NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	92		Excitement	5.2 [744]		MVP	Grant Hill (DET): +12.3%
Detroit Pistons	104		Comeback	1.6 [478]		LVP	Clyde Drexler (HOU): -13.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Maloney	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	8	87%	0.17	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Rodrick Rhodes	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charles Barkley	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	16	59%	0.02	1	-0.02	12	75%	0.01
Brent Price	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.02	15	56%	0.06	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.02
Kevin Willis	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	12	40%	-0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Clyde Drexler	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	9	22%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.05	-0.03	18	60%	0.15	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	13	62%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	9	74%	0.13	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	4	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	9	56%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Henson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bison Dele	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.04	8	72%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Rick Mahorn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	8	56%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	1.7	24.2	14.7	27.2	1.7	31.2	122.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +56.3%

HOU -24.2%

DET +15.6%

DET +1.8%

DET +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DET	NBA	HOU	DET	NBA
this game	17.3	16.0	15.6	107.0	119.5	102.5
season	15.7	15.9		104.5	102.8
opponent	15.9	15.2		101.1	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.4	19.3	18.2	15.4	17.3
DET	17.1	14.3	17.0	15.9	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Price	15	15	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-14	16	18.1	17.1	1.06	15.2	16.2	-1.02
Hakeem Olajuwon	45	48	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.04	3	-15	18	16.6	17.9	-1.28	16.3	15.7	0.64
Mario Elie	51	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.12	-2	-10	8	17.3	17.2	0.14	15.5	16.8	-1.34
Eddie Johnson	26	26	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-6	0	19.7	16.2	3.55	13.6	17.1	-3.52
Clyde Drexler	64	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-5	-2	16.3	19.9	-3.57	16.8	14.0	2.72
Rodrick Rhodes	31	32	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	-3	-6	17.0	17.4	-0.45	17.2	15.4	1.81
Kevin Willis	55	54	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	1	-14	17.3	17.3	-0.00	15.9	16.2	-0.27
Charles Barkley	71	71	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.15	-14	2	-16	17.9	14.4	3.46	16.2	15.6	0.59
Matt Maloney	72	74	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.16	-14	2	-16	16.9	19.3	-2.42	16.1	15.5	0.60

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	68	68	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.19	22	-10	32	16.1	15.9	0.13	17.2	17.3	-0.03
Joe Dumars	64	65	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.09	16	-4	20	15.5	17.5	-1.95	18.0	14.9	3.17
Rick Mahorn	26	28	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.20	12	0	12	15.9	16.1	-0.23	17.0	17.4	-0.43
Lindsey Hunter	58	56	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	-1	14	17.1	14.0	3.07	16.6	18.5	-1.86
Bison Dele	57	56	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	-3	18	15.8	16.6	-0.85	17.9	16.0	1.98
Grant Long	41	39	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.00	9	3	6	17.1	15.1	1.94	15.9	18.4	-2.44
Don Reid	27	28	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	9	-6	15.5	16.3	-0.82	18.7	16.5	2.22
Malik Sealy	36	35	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.11	-2	14	-16	14.3	17.3	-2.97	17.4	17.2	0.19
Steve Henson	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	10.5	16.2	-5.68	13.0	17.3	-4.31
Jerome Williams	7	7	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	13	-14	15.0	16.1	-1.14	20.6	17.0	3.61
Eric Montross	15	13	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	0.02	-14	26	-40	17.2	15.8	1.39	15.1	17.6	-2.57
Jerry Stackhouse	34	34	-0.42	0.92	-1.35	-0.04	-13	25	-38	16.9	15.5	1.42	16.4	17.8	-1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.43,0.58,0.68,0.79,0.84,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 95, ORL 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.8,0.82,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.96,0.93,1,1,1	93.7%
TOR 79, BOS 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.4%
HOU 81, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.75,0.72,0.82,0.78,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.96,1,1,1,1	93.3%