NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	87		Excitement	6.0 [604]		MVP	Anthony Peeler (MIN): +23.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Comeback	1.8 [629]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): -20.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	12	62%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.01	0.06	14	69%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Scottie Pippen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	14	53%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Brian Grant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	61%	0.05	1	-0.07	8	87%	0.04
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.05,0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.08	0.00	14	57%	0.01	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Detlef Schrempf	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.06	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.14	-0.08	-0.01	8	11%	-0.17	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.07	0.16	0.00	7	72%	0.23	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13	0.13	0.15	0.02	0.04	16	74%	0.15	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.07	-0.00	22	52%	0.18	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	5	67%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.03	-0.03	6	64%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	30.8	20.0	24.5	2.0	39.1	143.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +79.2%

POR -17.1%

POR -14.8%

MIN +2.4%

MIN +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIN	NBA	POR	MIN	NBA
this game	19.1	17.4	15.2	110.1	119.0	101.7
season	15.9	15.1		105.9	103.5
opponent	15.7	15.7		101.1	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	19.7	21.0	18.2	17.9	19.1
MIN	15.5	21.4	16.9	16.4	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arvydas Sabonis	54	56	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.21	7	-14	21	19.9	17.3	2.65	15.9	21.0	-5.06
Damon Stoudamire	47	48	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-8	9	18.5	19.9	-1.37	15.9	19.6	-3.64
Detlef Schrempf	11	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-4	1	22.5	18.5	4.02	23.4	16.5	6.91
Scottie Pippen	66	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-3	-1	18.4	22.7	-4.31	16.6	21.5	-4.90
Greg Anthony	32	31	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.19	-8	1	-9	19.9	18.5	1.37	19.6	15.9	3.64
Brian Grant	42	41	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.14	-11	4	-15	19.9	18.2	1.69	18.9	15.7	3.24
Steven Smith	71	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.24	-8	1	-9	18.4	24.9	-6.44	17.6	15.3	2.28
Rasheed Wallace	72	71	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.35	-9	2	-11	18.8	22.4	-3.66	17.3	17.7	-0.43

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	48	47	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.34	9	-2	11	18.4	15.7	2.67	18.1	20.5	-2.32
Anthony Peeler	44	44	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.33	8	-1	9	17.8	16.8	1.02	19.0	19.1	-0.10
Kevin Garnett	73	73	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.27	10	-3	13	17.2	19.7	-2.49	18.9	21.7	-2.79
Terrell Brandon	79	79	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	0	7	17.4	0.0	17.37	19.1	0.0	19.09
Rasho Nesterovic	42	42	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	3	1	17.3	17.4	-0.07	21.0	16.9	4.08
Sam Mitchell	22	24	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	4	-1	21.5	15.8	5.67	20.4	18.5	1.91
Malik Sealy	39	39	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.06	0	7	-7	15.5	19.2	-3.71	17.7	20.4	-2.76
Dean Garrett	10	10	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.04	-2	9	-11	13.9	17.9	-3.97	18.8	19.1	-0.33
Wally Szczerbiak	38	37	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.03	-4	11	-15	16.4	18.3	-1.87	19.3	18.9	0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.5,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.53,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.89,0.84,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 96, DET 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1	93.2%
SAC 112, TOR 118	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.67,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.92,1	92.9%
GSW 96, SAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.7%