NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	104		Excitement	6.9 [460]		MVP	David Lee (GSW): +20.1%
Golden State Warriors	114		Comeback	1.6 [1081]		LVP	Jordan Crawford (WAS): -33.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Evans	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	-0.01	-0.02	15	64%	0.17	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Cartier Martin	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	3	62%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Nick Young	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	5	70%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.17	-0.05	0.11	12	80%	0.12	3	-0.11	11	91%	0.03
Kevin Seraphin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othyus Jeffers	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	16	43%	-0.01	3	-0.07	10	80%	0.01
Yi Jianlian	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	14	43%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	-0.33	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.26,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.32,-0.32,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.21	-0.11	0.01	21	26%	-0.24	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.09	0.01	26	58%	0.20	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.20	-0.01	0.05	24	67%	0.21	2	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	-0.00	0.04	14	63%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.06	-0.03	11	40%	-0.02	5	-0.13	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	0.8	33.1	15.6	23.7	1.6	30.5	128.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +54.4%

WAS -18.4%

GSW +0.7%

GSW +10.5%

GSW +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	GSW	NBA	WAS	GSW	NBA
this game	15.2	14.3	15.5	106.1	117.5	105.7
season	15.1	14.8		100.9	106.6
opponent	15.2	15.2		109.0	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.1	16.3	14.0	15.6	15.2
GSW	13.1	13.7	12.6	18.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cartier Martin	16	16	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.03	7	-17	24	17.6	14.7	2.82	17.3	13.7	3.57
Nick Young	28	28	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-11	12	15.4	15.1	0.31	13.1	14.8	-1.72
Yi Jianlian	64	66	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-13	16	15.9	13.9	1.93	14.9	13.1	1.76
Othyus Jeffers	44	43	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.20	5	-15	20	14.5	15.8	-1.36	15.0	13.8	1.25
Kevin Seraphin	13	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	-7	4	13.9	15.4	-1.48	10.7	14.9	-4.20
JaVale McGee	82	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	1	-12	15.1	15.6	-0.50	14.4	14.0	0.40
John Wall	90	89	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.15	-15	5	-20	15.2	15.4	-0.19	14.4	13.7	0.63
Maurice Evans	74	74	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.21	-15	5	-20	15.3	14.9	0.38	14.4	14.2	0.15
Jordan Crawford	79	76	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.16	-22	12	-34	14.7	17.1	-2.36	13.7	16.5	-2.80

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorell Wright	87	88	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-3	16	14.3	14.3	0.03	15.2	15.6	-0.44
David Lee	91	93	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.18	12	-2	14	13.9	20.7	-6.75	14.9	20.6	-5.69
Monta Ellis	97	98	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	0	10	14.3	0.0	14.33	15.2	0.0	15.20
Ekpe Udoh	63	63	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.10	13	-3	16	13.4	16.1	-2.66	14.4	16.7	-2.30
Stephen Curry	60	62	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.09	11	-1	12	13.0	16.4	-3.40	14.9	15.7	-0.73
Reggie Williams	37	36	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.11	-1	11	-12	16.4	13.0	3.40	15.7	14.9	0.73
Lou Amundson	16	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	12	-14	16.7	13.9	2.82	18.0	14.7	3.30
Al Thornton	34	35	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.14	-6	16	-22	16.1	13.4	2.66	16.4	14.6	1.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.88,0.85,0.74,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.83,0.93,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 67, ATL 78	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.76,0.64,0.65,0.77,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.9%
TOR 79, BOS 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.9%
CHA 95, ORL 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.8,0.82,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.96,0.93,1,1,1	93.7%