NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	95		Excitement	6.9 [467]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +19.1%
Dallas Mavericks	103		Comeback	1.6 [779]		LVP	Ron Baker (NYK): -12.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.16	0.01	0.03	13	79%	0.19	1	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Willy Hernangomez	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.06	-0.01	9	44%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	11	48%	0.07	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.04
Sasha Vujacic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	37%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	0.02	24	60%	0.16	7	-0.22	2	50%	-0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	15	43%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Baker	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	2	0%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.05	-0.02	12	70%	0.19	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.01	15	62%	0.14	2	-0.07	7	100%	0.03
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	6	58%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	8	48%	0.05	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.01
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	19	50%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pierre Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	8	24%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	8	35%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	29.8	14.8	22.5	2.0	35.0	129.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +34.1%

DAL +7.7%

NYK -30.5%

DAL +38.2%

DAL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DAL	NBA	NYK	DAL	NBA
this game	14.7	15.8	14.8	101.1	108.4	107.7
season	15.0	16.2		106.6	104.4
opponent	14.7	14.7		107.2	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.8	16.5	13.6	13.2	14.7
DAL	15.5	15.6	17.7	14.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Jennings	42	42	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.00	6	-14	20	15.1	14.3	0.82	14.8	16.6	-1.78
Kyle O'Quinn	11	11	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.08	6	-14	20	16.7	14.4	2.31	15.7	15.8	-0.06
Sasha Vujacic	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-8	8	0.0	14.7	-14.69	0.0	15.9	-15.95
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	24	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-9	10	15.1	14.5	0.58	15.0	16.0	-0.97
Ron Baker	11	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-6	4	12.6	15.0	-2.33	11.5	16.3	-4.79
Justin Holiday	37	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-8	8	14.2	15.0	-0.78	15.3	16.1	-0.80
Joakim Noah	35	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	-1	-6	14.7	14.7	-0.05	17.2	15.0	2.20
Willy Hernangomez	49	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-8	8	15.0	14.4	0.60	14.8	16.8	-1.99
Courtney Lee	74	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-3	-2	14.4	15.6	-1.22	16.5	13.4	3.14
Kristaps Porzingis	45	47	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	3	-14	14.1	15.3	-1.20	16.5	15.1	1.41
Carmelo Anthony	76	77	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.20	-15	7	-22	14.7	14.8	-0.18	15.7	16.0	-0.27
Derrick Rose	66	67	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.26	-13	5	-18	15.1	13.8	1.29	16.6	13.8	2.83

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Seth Curry	69	67	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	-5	18	15.8	15.6	0.23	14.4	15.4	-1.00
Harrison Barnes	73	71	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.22	12	-4	16	16.0	14.9	1.13	14.7	14.7	-0.01
Andrew Bogut	40	39	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.17	10	-2	12	15.5	16.0	-0.44	16.3	13.6	2.72
Dorian Finney-Smith	60	61	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.00	13	-5	18	16.3	14.9	1.46	14.5	15.1	-0.66
Pierre Jackson	47	49	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.28	1	7	-6	16.3	15.2	1.11	14.1	15.3	-1.15
Deron Williams	29	27	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	-1	10	16.8	15.3	1.41	16.2	14.1	2.10
Justin Anderson	42	39	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.32	-6	14	-20	14.9	16.5	-1.61	14.2	15.1	-0.88
Dirk Nowitzki	50	51	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.05	-1	9	-10	15.9	15.7	0.17	14.2	15.3	-1.04
Dwight Powell	20	21	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	12	-16	15.4	15.9	-0.48	14.5	14.7	-0.22
Devin Harris	45	45	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.07	-7	15	-22	14.5	17.0	-2.49	14.8	14.6	0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.72,0.82,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 109, OKC 118	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.65,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.8,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.74,0.81,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.96,1,1,1	93.6%
BOS 80, NOH 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.93,1,1,1,1	93.4%
NYK 88, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.85,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.67,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.83,0.9,0.95,1,1,1	92.9%