inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 80 Excitement6.7 [456] MVPGeorge Lynch (NOH): +7.6%
New Orleans Hornets 89 Comeback1.5 [875] LVPDarrell Armstrong (NOH): -27.1%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Stewart0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jiri Welsch-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.02-0.010.05757%0.011-0.0600%0.00
Brandon Hunter-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.00217%-0.0600.00250%-0.01
Marcus Banks-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.00440%-0.012-0.052100%0.01
Mark Blount-0.070,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.000.011042%-0.051-0.02450%-0.03
Chucky Atkins-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.05-0.011139%-0.052-0.051100%0.01
Chris Mihm-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.020.00529%-0.081-0.02450%-0.02
Ricky Davis-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.110.01-0.080.051952%-0.091-0.03667%-0.03
Walter McCarty-0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.11-0.04-0.011023%-0.101-0.042100%0.01
Paul Pierce-0.270,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27-0.16-0.090.011641%-0.105-0.17771%-0.02

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
George Lynch0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.100.020.041075%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Stacey Augmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.05-0.00360%0.0500.004100%0.05
Maurice Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.01267%0.0300.0020%-0.02
David Wesley0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.03-0.021651%0.093-0.08560%-0.01
Steven Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.010.00333%0.0000.0000%0.00
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.010.00760%0.083-0.101100%0.01
Robert Traylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.000.00050%-0.021-0.02450%-0.02
Shammond Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.0030%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
David West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.0310%0.013-0.0900%0.00
Jamaal Magloire0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.04-0.090.032148%-0.092-0.06683%0.02
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27-0.27-0.24-0.06-0.031228%-0.155-0.12887%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.62.532.615.726.31.048.0150.7
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOH +44.9%
NOH +7.3%
NOH +6.8%
BOS -11.2%
NOH +2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSNOHNBABOSNOHNBA
this game14.615.315.783.391.8100.5
season14.416.099.599.3
opponent15.715.999.4102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS14.213.515.615.314.6
NOH13.014.219.615.315.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcus Banks30280.09-0.590.67-0.096-152113.315.1-1.8013.516.0-2.54
Michael Stewart330.07-0.570.64-0.085-141913.014.6-1.6210.315.4-5.09
Brandon Hunter1010-0.07-0.430.37-0.070-9914.714.60.1420.214.75.50
Chris Mihm5150-0.19-0.310.12-0.10-3-6314.215.0-0.7213.916.7-2.86
Ricky Davis7677-0.25-0.250.00-0.281-101114.216.0-1.8015.315.3-0.04
Walter McCarty7071-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.15-4-5114.913.81.1015.016.1-1.16
Jiri Welsch4040-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.04-8-1-714.614.60.0514.715.6-0.88
Mark Blount5152-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.03-167-2315.114.01.0816.214.22.03
Paul Pierce8385-0.520.02-0.54-0.20-112-1314.614.50.1315.612.82.78
Chucky Atkins6669-0.590.09-0.67-0.15-156-2115.113.31.8016.013.52.54

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David Wesley73710.57-0.070.640.1614-51915.614.11.5214.714.30.40
Jamaal Magloire84830.55-0.050.590.1115-62115.414.21.2014.912.82.09
Darrell Armstrong73710.53-0.030.560.0616-72315.514.50.9714.813.81.05
George Lynch56550.450.050.400.0713-41715.614.80.8014.315.0-0.66
P.J. Brown71720.420.080.330.1210-11115.215.4-0.2114.813.90.93
Stacey Augmon49480.090.41-0.310.21-413-1715.015.5-0.4614.414.8-0.44
David West20190.040.46-0.420.16-413-1715.115.3-0.1514.314.6-0.39
Maurice Carter1213-0.030.53-0.560.03-211-1310.715.9-5.1613.514.7-1.20
Shammond Williams2425-0.030.53-0.560.17-716-2314.515.5-0.9713.814.8-1.05
Steven Smith1212-0.040.54-0.580.05-312-1517.515.02.5515.114.50.58
Robert Traylor1111-0.050.55-0.590.04-312-1513.915.4-1.5313.814.7-0.85


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.93,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BKN 89, ORL 1020.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.95,0.9,0.99,1,1,194.3%
ATL 109, DAL 1180.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.73,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.9,0.98,0.94,0.93,0.98,1,1,193.7%
MEM 86, CHA 1010.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1,193.5%