NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	84		Excitement	5.7 [688]		MVP	Derrick Rose (CHI): +15.7%
Chicago Bulls	88		Comeback	3.5 [289]		LVP	Taj Gibson (CHI): -12.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.10	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	23	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Sasha Vujacic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Caracter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0	-0.08	0.02	-0.05	8	39%	0.05	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Lamar Odom	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	12	60%	0.07	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.02
Pau Gasol	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.02	15	62%	0.08	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Steve Blake	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	6	17%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.16	0.16	0.01	0.10	-0.05	25	54%	0.27	4	-0.12	4	50%	-0.02
Luol Deng	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	-0.00	8	87%	0.18	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.05	0.07	-0.05	10	39%	0.09	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	11	54%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	9	56%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.01	5	62%	0.07	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	3.3	26.0	18.8	29.2	2.8	38.4	145.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +39.1%

CHI +4.6%

CHI +12.2%

LAL -6.5%

CHI +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CHI	NBA	LAL	CHI	NBA
this game	15.2	14.8	15.5	87.5	91.7	105.7
season	15.9	15.7		108.8	106.5
opponent	15.9	15.5		99.2	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.4	15.8	17.2	13.6	15.2
CHI	14.4	14.2	16.3	14.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Walton	13	13	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.04	0	-4	4	15.2	15.2	-0.00	12.6	15.2	-2.58
Sasha Vujacic	1	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-4	4	27.0	15.0	11.97	1.0	15.0	-13.99
Metta World Peace	54	55	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.12	2	-6	8	14.4	16.1	-1.67	15.5	14.0	1.47
Derek Fisher	55	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.30	5	-9	14	15.3	14.9	0.40	16.8	12.2	4.54
Derrick Caracter	4	4	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	4	-12	23.2	14.8	8.45	16.7	14.8	1.99
Steve Blake	34	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	1	-6	14.9	15.3	-0.47	11.4	16.7	-5.30
Shannon Brown	37	37	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	7	-18	15.8	14.7	1.11	13.4	15.7	-2.34
Pau Gasol	91	91	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.44	4	-8	12	14.7	24.0	-9.33	14.9	13.6	1.31
Lamar Odom	67	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.37	0	-4	4	15.6	14.2	1.41	15.4	13.5	1.90
Matt Barnes	53	52	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-2	0	14.5	15.9	-1.36	13.7	16.2	-2.43
Kobe Bryant	71	72	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.40	-5	1	-6	15.4	14.4	1.02	15.9	11.7	4.18

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	65	64	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.41	7	-3	10	16.3	11.8	4.49	15.9	13.7	2.11
Luol Deng	72	71	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.40	7	-3	10	15.5	13.0	2.46	15.6	13.9	1.67
Derrick Rose	75	75	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.34	8	-4	12	15.5	12.3	3.21	15.5	13.8	1.72
Joakim Noah	78	79	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.38	5	-1	6	15.5	11.9	3.64	15.2	15.1	0.05
Kyle Korver	47	48	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.13	11	-7	18	15.0	14.7	0.31	15.0	15.3	-0.35
Ronnie Brewer	51	51	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	-2	8	12.8	17.1	-4.27	15.0	15.3	-0.25
Omer Asik	17	17	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	5	-6	12.5	15.3	-2.81	15.1	15.2	-0.05
CJ Watson	22	22	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	8	-12	11.8	15.7	-3.93	14.4	15.4	-0.97
Taj Gibson	31	31	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.03	-3	7	-10	11.8	16.3	-4.49	13.3	16.0	-2.71
Keith Bogans	22	22	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.17	-16	20	-36	17.1	14.2	2.97	14.4	15.4	-0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.27,0.39,0.42,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.63,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 84, DET 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.93,1,1,1,1	93.7%
NJN 91, DET 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.71,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.5%
NYK 83, IND 93	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.46,0.42,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.48,0.67,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.8%