NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	111		Excitement	8.6 [191]		MVP	Marcus Smart (BOS): +45.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	108		Comeback	31.7 [8]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -33.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Smart	0.45	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.45,0.45	0.21	0.27	0.03	14	79%	0.49	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.03
Jonas Jerebko	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.34	0.12	0.23	0.00	4	125%	0.34	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0.19	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,0.19	-0.01	0.20	0.00	23	42%	0.19	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.05	0.03	8	75%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Al Horford	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.13	-0.01	0.15	0.01	18	44%	0.17	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.07	0.00	14	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JR Smith	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.37	0.37	0.10	0.26	-0.01	8	72%	0.37	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.11,0.28	0.28	0.20	0.12	0.04	15	83%	0.37	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.02
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.06	0.02	4	78%	0.18	2	-0.03	15	80%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.17	-0.07	0.02	16	74%	0.17	2	-0.09	6	83%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	4	60%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	5	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.33	-0.19	-0.18	-0.04	13	34%	-0.12	6	-0.21	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.7	31.5	17.6	29.5	3.4	38.2	147.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +44.6%

CLE -8.1%

CLE -16.6%

BOS +30.2%

CLE -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CLE	NBA	BOS	CLE	NBA
this game	16.1	15.1	14.8	120.7	116.1	107.7
season	14.7	14.9		110.1	113.5
opponent	14.7	14.9		109.6	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	18.4	16.0	13.7	16.3	16.1
CLE	13.5	13.5	15.6	18.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Jerebko	24	27	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.11	22	-19	41	12.2	17.4	-5.27	16.5	14.5	1.98
Marcus Smart	79	80	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.45	8	-5	13	16.0	16.2	-0.19	15.1	15.2	-0.09
Jae Crowder	74	76	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.35	6	-3	9	16.7	13.5	3.19	15.1	15.0	0.09
Kelly Olynyk	44	44	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.07	15	-12	27	15.3	16.7	-1.39	16.1	14.2	1.88
Avery Bradley	79	79	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.39	4	-1	5	16.3	14.5	1.87	15.4	13.4	2.02
Al Horford	68	68	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.61	-10	13	-23	17.1	13.2	3.81	14.8	15.8	-1.05
Gerald Green	14	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.03	0	3	-3	15.7	16.1	-0.41	14.9	15.1	-0.17
Tyler Zeller	14	14	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.01	-4	7	-11	17.5	15.8	1.69	12.4	15.6	-3.20
Terry Rozier	17	18	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	7	-11	15.2	16.3	-1.09	13.9	15.3	-1.40
Jaylen Brown	28	26	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.05	-7	10	-17	14.1	16.9	-2.87	14.9	15.1	-0.21
Amir Johnson	19	18	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	0.17	-15	18	-33	18.6	15.4	3.23	13.8	15.4	-1.54

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	17	19	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.13	1	-4	5	15.4	15.0	0.34	15.3	16.3	-0.94
Richard Jefferson	9	9	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.00	2	-5	7	14.8	15.1	-0.33	15.7	16.1	-0.44
Kevin Love	68	69	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-7	11	14.9	15.6	-0.77	16.5	14.8	1.65
Kyle Korver	30	29	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	5	-13	16.3	14.5	1.81	14.1	17.0	-2.81
LeBron James	87	86	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.41	1	-4	5	15.0	16.3	-1.34	16.4	11.5	4.88
Kyrie Irving	76	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.45	0	-3	3	15.4	13.5	1.89	16.4	14.6	1.81
Iman Shumpert	32	31	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	7	-17	14.6	15.3	-0.78	14.9	16.7	-1.75
JR Smith	64	62	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.48	0	-3	3	14.7	16.0	-1.29	16.5	15.2	1.28
Tristan Thompson	82	80	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.55	-5	2	-7	15.1	15.2	-0.12	16.1	15.8	0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.72,0.7,0.57,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.59,0.71,0.61,0.47,0.46,0.68,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 100, OKC 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.86,0.86,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.76,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.69,0.58,0	91.2%
CLE 105, PHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.9,0.87,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.53,0.53,0.39,0.45,0.46,0.31,0.15,0	91.0%
POR 102, MIA 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.74,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.47,0.61,0.62,0.36,0.47,0.04,0	90.8%