NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	101		Excitement	6.5 [465]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +22.3%
Utah Jazz	110		Comeback	1.1 [1144]		LVP	Blue Edwards (VAN): -21.2%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Hurley	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.05	-0.04	12	57%	0.12	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.03
Pete Chilcutt	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	7	75%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bryant Reeves	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	18	52%	0.07	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.04
Tony Massenburg	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	12	53%	0.02	1	-0.03	12	75%	0.01
Michael Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mack	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	11	27%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	6	29%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Blue Edwards	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	0.00	7	37%	-0.11	2	-0.11	5	100%	0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.08	0.13	-0.02	16	68%	0.25	2	-0.03	12	83%	0.04
John Stockton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	89%	0.14	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.04
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	14	60%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	69%	0.07	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.03	0.00	7	64%	0.00	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.03	4	64%	-0.01	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	8	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.03	-0.04	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.06	6	50%	0.02
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	7	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	120.2	1.8	28.8	15.3	24.6	2.3	35.6	228.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +35.8%

UTA +7.8%

UTA +10.7%

VAN -7.7%

UTA +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	UTA	NBA	VAN	UTA	NBA
this game	16.2	14.8	15.6	108.6	118.3	102.5
season	15.1	15.9		101.3	108.1
opponent	15.9	15.3		102.1	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	17.1	15.4	16.8	15.5	16.2
UTA	14.2	15.9	14.5	14.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	28	28	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.13	8	-17	25	13.7	17.2	-3.47	18.6	13.2	5.40
Tony Massenburg	36	35	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.15	7	-16	23	14.0	17.5	-3.50	17.5	13.2	4.31
Blue Edwards	39	39	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.18	4	-13	17	15.1	16.9	-1.84	16.4	13.6	2.78
Bobby Hurley	53	53	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.10	1	-10	11	15.8	16.7	-0.97	16.1	13.0	3.11
Michael Smith	38	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.03	-12	3	-15	17.7	15.1	2.51	13.7	15.6	-1.92
Pete Chilcutt	33	34	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.15	-7	-2	-5	16.2	16.1	0.11	13.1	15.8	-2.74
Bryant Reeves	79	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-3	-3	16.4	14.9	1.55	14.9	14.2	0.68
Lee Mayberry	40	40	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.14	-10	1	-11	16.7	15.8	0.97	13.0	16.1	-3.11
Sam Mack	54	54	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.05	-13	4	-17	16.9	15.1	1.84	13.6	16.4	-2.78
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	65	65	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.11	-17	8	-25	17.2	13.7	3.47	13.2	18.6	-5.40

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adam Keefe	70	71	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.26	18	-9	27	13.3	19.2	-5.87	17.1	13.2	3.92
Karl Malone	74	74	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.28	16	-7	23	14.4	16.2	-1.78	16.2	16.0	0.22
John Stockton	66	65	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	-5	19	13.1	19.0	-5.92	16.6	15.2	1.32
Shandon Anderson	55	55	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	0	9	14.1	15.8	-1.72	16.6	15.5	1.14
Bryon Russell	48	47	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.18	2	7	-5	16.4	13.1	3.26	14.8	17.6	-2.76
Chris Morris	32	32	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	10	-11	15.1	14.6	0.45	15.5	16.5	-1.07
Greg Foster	61	61	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.09	8	1	7	14.6	15.2	-0.55	16.7	15.2	1.45
Howard Eisley	27	28	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	14	-19	19.0	13.1	5.92	15.2	16.6	-1.32
Antoine Carr	32	32	-0.42	0.92	-1.35	0.05	-16	25	-41	17.7	13.3	4.46	15.0	16.8	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.67,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 100, ORL 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.84,0.79,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.72,0.77,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.84,1	94.4%
MIN 100, UTA 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.78,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.92,1	93.5%
DEN 111, SAS 120	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.68,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.86,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.93,1,1	93.4%