NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	77		Excitement	6.1 [559]		MVP	Dell Curry (CHH): +24.8%
Charlotte Hornets	79		Comeback	3.2 [437]		LVP	Luc Longley (CHI): -14.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Kerr	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	5	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Randy Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jud Buechler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Caffey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Bill Wennington	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Kleine	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.01	0.00	11	54%	0.07	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.11
Dennis Rodman	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	24	52%	0.01	4	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Luc Longley	-0.14	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.02	-0.03	15	36%	-0.07	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.25	0.25	0.01	0.23	-0.01	7	64%	0.31	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	7	50%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.04
Corey Beck	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	5	36%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.05	6	42%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Phills	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	8	35%	-0.03	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02
Vlade Divac	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	11	38%	-0.03	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	0.00	0.02	20	48%	0.01	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.7	27.2	16.3	23.5	1.8	37.6	132.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +61.9%

CHI -24.7%

CHI -8.7%

CHH +23.8%

CHI -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CHH	NBA	CHI	CHH	NBA
this game	17.1	15.8	15.6	88.5	89.8	102.5
season	16.2	15.7		105.8	104.0
opponent	15.9	15.8		102.6	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.2	17.0	18.3	15.9	17.1
CHH	14.9	17.3	13.0	18.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jud Buechler	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-7	12	17.9	17.0	0.81	15.6	15.8	-0.26
Luc Longley	57	62	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.27	7	-9	16	16.9	17.6	-0.74	15.8	15.8	-0.06
Jason Caffey	9	10	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	2	-6	20.2	16.8	3.47	16.0	15.8	0.22
Bill Wennington	11	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.06	-6	4	-10	19.5	16.8	2.78	14.5	16.0	-1.55
Randy Brown	11	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.06	-6	4	-10	19.5	16.8	2.78	14.5	16.0	-1.55
Dennis Rodman	71	71	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.30	3	-5	8	16.4	20.2	-3.76	15.6	16.8	-1.19
Scott Burrell	17	17	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	5	-12	20.6	16.3	4.39	17.9	15.3	2.57
Ron Harper	53	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.38	5	-7	12	16.1	18.6	-2.51	15.2	16.7	-1.41
Toni Kukoc	72	71	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.45	7	-9	16	16.7	19.3	-2.68	16.3	13.8	2.46
Michael Jordan	74	76	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.46	3	-5	8	17.1	17.1	0.04	15.6	16.9	-1.29
Joe Kleine	10	8	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	9	-20	20.8	16.6	4.16	13.2	16.1	-2.81
Steve Kerr	43	43	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.29	-6	4	-10	16.3	17.9	-1.61	16.8	14.9	1.88

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
B.J. Armstrong	28	32	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.15	16	-14	30	16.1	15.6	0.49	17.1	17.1	-0.08
Glen Rice	83	83	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.41	3	-1	4	15.5	21.2	-5.72	17.3	13.5	3.79
J.R. Reid	20	21	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	-10	22	15.5	15.9	-0.33	19.8	16.3	3.55
Dell Curry	42	43	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	-2	6	16.9	14.8	2.15	17.0	17.2	-0.27
Matt Geiger	29	30	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.01	12	-10	22	15.3	16.1	-0.79	18.8	16.2	2.62
Anthony Mason	71	68	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.36	-8	10	-18	16.0	15.0	1.00	16.2	20.3	-4.03
Vlade Divac	56	55	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.45	-12	14	-26	15.9	15.6	0.33	16.2	18.6	-2.39
Corey Beck	10	8	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	-2	6	18.2	15.5	2.70	17.4	17.1	0.29
Bobby Phills	50	48	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.19	-5	7	-12	15.5	16.2	-0.76	17.8	16.3	1.51
David Wesley	51	47	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.33	-16	18	-34	15.1	16.8	-1.73	16.2	18.1	-1.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.63,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,0.97,0.78,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 103, LAL 117	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.89,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%
PHI 70, NYK 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.24,0.25,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.91,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%
BOS 101, WAS 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.7,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%