NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	83		Excitement	4.7 [847]		MVP	Jalen Rose (IND): +19.9%
Indiana Pacers	93		Comeback	5.1 [289]		LVP	Rik Smits (IND): -20.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Cummings	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.02	-0.04	10	59%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Charles Oakley	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	11	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
John Starks	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.01	-0.05	18	47%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Bowie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	9	68%	0.05	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Buck Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Chris Dudley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	16	47%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.04
Chris Childs	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	4	10%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.06	-0.06	8	86%	0.20	2	-0.01	5	100%	0.04
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.05	-0.02	13	61%	0.15	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	9	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	3	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.03	8	69%	0.05	4	-0.08	10	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Rik Smits	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.24	-0.04	-0.08	19	20%	-0.14	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	29.2	17.4	26.9	2.0	32.7	133.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +10.4%

IND +19.0%

IND +13.3%

IND +7.9%

NYK -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	14.5	17.2	15.6	91.2	102.2	102.5
season	15.7	16.0		100.4	105.3
opponent	16.1	16.3		99.2	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	10.1	18.0	15.6	14.5	14.5
IND	19.9	14.1	17.1	17.6	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Dudley	32	33	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.14	9	-19	28	12.4	15.6	-3.20	19.1	16.1	2.97
Anthony Bowie	9	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-10	10	8.9	15.1	-6.17	18.3	17.1	1.26
Charles Oakley	73	74	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.31	5	-15	20	13.6	18.0	-4.42	17.4	16.3	1.11
Charlie Ward	71	71	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.36	6	-16	22	13.7	17.1	-3.46	18.1	13.9	4.16
John Starks	68	68	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-3	-4	15.0	12.9	2.06	17.8	15.3	2.53
Allan Houston	83	82	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.29	0	-10	10	14.3	15.9	-1.56	17.4	15.0	2.44
Chris Childs	20	20	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.15	-16	6	-22	17.1	13.7	3.46	13.9	18.1	-4.16
Buck Williams	14	15	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.11	-16	6	-22	19.1	13.6	5.55	14.8	17.7	-2.87
Chris Mills	42	40	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.20	-9	-1	-8	14.6	14.3	0.36	15.6	18.5	-2.85
Terry Cummings	43	43	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.15	-22	12	-34	16.4	12.7	3.64	16.0	18.3	-2.27

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Rose	51	51	0.84	-0.34	1.19	-0.07	31	-21	52	15.3	19.7	-4.42	16.2	12.2	4.06
Antonio Davis	57	58	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.01	25	-15	40	15.8	19.6	-3.86	15.7	12.2	3.56
Travis Best	52	52	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.05	18	-8	26	16.0	18.8	-2.84	15.6	12.9	2.76
Dale Davis	58	59	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.22	7	3	4	18.2	15.5	2.69	14.8	13.7	1.13
Derrick McKey	45	45	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.02	12	-2	14	15.7	18.6	-2.90	15.6	13.3	2.23
Reggie Miller	68	67	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.33	-8	18	-26	17.8	15.3	2.48	12.7	19.3	-6.63
Mark Jackson	39	39	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.26	-8	18	-26	18.8	16.0	2.84	12.9	15.6	-2.76
Rik Smits	45	44	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.08	-6	16	-22	18.3	16.1	2.16	13.7	15.1	-1.40
Chris Mullin	40	40	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	0.27	-21	31	-52	19.7	15.3	4.42	12.2	16.2	-4.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.46,0.42,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.48,0.67,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 91, DET 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.71,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.1%
BOS 103, CLE 120	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.31,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.6%
LAL 84, CHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.27,0.39,0.42,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.63,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1	92.8%