NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	87		Excitement	4.9 [865]		MVP	Keyon Dooling (MIL): +18.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	100		Comeback	2.9 [719]		LVP	Rashard Lewis (WAS): -13.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.02	0.04	19	51%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	17	62%	0.07	4	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	0	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Seraphin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Hilton Armstrong	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cartier Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	47%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.04
Kirk Hinrich	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	5	45%	-0.05	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
John Wall	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	11	38%	-0.03	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Rashard Lewis	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.01	11	33%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.16	0.04	0.02	11	96%	0.24	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.01	-0.02	10	68%	0.17	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.01	-0.04	6	53%	0.09	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	10	40%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.02	18	49%	0.03	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.03
Jon Brockman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Andrew Bogut	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	0.01	8	30%	-0.11	2	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.3	29.5	15.8	25.1	2.5	28.6	129.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +47.0%

MIL +6.0%

MIL +3.4%

WAS -6.2%

WAS -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIL	NBA	WAS	MIL	NBA
this game	14.0	16.3	15.5	90.6	106.4	105.7
season	15.1	16.2		100.9	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.2		100.9	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.6	16.2	14.2	12.0	14.0
MIL	16.4	14.4	15.8	18.7	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Seraphin	13	12	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.06	6	-19	25	12.5	14.3	-1.73	18.4	16.0	2.42
Cartier Martin	6	6	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-13	13	17.0	13.8	3.17	14.5	16.4	-1.93
Hilton Armstrong	6	6	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-13	13	17.0	13.8	3.17	14.5	16.4	-1.93
Trevor Booker	2	2	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.04	-1	-12	11	9.5	14.1	-4.63	18.5	16.3	2.24
Al Thornton	27	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	-5	-3	15.4	13.5	1.97	17.3	15.9	1.43
John Wall	77	76	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.22	-1	-12	11	13.6	15.8	-2.26	16.2	16.8	-0.65
Yi Jianlian	26	25	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-6	-1	15.3	13.6	1.75	14.7	16.9	-2.22
Andray Blatche	74	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-8	3	13.5	15.8	-2.26	16.3	16.3	-0.05
Nick Young	76	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-4	-5	13.7	15.4	-1.79	16.6	15.3	1.35
Rashard Lewis	76	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	-6	-1	13.6	15.5	-1.86	16.1	16.9	-0.75
JaVale McGee	51	51	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.16	-20	7	-27	15.6	12.3	3.28	15.7	17.0	-1.27
Kirk Hinrich	46	46	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.06	-13	0	-13	13.5	14.6	-1.10	17.1	15.6	1.48

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bogut	72	73	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.12	13	0	13	16.2	16.7	-0.55	13.9	14.3	-0.36
Earl Boykins	59	61	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.05	15	-2	17	16.5	16.0	0.54	14.1	13.9	0.18
Corey Maggette	69	69	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.04	14	-1	15	15.9	17.3	-1.38	14.1	13.7	0.40
Drew Gooden	41	42	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	4	5	17.4	15.4	2.01	13.4	14.6	-1.20
Keyon Dooling	84	86	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	7	-1	16.4	15.6	0.79	14.2	13.0	1.15
Chris Douglas-Roberts	45	44	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	8	-3	15.9	16.7	-0.80	13.9	14.1	-0.18
Ersan Ilyasova	54	55	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	8	-3	15.4	17.5	-2.07	14.5	13.4	1.12
Luc Mbah a Moute	25	28	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	14	-15	17.3	15.9	1.38	13.4	14.3	-0.90
Larry Sanders	3	3	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	13	-13	28.7	15.9	12.77	6.3	14.3	-7.95
Jon Brockman	18	19	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.05	-1	14	-15	14.8	16.7	-1.82	15.7	13.6	2.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 99, BKN 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
IND 88, MIA 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.63,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.97,0.93,0.81,0.93,1,1,1	94.8%
ATL 105, NYK 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.94,0.88,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.6%