NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	70		Excitement	5.0 [499]		MVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): +28.3%
New York Knicks	85		Comeback	3.4 [312]		LVP	Eric Snow (PHI): -18.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Theo Ratliff	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.02	8	68%	0.09	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Harvey Grant	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	42%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
George Lynch	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	10	36%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Matt Geiger	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.04	13	43%	-0.02	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Tyrone Hill	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.02	7	0%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.05	0.03	21	45%	-0.08	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.02
Eric Snow	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.04	0.03	8	41%	-0.10	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.17	0.10	-0.01	17	75%	0.31	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.02	0.03	16	63%	0.08	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	10	27%	-0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.02	0.03	13	46%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.04	0.00	8	12%	-0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.7	29.8	20.8	27.3	2.4	27.4	135.0
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +51.0%

PHI -6.3%

PHI -3.2%

NYK +9.0%

PHI -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	16.0	16.9	15.8	79.5	97.7	99.6
season	15.6	16.0		97.0	97.0
opponent	16.6	15.9		95.1	94.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.9	15.5	18.4	16.0	16.0
NYK	18.8	16.5	13.5	19.0	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harvey Grant	3	4	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-15	15	18.0	15.9	2.09	14.7	17.0	-2.30
Larry Hughes	18	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.21	-12	-3	-9	14.2	16.4	-2.28	15.7	17.3	-1.61
Matt Geiger	61	61	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-13	11	16.1	15.6	0.50	16.2	18.7	-2.55
Eric Snow	65	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.21	0	-15	15	16.5	14.6	1.91	17.2	15.9	1.33
George Lynch	48	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	-8	1	15.8	16.2	-0.41	16.6	17.3	-0.71
Theo Ratliff	74	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	-4	-7	16.0	15.9	0.14	18.0	11.5	6.49
Allen Iverson	78	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	-4	-7	15.9	16.7	-0.82	17.8	11.0	6.80
Aaron McKie	54	50	-0.42	-0.07	-0.35	0.01	-15	0	-15	16.1	15.8	0.35	16.3	17.8	-1.46
Tyrone Hill	39	38	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.04	-17	2	-19	15.8	16.1	-0.37	16.0	17.7	-1.63

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	65	66	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.04	18	-3	21	16.4	18.5	-2.02	15.9	16.3	-0.45
Chris Dudley	47	48	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.04	18	-3	21	16.1	17.9	-1.82	15.0	17.2	-2.24
Larry Johnson	67	67	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.12	17	-2	19	18.0	13.5	4.47	15.6	17.0	-1.41
Allan Houston	70	71	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.16	7	8	-1	16.8	17.6	-0.88	16.2	15.1	1.14
Charlie Ward	68	69	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.05	8	7	1	17.7	14.3	3.36	15.2	18.9	-3.72
Rick Brunson	19	19	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.01	7	8	-1	14.3	17.7	-3.36	18.9	15.2	3.72
Patrick Ewing	36	37	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.01	4	11	-7	17.9	16.3	1.57	17.4	15.0	2.37
Kurt Thomas	45	43	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.27	-5	20	-25	16.5	17.5	-0.99	17.9	14.1	3.77
Marcus Camby	18	20	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	14	-13	17.2	16.9	0.28	12.4	17.0	-4.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.24,0.25,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.91,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 103, LAL 117	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.89,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.4%
BOS 101, WAS 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.7,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
WAS 87, MIL 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.5%