NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Excitement	7.6 [324]		MVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): +17.9%
Utah Jazz	108		Comeback	1.1 [1107]		LVP	Michael Beasley (MIN): -23.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Johnson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.03	0.00	14	68%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.12	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	11	67%	0.22	3	-0.10	11	91%	0.05
Anthony Tolliver	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	4	90%	0.13	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Luke Ridnour	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0	-0.06	0.03	-0.03	8	44%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Pekovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	3	87%	0.06	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Corey Brewer	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	7	21%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	12	41%	-0.05	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.02
Jonny Flynn	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	6	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23	-0.07	-0.15	0.01	14	50%	-0.07	5	-0.16	4	100%	0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.17	0.02	0.01	13	79%	0.26	2	-0.08	8	75%	-0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.05	-0.01	16	58%	0.16	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.05	0.02	25	58%	0.16	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	14	27%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	8	22%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.5	27.9	14.8	24.4	2.5	35.4	129.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -4.6%

MIN -7.5%

UTA +20.0%

UTA +41.9%

UTA +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	UTA	NBA	MIN	UTA	NBA
this game	13.4	15.1	15.5	99.0	106.9	105.7
season	14.3	15.9		102.7	106.4
opponent	15.3	15.1		108.2	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.7	11.7	13.3	14.3	13.4
UTA	13.0	14.6	16.0	17.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Tolliver	35	36	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.08	-1	-7	6	13.1	13.6	-0.56	15.7	14.8	0.94
Nikola Pekovic	13	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-8	8	12.5	13.6	-1.11	14.3	15.2	-0.97
Jonny Flynn	37	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.11	-1	-7	6	14.0	13.1	0.95	14.8	15.3	-0.48
Michael Beasley	61	62	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.24	3	-11	14	12.8	14.3	-1.49	14.7	15.7	-1.07
Martell Webster	43	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-6	4	13.8	13.1	0.68	15.6	14.7	0.91
Corey Brewer	53	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-3	-2	12.3	14.7	-2.44	14.6	15.6	-1.02
Luke Ridnour	64	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-1	-6	13.1	14.0	-0.95	15.3	14.8	0.48
Wesley Johnson	53	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-1	-6	14.7	12.0	2.68	15.9	14.2	1.64
Kevin Love	77	77	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.25	-10	2	-12	14.0	11.5	2.53	15.1	15.0	0.12
Darko Milicic	69	66	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.27	-10	2	-12	13.3	13.7	-0.34	14.7	15.8	-1.04

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Watson	83	82	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.22	16	-8	24	15.0	15.6	-0.64	13.0	15.1	-2.00
Paul Millsap	85	85	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.21	16	-8	24	14.8	16.9	-2.12	13.1	15.3	-2.24
Al Jefferson	59	60	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.31	9	-1	10	14.8	15.5	-0.70	13.8	12.8	1.05
Andrei Kirilenko	76	74	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.28	10	-2	12	15.6	13.4	2.19	13.0	14.5	-1.49
Raja Bell	65	65	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	-5	18	14.3	16.6	-2.28	13.1	14.0	-0.85
CJ Miles	52	52	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	8	-8	15.4	14.8	0.61	13.6	13.3	0.27
Mehmet Okur	20	21	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	9	-10	14.2	15.3	-1.05	11.4	13.9	-2.52
Francisco Elson	22	20	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	8	-8	16.6	14.7	1.98	14.2	13.2	1.03
Jeremy Evans	6	7	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.01	-5	13	-18	16.5	15.0	1.50	18.6	13.0	5.53
Ronnie Price	18	19	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.05	-8	16	-24	15.6	15.0	0.64	15.1	13.0	2.00
Gordon Hayward	19	20	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.07	-10	18	-28	15.9	14.9	1.06	15.2	13.0	2.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.78,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 81, CHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.8,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.86,0.89,0.96,1,1,1	93.9%
VAN 101, UTA 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.67,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.5%
CHI 86, ATL 93	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.71,0.65,0.76,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.58,0.73,0.64,0.79,0.78,0.89,0.84,0.91,0.91,1	93.3%