NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	88		Excitement	6.1 [553]		MVP	Rik Smits (IND): +12.2%
Indiana Pacers	99		Comeback	1.2 [729]		LVP	Patrick Ewing (NYK): -24.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.13	-0.02	0.10	25	63%	0.08	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Chris Mills	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Chris Dudley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	16	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	13	55%	0.00	4	-0.14	5	80%	0.02
Patrick Ewing	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.20	-0.03	0.01	13	29%	-0.19	3	-0.06	8	25%	-0.10

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rik Smits	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.02	0.03	15	69%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.01	0.03	14	67%	0.09	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	5	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	9	44%	-0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	12	65%	0.06	4	-0.12	10	100%	0.03
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	5	55%	-0.02	2	-0.06	12	67%	-0.05
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.5	24.3	17.5	22.3	2.5	45.5	140.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +16.7%

IND +22.2%

IND +10.8%

IND +1.2%

NYK -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	15.3	16.7	15.6	98.9	108.8	102.5
season	15.7	16.0		100.4	105.3
opponent	16.1	16.3		99.2	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.9	15.0	16.1	15.3	15.3
IND	17.1	16.9	19.9	13.5	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Dudley	9	11	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-13	15	12.2	15.7	-3.44	21.2	16.0	5.13
Charles Oakley	53	54	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-8	5	16.1	14.1	1.97	18.1	14.6	3.41
Chris Mills	21	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-7	3	15.8	15.2	0.59	17.9	16.3	1.60
Chris Childs	60	61	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.18	0	-11	11	14.3	17.3	-3.01	16.6	16.9	-0.29
John Starks	56	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-10	9	14.5	16.6	-2.10	17.0	16.2	0.76
Charlie Ward	37	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-3	-5	15.6	15.1	0.48	13.9	18.7	-4.77
Larry Johnson	72	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	1	-13	15.5	14.7	0.75	15.7	20.6	-4.91
Allan Houston	76	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	-2	-7	15.2	15.8	-0.53	16.3	18.6	-2.25
Patrick Ewing	61	64	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.06	-20	9	-29	16.4	13.0	3.32	17.3	15.1	2.22

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rik Smits	59	56	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.20	21	-10	31	17.1	15.9	1.13	16.4	13.4	3.05
Chris Mullin	60	58	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.11	18	-7	25	15.6	18.8	-3.19	15.1	15.6	-0.51
Mark Jackson	74	71	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.22	14	-3	17	16.2	18.8	-2.65	15.1	16.1	-0.93
Reggie Miller	81	79	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	0	11	16.6	17.5	-0.93	15.5	13.6	1.93
Dale Davis	56	52	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	5	1	18.1	14.3	3.83	15.7	14.8	0.86
Antonio Davis	57	57	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.13	0	11	-11	16.3	17.3	-1.00	14.4	16.9	-2.53
Jalen Rose	18	19	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.03	-5	16	-21	18.3	16.3	2.00	16.5	15.0	1.54
Travis Best	23	24	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.04	-3	14	-17	14.5	17.4	-2.93	14.4	15.7	-1.29
Derrick McKey	27	29	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.01	-7	18	-25	18.4	15.9	2.47	14.5	15.7	-1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.85,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.67,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.83,0.9,0.95,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 92, ATL 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.1%
NYK 95, DAL 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.72,0.82,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	92.9%
MIN 100, UTA 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.78,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.92,1	92.8%