| Win Probability if: | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Game | Time | Score | Shot | Miss | Make | Swing | Result | Play |
| 2022-11-01 | GSW 109 MIA 116 | Q4 2:26 | GSW 107 MIA 107 | 2PT | 0.476 | 0.656 | 0.180 | MAKE | Lowry 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup |
| 2022-11-02 | SAC 107 MIA 110 | Q4 0:27 | SAC 105 MIA 105 | 2PT | 0.457 | 0.793 | 0.336 | MAKE | Lowry 11' Turnaround Fadeaway |
| 2022-11-10 | CHA 112 MIA 117 | OT1 2:09 | CHA 109 MIA 109 | 2PT | 0.473 | 0.670 | 0.198 | MAKE | Lowry 12' Turnaround Jump Shot |
| 2022-11-14 | PHX 112 MIA 113 | Q4 1:38 | PHX 107 MIA 106 | 3PT | 0.337 | 0.698 | 0.360 | MAKE | Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot |
| 2022-11-14 | PHX 112 MIA 113 | Q4 0:59 | PHX 110 MIA 109 | 2PT | 0.307 | 0.584 | 0.277 | MISS | MISS Lowry 4' Driving Layup |
| 2022-11-18 | MIA 106 WAS 107 | Q4 0:00 | MIA 104 WAS 104 | 2PT | 0.495 | 0.975 | 0.480 | MISS | MISS Lowry 7' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot |
| 2022-11-18 | MIA 106 WAS 107 | OT1 1:50 | MIA 106 WAS 107 | 3PT | 0.346 | 0.687 | 0.342 | MISS | MISS Lowry 28' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot |
| 2023-01-22 | NOP 96 MIA 100 | Q4 1:21 | NOP 94 MIA 95 | 2PT | 0.617 | 0.822 | 0.205 | MAKE | Lowry 18' Pullup Jump Shot |
