NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	91		Excitement	5.0 [789]		MVP	Zeljko Rebraca (DET): +12.3%
Detroit Pistons	101		Comeback	3.6 [244]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -16.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	4	80%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Lucious Harris	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	14	53%	0.00	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Armstrong	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	4	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Richard Jefferson	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	9	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	55%	-0.00	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Jason Collins	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	6	42%	-0.07	1	-0.04	12	50%	-0.06
Kenyon Martin	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	12	41%	-0.10	1	-0.02	8	37%	-0.08
Jason Kidd	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.06	-0.02	17	42%	-0.04	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	6	87%	0.12	0	0.00	12	92%	0.04
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.01	4	80%	0.08	1	-0.00	7	100%	0.06
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	8	65%	0.06	2	-0.03	10	70%	0.01
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	59%	0.05	3	-0.05	7	100%	0.02
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	8	50%	0.07	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.02	-0.03	16	42%	0.01	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	29.5	15.6	37.0	0.7	40.5	149.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +28.9%

DET +22.0%

DET +3.1%

NJN -7.0%

DET +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DET	NBA	NJN	DET	NBA
this game	14.9	15.9	15.5	97.8	107.4	101.6
season	15.0	16.8		101.1	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.9		97.8	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.0	16.6	14.7	14.5	14.9
DET	18.8	14.1	16.6	14.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Scalabrine	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	16.0	14.9	1.09	23.0	15.8	7.22
Aaron Williams	27	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.05	-3	-7	4	15.4	14.8	0.61	15.9	15.8	0.04
Anthony Johnson	18	18	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-10	10	19.3	13.9	5.45	15.6	15.9	-0.31
Brandon Armstrong	18	17	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-8	6	18.3	14.1	4.14	17.7	15.5	2.25
Jason Collins	59	60	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-10	10	14.8	15.1	-0.24	16.4	14.8	1.63
Rodney Rogers	43	42	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	-3	-4	15.9	14.1	1.76	16.3	15.5	0.81
Lucious Harris	75	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.19	-8	-2	-6	14.1	18.3	-4.14	15.5	17.7	-2.25
Kenyon Martin	73	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	0	-10	14.0	18.3	-4.29	15.8	15.9	-0.11
Jason Kidd	75	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.16	-10	0	-10	13.9	19.3	-5.45	15.9	15.6	0.31
Richard Jefferson	75	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.16	-12	2	-14	15.2	13.9	1.23	15.1	19.4	-4.33

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zeljko Rebraca	41	40	0.64	-0.14	0.77	-0.10	25	-15	40	15.0	16.5	-1.44	15.3	14.6	0.73
Jon Barry	53	52	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.02	17	-7	24	14.1	18.2	-4.10	15.1	14.7	0.36
Ben Wallace	77	78	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.28	4	6	-2	16.3	13.9	2.42	14.6	16.7	-2.14
Corliss Williamson	54	53	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.13	9	1	8	16.0	15.7	0.24	14.2	15.9	-1.74
Richard Hamilton	62	63	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.16	7	3	4	16.0	15.6	0.41	15.6	13.5	2.12
Chucky Atkins	41	40	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.06	13	-3	16	15.9	15.8	0.07	15.0	14.9	0.07
Chauncey Billups	53	53	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.26	-3	13	-16	15.8	15.9	-0.07	14.9	15.0	-0.07
Clifford Robinson	63	61	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.18	-10	20	-30	16.4	14.8	1.62	14.6	15.5	-0.86
Michael Curry	26	25	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.20	-12	22	-34	17.7	15.2	2.48	15.6	14.7	0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.71,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 83, IND 93	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.46,0.42,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.48,0.67,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
BKN 93, GSW 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.21,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.68,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.9%
POR 94, SAS 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.35,0.32,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.28,0.23,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%