NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	103		Excitement	7.9 [270]		MVP	CJ Watson (IND): +34.9%
Charlotte Hornets	102		Comeback	37.5 [24]		LVP	Gerald Henderson (CHA): -18.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Watson	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.35	0.13	0.23	0.01	11	85%	0.40	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
George Hill	0.22	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.13,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,0.22	-0.02	0.24	0.01	10	50%	0.31	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
David West	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.11	-0.01	0.14	0.02	13	47%	0.13	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.09
Solomon Hill	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	47%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Luis Scola	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	11	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.05
Shayne Whittington	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.05	0.04	12	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damjan Rudez	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	2	75%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	9	33%	-0.05	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.29	0.29	0.03	0.26	-0.00	6	62%	0.44	1	-0.15	4	75%	-0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.07	0.01	22	61%	0.21	1	-0.01	5	80%	-0.00
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.09	-0.01	11	50%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	1	75%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,-0.14	-0.14	0.08	-0.20	0.02	14	68%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19	-0.19	-0.04	-0.16	-0.01	9	48%	-0.14	2	-0.05	9	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.3	31.5	15.3	32.3	1.6	36.4	140.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +6.5%

IND +23.0%

IND +16.4%

IND +1.1%

IND +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHA	NBA	IND	CHA	NBA
this game	14.6	16.4	15.1	110.8	109.7	104.2
season	16.0	15.6		102.3	98.9
opponent	15.1	15.0		102.6	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	18.0	15.4	10.7	15.0	14.6
CHA	15.5	15.2	17.0	17.7	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Watson	49	49	1.23	-0.73	1.96	0.82	14	-13	27	14.0	15.3	-1.32	15.8	17.0	-1.25
Luis Scola	53	52	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.56	9	-8	17	13.5	16.1	-2.63	15.7	17.2	-1.48
CJ Miles	48	48	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.68	4	-3	7	13.7	15.5	-1.80	16.2	16.5	-0.32
David West	60	61	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.61	-2	3	-5	14.5	14.8	-0.33	16.2	16.6	-0.35
George Hill	50	51	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.54	-6	7	-13	16.0	13.0	3.07	16.4	16.4	-0.03
Shayne Whittington	17	18	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.02	8	-7	15	12.6	15.1	-2.46	17.8	16.0	1.75
Damjan Rudez	31	30	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	-2	5	14.5	14.7	-0.23	16.5	16.3	0.25
Rodney Stuckey	55	55	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	-0.26	-7	8	-15	14.7	14.4	0.26	16.9	15.5	1.42
Solomon Hill	47	46	-0.52	1.02	-1.54	-0.38	-5	6	-11	14.4	14.8	-0.40	16.4	16.4	0.01
Roy Hibbert	55	55	-0.58	1.08	-1.65	-0.20	-13	14	-27	16.6	11.7	4.93	16.7	15.9	0.71

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Jefferson	69	69	0.56	-1.06	1.62	0.18	13	-14	27	16.0	17.4	-1.42	15.6	11.8	3.73
Gary Neal	45	45	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.19	0	-1	1	16.7	16.1	0.63	15.2	14.0	1.20
Lance Stephenson	42	42	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.12	-10	9	-19	15.7	16.9	-1.19	12.7	16.2	-3.44
Jason Maxiell	23	23	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	9	-19	18.0	15.8	2.17	12.1	15.4	-3.28
Brian Roberts	76	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.48	4	-5	9	16.6	15.1	1.53	15.0	12.9	2.10
Cody Zeller	51	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.52	5	-6	11	16.6	16.1	0.45	15.4	13.7	1.73
Gerald Henderson	73	74	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.59	3	-4	7	16.6	15.4	1.17	14.8	13.8	0.96
Jeff Taylor	43	43	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.66	0	-1	1	15.7	16.9	-1.16	14.6	14.6	-0.08
Marvin Williams	43	43	-0.96	0.46	-1.42	-0.67	-10	9	-19	15.8	16.8	-0.98	13.7	15.4	-1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.63,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.97,0.92,0.93,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.91,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 97, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.85,0.66,0.76,0.54,0.77,0.92,0	90.5%
BKN 117, ORL 115	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.77,0.74,0	90.4%
UTA 96, CHA 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.65,0.72,0	90.3%