NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	79		Excitement	6.8 [477]		MVP	Isaiah Thomas (BOS): +12.0%
Boston Celtics	91		Comeback	1.4 [778]		LVP	Delon Wright (TOR): -15.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Thompson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	55%	0.05	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.03
DeMar DeRozan	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.02	16	51%	0.08	2	-0.08	9	89%	0.02
Luis Scola	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	5	90%	0.07	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	10	48%	0.03	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
James Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Norman Powell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Cory Joseph	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	16	26%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Terrence Ross	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.01	18	33%	-0.14	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Delon Wright	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	0.00	10	30%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.07,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.06	0.01	17	57%	0.15	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.01	13	61%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	6	69%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.02	0.05	14	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	4	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.01	-0.00	8	12%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	12	35%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	0.4	29.5	15.4	30.5	2.0	27.2	129.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +52.1%

BOS +0.1%

TOR -18.2%

BOS +16.4%

TOR -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BOS	NBA	TOR	BOS	NBA
this game	18.2	13.3	14.9	86.8	98.9	105.1
season	16.1	13.9		107.2	104.5
opponent	15.0	14.8		101.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	18.4	17.9	18.3	18.3	18.2
BOS	13.7	12.7	11.7	15.2	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delon Wright	38	39	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-16	20	17.3	18.9	-1.55	14.2	12.6	1.51
Jonas Valanciunas	42	41	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-12	12	18.3	18.1	0.21	12.3	14.1	-1.74
Norman Powell	26	25	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-10	8	17.3	18.6	-1.22	12.9	13.4	-0.55
James Johnson	13	13	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-12	12	18.8	18.1	0.64	15.9	12.8	3.07
Luis Scola	48	47	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	-4	-4	18.3	18.2	0.11	12.1	14.5	-2.45
Jason Thompson	43	45	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-8	4	18.2	18.3	-0.11	14.5	12.1	2.45
DeMar DeRozan	69	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	-2	-8	18.0	19.0	-1.03	13.0	14.4	-1.42
Terrence Ross	65	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.14	-10	-2	-8	18.6	17.3	1.22	13.4	12.9	0.55
Bismack Biyombo	49	51	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.12	-12	0	-12	18.1	18.3	-0.21	14.1	12.3	1.74
Cory Joseph	62	61	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.02	-18	6	-24	18.9	16.7	2.25	12.5	14.7	-2.20

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Thomas	66	68	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.14	21	-9	30	12.9	14.2	-1.32	19.0	15.9	3.15
Amir Johnson	63	63	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.16	17	-5	22	13.0	13.9	-0.95	18.9	16.7	2.12
Jared Sullinger	52	52	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	1	10	13.3	13.3	-0.03	18.5	17.9	0.56
Avery Bradley	71	71	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	2	8	13.2	13.4	-0.19	18.0	19.0	-1.00
Evan Turner	66	65	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.01	11	1	10	12.6	15.1	-2.50	18.1	18.5	-0.39
Marcus Smart	46	45	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	10	-8	14.4	12.2	2.26	18.5	18.0	0.53
Kelly Olynyk	35	33	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	12	-12	13.1	13.4	-0.27	18.5	18.1	0.46
Tyler Zeller	13	13	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	13	-14	13.6	13.2	0.39	16.7	18.5	-1.78
Jonas Jerebko	21	21	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	15	-18	14.3	13.0	1.30	16.1	18.8	-2.70
Terry Rozier	27	24	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.03	-8	20	-28	14.1	12.9	1.17	16.4	18.9	-2.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 104, GSW 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.88,0.85,0.74,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.83,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	93.9%
HOU 92, DET 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.43,0.58,0.68,0.79,0.84,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.4%
POR 92, ATL 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.4%