NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	104		Excitement	11.1 [39]		MVP	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +30.4%
Charlotte Hornets	102		Comeback	4.9 [272]		LVP	Darius Bazley (OKC): -11.5%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3	0.12	0.19	0.01	17	64%	0.37	1	-0.06	8	75%	-0.02
Steven Adams	0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22	0.03	0.18	-0.01	9	64%	0.27	2	-0.05	4	50%	0.01
Chris Paul	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.09	-0.08	0.17	0.00	20	36%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Luguentz Dort	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	70%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Dennis Schroder	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	-0.08	-0.02	17	63%	0.17	3	-0.17	4	25%	-0.07
Deonte Burton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	35%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Nerlens Noel	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	80%	0.09	4	-0.12	6	67%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Abdel Nader	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Darius Bazley	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	7	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.03	0.16	-0.01	11	48%	0.20	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	4	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	5	62%	0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Terry Rozier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.10	-0.13	0.01	18	65%	0.24	3	-0.28	4	75%	0.00
Cody Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	8	48%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	9	44%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Devonte' Graham	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.28,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06	-0.06	-0.16	0.07	-0.03	21	36%	0.23	5	-0.29	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	15	44%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.25
Dwayne Bacon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.2	1.7	30.0	14.8	31.3	2.3	31.3	3.4	15.1	155.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA -11.1%

OKC +37.2%

CHA -15.8%

OKC +27.0%

OKC +12.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	CHA	NBA	OKC	CHA	NBA
this game	14.9	15.4	14.2	100.0	96.2	109.6
season	14.3	15.1		108.8	105.4
opponent	14.7	14.5		112.4	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
OKC	13.6	14.9	16.0	14.2	17.0	14.9
CHA	17.5	14.5	15.3	15.2	13.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Schroder	73	72	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.52	13	-11	24	14.0	17.0	-2.97	14.9	16.3	-1.41
Steven Adams	67	70	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.69	1	1	0	15.1	14.6	0.49	14.8	16.5	-1.71
Chris Paul	67	68	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.56	-5	7	-12	16.4	12.2	4.27	14.9	16.3	-1.44
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	68	71	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.43	-1	3	-4	15.8	13.3	2.46	15.1	16.0	-0.94
Luguentz Dort	34	33	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.02	12	-10	22	12.9	15.9	-3.02	16.8	14.7	2.15
Terrance Ferguson	55	57	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.52	-9	11	-20	16.1	13.6	2.46	15.1	15.7	-0.57
Abdel Nader	36	37	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	-1	4	12.7	16.1	-3.44	16.0	15.0	0.97
Deonte Burton	44	44	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.07	3	-1	4	13.5	15.9	-2.45	15.6	15.2	0.42
Darius Bazley	39	42	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.03	-8	10	-18	16.3	14.1	2.19	15.9	15.0	0.85
Nerlens Noel	37	36	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.31	1	1	0	14.6	15.1	-0.49	16.5	14.8	1.71

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cody Martin	42	44	0.35	-0.85	1.19	0.11	8	-10	18	15.8	15.1	0.73	14.0	15.6	-1.66
Malik Monk	46	46	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.40	-13	11	-24	17.3	13.9	3.46	12.3	16.9	-4.60
Bismack Biyombo	54	52	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.29	9	-11	20	14.9	15.8	-0.90	16.1	13.7	2.44
P.J. Washington	75	73	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.64	20	-22	42	14.0	18.7	-4.72	16.3	11.6	4.66
Dwayne Bacon	12	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	0	-2	15.7	15.3	0.34	15.2	14.9	0.29
Devonte' Graham	94	92	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.44	5	-7	12	14.9	18.9	-4.00	15.1	13.2	1.88
Cody Zeller	48	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	5	-12	15.7	15.1	0.58	13.6	16.1	-2.42
Marvin Williams	29	29	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	0.11	-25	23	-48	17.9	14.4	3.48	11.7	16.2	-4.47
Miles Bridges	59	54	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.69	-2	0	-2	15.5	15.2	0.32	16.1	13.6	2.45
Terry Rozier	71	69	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.66	-3	1	-4	14.8	16.5	-1.67	15.9	13.1	2.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.2,0.11,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.46,0.64,0.65,0.83,0.62,0.45,0.57,0.15,0.46,0.19,0.29,0.1,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 126, MIL 119	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.37,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.67,0.28,0.54,0.31,0.21,0.23,0.08,0	89.5%
MIL 113, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.19,0.3,0.35,0.41,0.52,0.37,0.44,0.28,0.15,0.26,0.43,0.63,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.29,0.43,0.27,0	87.5%
DET 129, ATL 124	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.45,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.32,0.28,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.28,0.54,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.02,0	87.5%