NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	103		Excitement	7.6 [309]		MVP	Trevor Ariza (WAS): +45.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	100		Comeback	15.0 [20]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -22.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0.46	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.13,0.24,0.18,0.31,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46	0.18	0.29	0.01	15	83%	0.58	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,0.08,0.1	-0.01	0.11	-0.00	15	47%	0.20	1	-0.10	2	50%	-0.06
John Wall	0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07	0.04	0.07	0.04	19	52%	0.08	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.04
Garrett Temple	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	12	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Booker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	0.01	9	55%	-0.04	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Cartier Martin	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.14	0.13	0.01	8	84%	0.26	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	9	87%	0.17	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.02	0.05	-0.05	10	45%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.02	9	55%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.06	0.02	6	75%	0.10	2	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	6	42%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	10	20%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.02,0.14,-0.07,-0.22	-0.22	-0.08	-0.16	-0.02	18	49%	-0.10	6	-0.12	7	57%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	1.7	26.5	15.5	26.4	1.7	37.3	134.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +40.7%

LAL -1.4%

WAS +2.8%

WAS +9.5%

LAL -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	LAL	NBA	WAS	LAL	NBA
this game	14.9	14.9	15.4	107.3	103.1	104.1
season	15.1	14.9		98.8	106.0
opponent	15.3	15.7		105.7	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.6	15.7	13.1	16.5	14.9
LAL	14.2	15.0	15.7	14.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Martell Webster	61	62	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.46	8	-5	13	14.3	15.9	-1.57	15.5	14.0	1.50
Trevor Ariza	60	61	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.40	8	-5	13	15.0	14.8	0.13	13.9	16.6	-2.72
John Wall	87	89	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.37	7	-4	11	14.9	14.9	0.03	15.3	10.7	4.55
Nene	62	65	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.28	4	-1	5	14.9	15.0	-0.13	15.7	13.4	2.32
Garrett Temple	71	72	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.45	-2	5	-7	15.1	14.3	0.86	15.4	13.4	2.00
Trevor Booker	38	37	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	2	-1	15.1	14.8	0.36	13.8	15.6	-1.89
Jason Collins	26	28	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	4	-5	12.9	15.7	-2.79	16.3	14.4	1.96
Kevin Seraphin	60	57	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	6	-9	16.1	12.9	3.16	14.4	15.7	-1.36
Cartier Martin	15	14	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.05	-7	10	-17	14.4	15.0	-0.61	10.9	15.6	-4.67

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Clark	13	14	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-5	7	15.6	14.8	0.79	16.6	14.6	2.02
Antawn Jamison	37	37	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-1	-1	14.0	15.5	-1.46	14.6	15.1	-0.52
Pau Gasol	46	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.13	-3	0	-3	14.6	15.3	-0.69	13.4	16.3	-2.90
Dwight Howard	74	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.30	2	-5	7	15.6	12.9	2.64	15.2	14.0	1.21
Steve Blake	43	43	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	4	-11	13.6	16.0	-2.42	14.1	15.5	-1.41
Steve Nash	70	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.38	0	-3	3	15.2	14.2	1.03	15.6	13.2	2.45
Metta World Peace	77	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-3	3	15.4	13.0	2.43	15.5	12.7	2.74
Kobe Bryant	76	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.44	1	-4	5	15.3	13.7	1.61	14.3	17.3	-3.01
Jodie Meeks	49	48	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.39	-8	5	-13	14.3	15.6	-1.34	15.4	14.4	1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.79,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.72,0.58,0.7,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.64,0.65,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.76,0.31,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 111, CLE 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.72,0.7,0.57,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.59,0.71,0.61,0.47,0.46,0.68,0.26,0	90.4%
ORL 97, NOH 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.74,0.72,0.9,0.27,0	89.5%
BOS 100, PHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.89,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.74,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.69,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.73,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.36,0.43,0.73,0	89.1%