inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 108 Excitement5.3 [766] MVPJayson Tatum (BOS): +31.6%
Milwaukee Bucks 95 Comeback1.4 [576] LVPAl Horford (BOS): -8.2%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jayson Tatum0.320,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.22,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.320.220.130.043265%0.424-0.10771%-0.02
Marcus Smart0.150,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.140.020.001666%0.1500.0000%0.00
Jaylen Brown0.080,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.01-0.021656%0.122-0.04757%0.01
Derrick White0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.010.03-0.04945%0.0700.002100%0.01
Daniel Theis0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Nik Stauskas0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Aaron Nesmith0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Payton Pritchard-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.0220%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Grant Williams-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.01318%-0.041-0.02540%-0.01
Al Horford-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.01617%-0.061-0.0300%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pat Connaughton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.130.06-0.00887%0.1900.0000%0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.100.000.023059%0.226-0.131593%0.03
Jrue Holiday0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021750%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Luca Vildoza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rayjon Tucker00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan Nwora0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Thanasis Antetokounmpo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.00-0.00050%-0.0000.00250%-0.00
Jevon Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.020.000.021100%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Brook Lopez0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.01650%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00633%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
George Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Bobby Portis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.00825%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Grayson Allen0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01720%-0.051-0.021100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.83.034.315.428.22.037.0146.7
league avg25.62.328.014.728.02.332.3134.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +48.5%
MIL -3.3%
MIL -3.3%
BOS +5.4%
BOS +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSMILNBABOSMILNBA
this game17.012.714.5113.796.0110.8
season14.813.7112.9112.5
opponent14.814.7109.3105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS15.115.917.220.317.0
MIL14.312.612.211.912.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.41,0.45,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.12,0.21,0.23,0.13,0.19,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 104, MIL 990.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.23,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,094.1%
MIN 85, SAC 770.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0,0,093.9%
NJN 102, NOH 920.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.05,0,0,0,093.6%