inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 128 Excitement6.9 [459] MVPMonta Ellis (GSW): +39.1%
Golden State Warriors 132 Comeback1.4 [833] LVPAaron Brooks (HOU): -13.3%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Martin0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.150.140.020.011462%0.191-0.0417100%0.13
Courtney Lee0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.070.040.00373%0.1100.009100%0.07
Jared Jeffries0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.030.05-0.00654%0.0900.001100%0.01
Luis Scola0.080,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.080.160.000.082460%0.0800.001267%-0.03
Shane Battier0.030,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.010.01467%0.0300.0010%-0.01
Brad Miller0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.000100%0.0300.002100%0.02
Charles Hayes0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.011262%0.083-0.0720%-0.04
Chase Budinger-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00550%0.001-0.02450%-0.04
Ish Smith-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.020.00425%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Aaron Brooks-0.130,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13-0.09-0.05-0.011538%-0.073-0.06475%0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Monta Ellis0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.390.390.320.100.032477%0.421-0.031275%0.02
Stephen Curry0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.060.11-0.041669%0.375-0.154100%0.02
Reggie Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.03-0.00658%0.0600.0000%0.00
Andris Biedrins0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.000.00667%0.0500.0000%0.00
David Lee0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.01-0.011161%0.163-0.11683%0.02
Dan Gadzuric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.00-0.011454%0.082-0.0600%0.00
Charlie Bell00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Adrien00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rodney Carney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.010.00744%-0.0100.004100%0.02
Brandan Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00450%0.031-0.0400%0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.32.433.415.431.42.738.3145.9
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +93.0%
HOU -28.6%
GSW +3.9%
HOU -16.6%
HOU -1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUGSWNBAHOUGSWNBA
this game13.514.515.5125.5128.2105.7
season15.214.8109.5106.6
opponent15.214.9109.0107.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU13.013.014.114.013.5
GSW15.215.813.114.214.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jared Jeffries30300.18-0.680.860.006-101615.312.82.4315.714.11.68
Ish Smith17160.01-0.510.520.010-4415.113.21.8115.814.31.50
Chase Budinger4241-0.01-0.490.47-0.165-91414.512.91.5414.214.8-0.54
Brad Miller65-0.05-0.450.41-0.02-1-3213.013.6-0.5818.414.34.05
Shane Battier5051-0.18-0.320.15-0.09-3-1-213.014.1-1.0814.214.9-0.77
Courtney Lee4748-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.27-2-2014.113.10.9514.614.50.19
Aaron Brooks7880-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.34-2-2012.915.7-2.7714.115.9-1.76
Charles Hayes8282-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.25-73-1013.912.01.9315.012.92.06
Kevin Martin7678-0.590.09-0.67-0.41-62-813.114.8-1.7414.215.7-1.50
Luis Scola8284-0.680.18-0.86-0.39-106-1612.916.3-3.4214.315.7-1.40

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Monta Ellis86860.67-0.170.840.419-51414.116.8-2.7313.513.9-0.46
David Lee88870.66-0.160.820.3710-61614.315.9-1.5513.016.5-3.50
Dorell Wright79770.62-0.120.730.3210-61614.215.6-1.3613.513.6-0.01
Andris Biedrins57570.57-0.070.650.2810-61614.514.6-0.1613.713.40.27
Stephen Curry85840.490.010.480.3740414.216.2-1.9713.513.7-0.14
Jeff Adrien320.090.41-0.320.0031213.314.6-1.254.013.7-9.74
Vladimir Radmanovic1112-0.020.52-0.540.01-15-614.814.50.3117.213.14.19
Brandan Wright2122-0.020.52-0.55-0.0204-416.914.02.9113.913.50.40
Dan Gadzuric65-0.070.57-0.63-0.01-26-817.314.42.9613.613.50.05
Charlie Bell99-0.130.63-0.75-0.04-37-1017.214.32.9314.713.41.23
Rodney Carney3736-0.160.66-0.830.19-1216-2814.114.8-0.7213.013.9-0.89
Reggie Williams3333-0.200.70-0.900.04-812-2015.913.92.0114.313.21.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.66,0.61,0.65,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 92, ATL 1010.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,194.4%
CHA 95, ORL 1040.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.8,0.82,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.96,0.93,1,1,193.7%
POR 87, IND 950.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.9,0.99,1,193.6%