NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	102		Excitement	8.5 [159]		MVP	Walt Williams (POR): +25.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	104		Comeback	4.4 [300]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): -21.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.12	0.13	0.00	5	100%	0.25	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Stacey Augmon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Alton Lister	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Grant	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	0.02	-0.04	0.02	2	125%	0.04	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.09	0.02	-0.11	-0.00	12	58%	-0.06	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Brian Grant	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	6	41%	-0.04	1	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Isaiah Rider	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	19	56%	0.10	6	-0.20	7	71%	-0.02
Kelvin Cato	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.2,-0.19	-0.05	-0.13	0.02	11	54%	-0.01	3	-0.19	6	83%	0.05
Damon Stoudamire	-0.22	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.11	-0.10	0.01	14	40%	-0.09	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	6	82%	0.12	1	-0.05	5	80%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	9	56%	0.05	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.08
Derek Fisher	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	20	60%	0.15	5	-0.17	10	40%	-0.09
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	13	45%	-0.03	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.04
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	9	50%	-0.06	2	-0.04	10	100%	0.08
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	7	56%	0.01	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.7	31.1	17.4	28.9	2.6	44.5	154.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +24.0%

POR -2.8%

POR -6.7%

LAL +32.6%

LAL +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAL	NBA	POR	LAL	NBA
this game	15.7	14.5	15.6	107.4	108.3	102.5
season	15.9	14.8		101.9	110.0
opponent	15.6	15.4		102.6	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.0	14.6	15.4	15.9	15.7
LAL	15.0	13.6	13.4	16.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Grant	21	23	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-6	10	15.3	15.8	-0.47	16.3	14.0	2.30
Kelvin Cato	23	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-3	4	13.6	16.3	-2.75	14.8	14.4	0.36
Stacey Augmon	17	18	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.05	-3	1	-4	16.5	15.5	1.07	13.7	14.7	-1.04
Walt Williams	28	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-4	6	15.1	15.9	-0.77	16.6	13.6	3.04
Alton Lister	14	14	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	6	-14	16.4	15.5	0.91	13.1	14.8	-1.68
Arvydas Sabonis	48	48	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.40	5	-7	12	16.1	15.2	0.87	13.7	15.4	-1.69
Brian Grant	81	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-2	2	15.6	15.7	-0.07	15.0	11.7	3.37
Rasheed Wallace	81	82	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.36	-3	1	-4	15.9	14.5	1.35	14.5	14.6	-0.07
Damon Stoudamire	76	75	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.44	-3	1	-4	15.5	16.2	-0.70	13.6	17.8	-4.16
Isaiah Rider	86	86	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.44	-5	3	-8	15.9	13.4	2.44	14.4	15.2	-0.77

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Van Exel	66	63	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.42	9	-7	16	14.7	14.2	0.50	15.7	15.6	0.09
Robert Horry	79	78	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.50	5	-3	8	13.7	18.2	-4.45	15.5	16.2	-0.64
Shaquille O'Neal	80	80	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.43	6	-4	10	14.2	15.9	-1.64	16.0	13.8	2.20
Eddie Jones	68	68	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.43	6	-4	10	14.4	14.7	-0.29	15.9	15.0	0.86
Kobe Bryant	56	56	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.45	2	0	2	14.5	14.5	0.02	15.2	16.3	-1.02
Jon Barry	2	2	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	0	2	13.5	14.5	-1.03	9.5	15.8	-6.28
Rick Fox	39	40	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	6	-10	15.1	14.1	1.04	16.1	15.3	0.82
Corie Blount	15	13	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.02	-2	4	-6	16.5	14.1	2.40	16.2	15.6	0.67
Derek Fisher	30	32	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.02	-7	9	-16	14.2	14.7	-0.50	15.6	15.7	-0.09
Elden Campbell	45	43	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.07	-7	9	-16	15.3	13.8	1.55	15.0	16.2	-1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.21,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.69,0.89,0.84,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 92, DEN 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.55,0.84,0.96,0.97,1	91.9%
WAS 76, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.52,0.61,0.89,0.94,1,1	91.8%
MIA 87, ORL 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.19,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.35,0.37,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.93,0.91,0.84,1	91.5%