NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	84		Excitement	5.0 [836]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (DET): +29.7%
Detroit Pistons	94		Comeback	4.2 [694]		LVP	Ricky Davis (BOS): -14.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Delonte West	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.03	0.04	13	65%	0.12	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	8	62%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.02	-0.03	16	54%	0.12	3	-0.10	7	71%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orien Greene	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	6	42%	-0.05	3	-0.07	7	57%	-0.05
Mark Blount	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.05	0.02	11	50%	-0.04	4	-0.09	2	0%	-0.03
Ricky Davis	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-0.06	8	0%	-0.12	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.17	0.13	0.01	12	88%	0.34	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	10	65%	0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	8	69%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.04	0.03	11	69%	0.12	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	6	41%	0.00	2	-0.03	10	30%	-0.03
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	12	42%	-0.03	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.3	28.7	16.4	23.4	2.3	36.7	135.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +41.1%

DET +3.9%

BOS -7.6%

DET +13.0%

BOS -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DET	NBA	BOS	DET	NBA
this game	15.5	16.7	15.6	92.3	106.8	104.4
season	14.8	16.9		103.3	108.3
opponent	15.8	15.8		101.4	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.3	16.3	17.0	14.4	15.5
DET	16.3	17.2	16.4	16.9	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Orien Greene	22	22	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.10	0	-10	10	15.0	15.7	-0.71	18.0	16.3	1.73
Justin Reed	2	0	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-10	10	3.5	15.8	-12.26	0.0	16.7	-16.70
Tony Allen	27	27	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-12	14	16.1	15.2	0.82	16.3	16.9	-0.54
Al Jefferson	33	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-8	6	16.4	15.0	1.41	17.5	16.2	1.30
Mark Blount	58	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.40	8	-18	26	15.7	15.2	0.44	17.2	15.9	1.22
Raef LaFrentz	30	30	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	3	-16	16.2	15.1	1.10	16.6	16.8	-0.16
Kendrick Perkins	55	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.19	-6	-4	-2	15.3	15.8	-0.51	16.6	16.9	-0.32
Ricky Davis	84	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.22	-7	-3	-4	15.3	18.0	-2.71	16.9	13.7	3.26
Delonte West	72	69	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.14	-15	5	-20	15.2	16.5	-1.30	16.0	19.4	-3.40
Paul Pierce	72	71	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.11	-17	7	-24	15.6	15.1	0.49	16.3	18.4	-2.04

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	81	83	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.18	15	-5	20	16.5	19.4	-2.96	15.3	17.5	-2.20
Rasheed Wallace	74	76	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	-2	14	16.6	17.5	-0.95	15.7	14.2	1.55
Carlos Delfino	25	28	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.00	16	-6	22	16.9	16.6	0.25	15.4	15.6	-0.20
Ben Wallace	63	64	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	6	-2	16.3	17.8	-1.59	15.3	16.0	-0.67
Richard Hamilton	68	68	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.27	-1	11	-12	16.5	17.5	-1.09	15.5	15.3	0.20
Maurice Evans	27	30	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.07	9	1	8	18.0	16.1	1.92	15.8	15.4	0.41
Antonio McDyess	39	41	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.05	4	6	-2	17.7	15.9	1.82	15.7	15.3	0.34
Tayshaun Prince	56	56	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.22	-4	14	-18	16.3	17.4	-1.15	15.4	15.7	-0.36
Carlos Arroyo	7	9	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.01	-5	15	-20	19.4	16.5	2.96	15.7	15.5	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.93,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 84, CHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.27,0.39,0.42,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.63,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1	93.7%
PHI 70, NYK 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.24,0.25,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.91,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.4%
NYK 99, BKN 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.2%