NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	105		Excitement	5.1 [810]		MVP	Danilo Gallinari (NYK): +21.0%
New York Knicks	109		Comeback	2.3 [407]		LVP	Ronald Murray (ATL): -9.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.12	0.01	0.07	14	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Evans	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	75%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Acie Law	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	17	47%	-0.01	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Josh Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.03	10	70%	0.08	4	-0.11	3	33%	-0.02
Joe Johnson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	14	51%	0.01	3	-0.05	7	86%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	13	42%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	0.05	9	56%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.08	-0.00	11	74%	0.21	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Larry Hughes	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	18	57%	0.12	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	15	53%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
David Lee	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	8	59%	0.05	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.01	18	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	9	58%	0.06	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	2.4	28.4	17.4	29.2	2.4	35.6	135.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +25.2%

NYK +7.3%

NYK +1.0%

NYK +12.0%

NYK +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NYK	NBA	ATL	NYK	NBA
this game	17.4	13.6	15.5	112.9	117.2	106.4
season	15.8	13.8		106.7	106.2
opponent	15.5	16.1		109.1	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.3	17.8	21.6	13.6	17.4
NYK	14.0	15.7	11.1	13.6	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Acie Law	7	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.32	11	-15	26	8.4	18.1	-9.71	12.5	13.7	-1.16
Ronald Murray	40	41	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.37	9	-13	22	16.5	18.1	-1.59	13.6	13.5	0.09
Al Horford	72	72	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.41	9	-13	22	17.4	17.6	-0.21	13.4	14.2	-0.88
Zaza Pachulia	14	13	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	1	-6	17.8	17.3	0.44	16.0	13.2	2.84
Maurice Evans	40	40	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.03	-12	8	-20	16.5	18.1	-1.51	14.8	12.6	2.27
Mike Bibby	72	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.07	-9	5	-14	18.5	13.8	4.71	13.8	12.7	1.09
Joe Johnson	84	85	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.44	2	-6	8	17.4	17.8	-0.41	13.2	17.7	-4.59
Josh Smith	58	56	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.01	-17	13	-30	18.5	15.6	2.95	13.3	14.0	-0.69
Marvin Williams	78	79	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.29	-8	4	-12	17.3	17.8	-0.47	13.2	15.9	-2.71

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	73	72	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	1	2	13.1	15.3	-2.22	17.8	15.9	1.94
Larry Hughes	81	80	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.39	2	2	0	13.1	16.8	-3.76	17.5	16.8	0.74
Danilo Gallinari	42	43	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.01	15	-11	26	14.5	12.8	1.76	16.9	17.9	-0.98
Wilson Chandler	69	69	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.36	-1	5	-6	13.3	14.3	-1.04	17.9	16.0	1.90
Chris Wilcox	30	30	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.02	9	-5	14	14.0	13.3	0.70	16.3	17.9	-1.59
David Lee	63	63	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.36	-5	9	-14	13.3	14.0	-0.70	17.9	16.3	1.59
Chris Duhon	69	70	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.34	-5	9	-14	14.0	12.3	1.71	17.4	17.5	-0.09
Quentin Richardson	38	38	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.09	2	2	0	14.1	13.2	0.97	16.1	18.3	-2.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.94,0.88,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 83, HOU 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
SAC 93, ORL 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.85,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
LAC 79, UTA 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%