NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	100		Excitement	7.3 [351]		MVP	Derek Strong (ORL): +14.8%
Orlando Magic	106		Comeback	1.0 [1057]		LVP	Alvin Williams (TOR): -30.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Haywoode Workman	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.1	0.04	0.09	0.02	8	62%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	10	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	11	54%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	14	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	5	110%	0.10	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	10	32%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dee Brown	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	8	31%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.14,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	12	41%	-0.06	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.05
Aleksandar Radojevic	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	5	43%	-0.06	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.03
Alvin Williams	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.27,-0.3	-0.19	-0.13	-0.01	16	25%	-0.24	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.14	0.01	10	57%	0.17	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	-0.03	0.02	11	79%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Ron Mercer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	14	71%	0.17	5	-0.12	10	90%	0.06
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	7	86%	0.12	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	8	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	2	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	10	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	4	30%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	9	11%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22	-0.22	-0.18	-0.06	-0.01	4	0%	-0.13	4	-0.09	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.5	24.5	17.3	26.8	2.5	38.4	134.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +37.3%

ORL +19.1%

TOR -8.3%

ORL +2.0%

TOR -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	ORL	NBA	TOR	ORL	NBA
this game	14.4	12.6	15.2	93.5	100.0	101.7
season	15.5	13.6		101.8	100.4
opponent	15.4	14.9		99.3	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.0	16.4	13.5	13.2	14.4
ORL	13.2	13.0	11.3	13.0	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	42	41	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-9	12	14.9	14.1	0.78	13.9	11.8	2.16
Antonio Davis	45	46	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.05	2	-8	10	14.8	14.2	0.56	13.3	12.1	1.20
Dee Brown	42	40	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.30	7	-13	20	15.4	13.8	1.57	13.9	11.8	2.16
Vince Carter	47	47	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.04	-2	-4	2	14.8	14.2	0.60	12.3	12.8	-0.55
Tracy McGrady	54	55	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-1	-4	15.5	13.3	2.16	12.9	12.3	0.56
Michael Stewart	66	65	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.23	2	-8	10	14.5	14.4	0.10	12.9	12.1	0.83
Aleksandar Radojevic	44	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-2	-2	13.4	15.1	-1.70	12.8	12.4	0.38
Alvin Williams	75	75	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.27	-9	3	-12	13.9	15.7	-1.79	12.1	13.9	-1.79
Haywoode Workman	56	55	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.34	-8	2	-10	14.0	14.9	-0.98	11.9	13.4	-1.52
John Thomas	64	61	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.23	-16	10	-26	13.8	15.4	-1.58	11.1	14.6	-3.51

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ron Mercer	77	77	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.28	10	-4	14	11.9	14.4	-2.54	13.8	15.9	-2.09
Darrell Armstrong	57	56	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.02	15	-9	24	12.0	13.3	-1.31	14.4	14.5	-0.04
Bo Outlaw	60	59	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	-6	18	12.0	13.4	-1.39	14.5	14.3	0.25
Pat Garrity	57	58	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	-4	14	12.0	13.3	-1.27	14.4	14.5	-0.11
John Amaechi	58	59	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	-2	10	12.1	13.2	-1.10	14.4	14.5	-0.16
Johnny Taylor	13	14	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	4	-2	10.2	12.9	-2.79	11.0	14.9	-3.95
Michael Doleac	48	48	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	8	-10	13.2	12.1	1.10	14.5	14.4	0.16
Derek Strong	49	49	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.27	-4	10	-14	13.3	12.0	1.27	14.5	14.4	0.11
Chucky Atkins	49	51	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.35	-9	15	-24	13.3	12.0	1.31	14.5	14.4	0.04
Anthony Johnson	29	30	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	10	-14	14.4	11.9	2.54	15.9	13.8	2.09
Corey Maggette	33	34	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.09	-8	14	-22	14.7	11.7	3.00	15.6	13.9	1.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.84,0.79,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.72,0.77,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 101, UTA 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.67,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.97,0.99,1,1	94.4%
CHI 86, ATL 93	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.71,0.65,0.76,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.58,0.73,0.64,0.79,0.78,0.89,0.84,0.91,0.91,1	93.4%
MIN 100, UTA 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.78,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.92,1	93.1%