NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	92		Excitement	6.7 [467]		MVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (ATL): +19.3%
Atlanta Hawks	101		Comeback	1.4 [659]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): -16.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ruben Patterson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	71%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Dudley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.05	-0.00	7	69%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Steve Kerr	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	22	54%	0.13	5	-0.17	4	50%	-0.02
Scottie Pippen	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Kemp	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	5	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dale Davis	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	10	58%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Damon Stoudamire	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16	-0.13	-0.06	-0.03	9	11%	-0.10	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.09	-0.03	14	47%	-0.02	5	-0.14	2	50%	-0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.09	0.01	19	73%	0.30	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.04
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.04	-0.03	19	57%	0.19	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Dion Glover	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	9	61%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cal Bowdler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	9	55%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.07	0.03	6	57%	-0.01	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	2	25%	-0.08	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	0.8	28.4	15.4	24.4	2.3	30.3	127.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +39.7%

ATL +14.6%

POR -14.9%

ATL +2.5%

ATL +8.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	ATL	NBA	POR	ATL	NBA
this game	14.9	14.3	15.6	93.9	102.0	102.3
season	16.0	15.5		105.0	99.7
opponent	15.2	15.6		103.9	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.9	15.3	14.1	14.3	14.9
ATL	12.9	14.1	13.6	17.0	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Brunson	9	8	0.19	-0.69	0.87	-0.05	8	-17	25	16.2	14.8	1.46	18.9	13.9	4.93
Chris Dudley	11	11	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-11	13	17.4	14.6	2.78	14.2	14.4	-0.18
Steve Kerr	29	29	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.23	8	-17	25	11.9	16.1	-4.21	15.4	13.9	1.56
Derek Anderson	59	59	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.28	6	-15	21	14.4	15.6	-1.19	15.4	12.8	2.55
Ruben Patterson	36	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.15	0	-9	9	13.3	15.8	-2.56	15.1	13.9	1.17
Shawn Kemp	26	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.25	2	-11	13	14.2	15.2	-1.01	16.2	13.7	2.53
Scottie Pippen	54	55	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.03	-9	0	-9	16.1	13.4	2.78	13.8	15.1	-1.30
Dale Davis	59	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.01	-11	2	-13	14.9	14.9	-0.08	13.4	15.7	-2.24
Bonzi Wells	77	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	3	-15	14.5	16.5	-2.07	14.0	15.7	-1.68
Rasheed Wallace	70	69	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.20	-14	5	-19	15.6	13.2	2.36	14.0	15.1	-1.09
Damon Stoudamire	60	62	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	0.04	-25	16	-41	16.1	12.9	3.19	13.2	16.2	-2.95

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	79	80	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.22	19	-10	29	14.0	15.5	-1.51	15.0	14.2	0.83
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	90	88	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.32	8	1	7	14.3	14.7	-0.36	14.8	16.1	-1.34
Cal Bowdler	29	28	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.22	8	1	7	14.7	14.2	0.49	14.2	15.2	-0.96
Hanno Mottola	54	55	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.08	16	-7	23	13.7	15.2	-1.49	15.2	14.5	0.65
Dion Glover	48	48	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.00	12	-3	15	13.6	15.1	-1.48	15.5	14.3	1.26
DerMarr Johnson	70	68	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	0	9	13.3	16.8	-3.51	15.1	14.4	0.72
Emanual Davis	38	38	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.22	0	9	-9	15.6	13.6	2.05	14.0	15.4	-1.42
Toni Kukoc	42	42	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.20	-3	12	-15	15.8	13.3	2.51	14.6	15.1	-0.53
Jacque Vaughn	20	18	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.01	-10	19	-29	15.5	14.0	1.51	14.2	15.0	-0.83
Nazr Mohammed	25	25	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	0.02	-14	23	-37	15.5	13.9	1.57	15.5	14.7	0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 128, GSW 132	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.66,0.61,0.65,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,1	94.4%
ORL 96, MIL 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,1	93.4%
TOR 79, BOS 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.4%