inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 103 Excitement5.9 [645] MVPTimofey Mozgov (CLE): +18.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers 120 Comeback4.7 [628] LVPAvery Bradley (BOS): -15.3%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas0.170,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.190.030.041571%0.1700.00862%-0.02
Amir Johnson0.070,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.03-0.01-0.06462%0.0210.05540%-0.03
Tyler Zeller0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.02-0.01467%0.071-0.024100%0.02
Jared Sullinger0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.01-0.021747%0.0500.00250%-0.01
Jonas Jerebko0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00383%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Evan Turner0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.01955%0.032-0.03250%-0.01
Jordan Mickey0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Terry Rozier0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Young0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jae Crowder-0.020,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.010.001146%0.002-0.024100%0.00
Marcus Smart-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.030.01437%-0.032-0.0600%0.00
Avery Bradley-0.150,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.09-0.050.011246%-0.025-0.142100%0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Timofey Mozgov0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.080.120.024100%0.211-0.032100%0.06
Matthew Dellavedova0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.050.04-0.00667%0.1000.00367%-0.00
Tristan Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.020.03-0.03671%0.133-0.04580%0.00
Iman Shumpert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.040.00867%0.122-0.052100%0.01
Kevin Love0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.05-0.00648%0.081-0.02989%0.04
J.R. Smith0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.01-0.001547%0.0400.0000%0.00
Kyrie Irving0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.07-0.020.031367%0.103-0.08475%-0.00
Sasha Kaun0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan McRae00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Richard Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03333%0.011-0.0100%0.00
LeBron James0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.010.022057%0.084-0.10956%-0.07
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.22.432.815.829.22.533.2137.1
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +24.3%
CLE +28.3%
CLE +6.1%
BOS -11.2%
CLE +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSCLENBABOSCLENBA
this game13.915.914.9107.3123.7105.1
season13.915.8104.5110.3
opponent14.915.0103.7101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS13.714.315.212.513.9
CLE16.213.415.418.815.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jordan Mickey120.00-0.500.500.06-2-151312.014.0-1.9726.515.710.84
Terry Rozier120.00-0.500.500.06-2-151312.014.0-1.9726.515.710.84
James Young120.00-0.500.500.06-2-151312.014.0-1.9726.515.710.84
Jared Sullinger6566-0.02-0.480.46-0.051-181913.614.6-1.0315.416.9-1.45
Amir Johnson3637-0.05-0.450.40-0.112-192113.814.0-0.2313.917.1-3.27
Isaiah Thomas6970-0.17-0.330.15-0.294-212513.415.4-2.0816.015.60.36
Marcus Smart4242-0.23-0.270.030.18-14-3-1113.914.0-0.1215.915.9-0.05
Jae Crowder7777-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.13-5-12713.615.2-1.5715.915.9-0.02
Jonas Jerebko2927-0.40-0.10-0.290.02-14-3-1115.713.22.5516.315.70.57
Avery Bradley7880-0.40-0.10-0.300.10-170-1713.814.6-0.8215.020.1-5.06
Evan Turner5049-0.48-0.02-0.450.05-181-1914.713.11.6117.214.52.70
Tyler Zeller3131-0.48-0.02-0.460.05-181-1914.613.61.0316.915.41.45

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Iman Shumpert68670.65-0.150.80-0.1126-93516.614.32.3014.113.60.47
Matthew Dellavedova53540.60-0.100.70-0.1626-93516.715.01.7114.213.60.58
Tristan Thompson53550.360.140.23-0.081521316.415.21.2114.113.80.33
Kevin Love64630.270.230.030.0389-114.518.6-4.1714.413.21.21
LeBron James74730.210.29-0.080.09413-915.915.80.0813.714.7-0.93
J.R. Smith70690.190.31-0.120.10314-1116.015.60.4113.814.3-0.43
Kyrie Irving64640.150.35-0.200.09215-1315.017.6-2.6513.814.2-0.41
Richard Jefferson11100.120.38-0.260.00413-918.115.62.4912.114.2-2.06
Sasha Kaun210.000.50-0.50-0.06215-1326.515.710.8412.014.0-1.97
Jordan McRae210.000.50-0.50-0.06215-1326.515.710.8412.014.0-1.97
Timofey Mozgov2423-0.050.55-0.610.15-724-3114.016.5-2.4513.914.0-0.10


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.31,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 70, NYK 850.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.24,0.25,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.91,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,194.4%
CHI 77, CHH 790.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.63,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,0.97,0.78,0.92,193.7%
NYK 83, IND 930.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.46,0.42,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.48,0.67,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,193.6%