.28,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.61,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.32,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.45,0.31,0.16,0	89.1%
LAC 97, CHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.45,0.43,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.66,0.23,0.02,0	88.6%
HOU 121, LAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.33,0.2,0.27,0.47,0.71,0.61,0.53,0.22,0.04,0,0	88.6%