inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 123 Excitement9.5 [123] MVPTrae Young (ATL): +39.8%
Atlanta Hawks 114 Comeback4.7 [336] LVPZaccharie Risacher (ATL): -12.6%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyler Herro0.270,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.05,0.16,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.270.090.17-0.022162%0.394-0.11683%-0.02
Davion Mitchell0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.010.14-0.011353%0.262-0.09450%-0.02
Haywood Highsmith0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.020.00967%0.1000.0000%0.00
Bam Adebayo0.060,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.01-0.011457%0.111-0.06250%-0.01
Kel'el Ware0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.08-0.000.026100%0.112-0.0500%0.00
Duncan Robinson0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.00-0.00467%0.0500.001100%0.00
Kyle Anderson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.02-0.00550%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Alec Burks0.010,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.02-0.01736%0.0100.0000%0.00
Andrew Wiggins-0.060,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.020.011751%0.054-0.10540%-0.03

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trae Young0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.40.400.030.370.012256%0.584-0.19887%0.01
Onyeka Okongwu0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.270.270.210.090.031974%0.2700.0000%0.00
Dyson Daniels0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.090.09-0.030.11-0.011342%0.111-0.0100%0.00
Terance Mann0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.05-0.00383%0.111-0.0300%0.00
Mouhamed Gueye0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.01350%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Vit Krejci0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Georges Niang0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.15,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.11-0.12-0.011562%0.0000.002100%0.01
Caris LeVert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.080.001548%-0.022-0.0610%-0.01
Zaccharie Risacher0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.12-0.02-0.011113%-0.1300.001100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game26.22.832.116.423.43.335.42.412.2154.3
league avg25.92.328.214.928.62.332.22.315.6135.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +17.0%
ATL -2.3%
MIA +35.8%
ATL -10.5%
MIA +10.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAATLNBAMIAATLNBA
this game16.213.914.4115.0109.6113.1
season15.013.2111.5113.0
opponent14.514.6114.4112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA14.515.017.817.217.516.2
ATL12.713.215.615.511.913.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrew Wiggins87840.64-0.140.770.2015-62115.618.6-3.0413.913.9-0.02
Tyler Herro93900.61-0.110.710.2512-31515.322.1-6.8613.417.6-4.29
Davion Mitchell76740.53-0.030.560.2790916.814.72.0214.512.52.01
Bam Adebayo92880.480.020.460.2190915.619.9-4.3714.112.91.18
Haywood Highsmith78760.360.140.220.3027-516.914.32.5113.914.1-0.24
Kel'el Ware44440.210.29-0.080.0172516.216.10.1213.714.1-0.43
Alec Burks2524-0.030.53-0.560.00-110-1115.816.3-0.4912.614.3-1.70
Duncan Robinson1718-0.100.60-0.70-0.1009-919.115.63.5015.813.52.30
Kyle Anderson2322-0.190.69-0.890.04-817-2518.315.62.6514.213.90.37

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Georges Niang46520.05-0.550.59-0.136-152114.113.80.3217.015.41.64
Vit Krejci1716-0.02-0.480.46-0.020-9910.814.5-3.7218.215.82.36
Mouhamed Gueye3635-0.10-0.400.310.08-6-3-312.614.6-2.0214.017.2-3.24
Zaccharie Risacher3535-0.19-0.310.110.04-8-1-713.314.2-0.8914.217.2-2.98
Caris LeVert6974-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.372-111314.213.40.8516.814.82.01
Terance Mann4745-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.15-8-1-714.813.21.6018.314.63.72
Trae Young8991-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.20-90-914.013.80.1615.718.7-3.02
Onyeka Okongwu9498-0.500.00-0.51-0.21-101-1114.49.25.2416.215.40.80
Dyson Daniels8789-0.560.06-0.63-0.21-123-1514.013.80.2015.818.3-2.52


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.11,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.34,0.41,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.83,0.69,0.46,0.24,0.16,0.46,0.32,0.04,0.06,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 104, CHA 1020.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.2,0.11,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.46,0.64,0.65,0.83,0.62,0.45,0.57,0.15,0.46,0.19,0.29,0.1,0.17,089.3%
UTA 93, LAC 870.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.3,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.54,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.53,0.76,0.74,0.69,0.55,0.15,0.26,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.23,0.05,086.9%
IND 98, POR 930.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.13,0.09,0.18,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.19,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.63,0.71,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.28,0.16,0.15,086.8%